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      • Faculty Publications  (588)

      Risk and UncertaintyRemove Risk and Uncertainty →

      ← Page 16 of 588 Results →
      • November 2007 (Revised February 2011)
      • Case

      The Ice King

      By: Tom Nicholas and Sandra Nicholas
      Provides an opportunity to examine the risk-reward tradeoff and the travails of entrepreneurial venturing in the nascent U.S. economy. Traces the origins and development of Frederic Tudor's Ice Company, a business which developed during the 19th century to hack chunks... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Cost vs Benefits; Entrepreneurship; Globalization; Business History; Operations; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom, and Sandra Nicholas. "The Ice King." Harvard Business School Case 808-094, November 2007. (Revised February 2011.)
      • November 2007
      • Article

      A Model of Consumer Learning for Service Quality and Usage

      By: Raghuram Iyengar, Asim Ansari and Sunil Gupta
      In many services, e.g., the wireless service industry, consumers choose a service plan based on their expected consumption. In such situations, consumers experience two forms of uncertainty. First, consumers may be uncertain about the quality of their service provider... View Details
      Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Customer Value and Value Chain; Learning; Price; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Marketing Strategy; Consumer Behavior; Service Delivery; Quality; Risk and Uncertainty; Service Industry
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      Iyengar, Raghuram, Asim Ansari, and Sunil Gupta. "A Model of Consumer Learning for Service Quality and Usage." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 44, no. 4 (November 2007): 529–544.
      • November 2007
      • Article

      A Staged Solution to the Catch-22

      By: Andrei Hagiu and Thomas Eisenmann
      Companies looking to launch a two-sided platform—between, for example, credit card users and merchants, or search engine users and advertisers—must overcome the reluctance of one side to sign on until it's confident the other side will be well populated. It's a common... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Social Psychology; Two-Sided Platforms
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      Hagiu, Andrei, and Thomas Eisenmann. "A Staged Solution to the Catch-22." Harvard Business Review 85, no. 11 (November 2007).
      • November 2007
      • Article

      Standing Out from the Crowd: The Visibility-Enhancing Effects of IPO-related Signals on Alliance Formation by Entrepreneurial Firms

      By: Tim Pollock and Ranjay Gulati
      In this study, we explore how multiple signals related to entrepreneurial companies at the time of their initial public offering (IPO) influence the firms' ability to acquire non-financial resources over time. Specifically, the study looks at how signals based on... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Initial Public Offering; Investment; Alliances; Risk and Uncertainty; Power and Influence
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      Pollock, Tim, and Ranjay Gulati. "Standing Out from the Crowd: The Visibility-Enhancing Effects of IPO-related Signals on Alliance Formation by Entrepreneurial Firms." Strategic Organization 5, no. 4 (November 2007). (A shorter version of this paper appeared in Academy of Management Best Papers Proceedings, pp. 11-16, 2002.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      What Have We Learned From Market Design?

      By: Alvin E. Roth
      This essay discusses some things we have learned about markets, in the process of designing marketplaces to fix market failures. To work well, marketplaces have to provide thickness, i.e. they need to attract a large enough proportion of the potential participants in... View Details
      Keywords: Market Design; Market Participation; Market Transactions; Risk and Uncertainty; Safety
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      Roth, Alvin E. "What Have We Learned From Market Design?" NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13530, October 2007.
      • fall 2007
      • Article

      Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts

      By: Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman and Marshall L. Fisher
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Judgments; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Gaur, Vishal, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman, and Marshall L. Fisher. "Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 9, no. 4 (fall 2007).
      • August 2007 (Revised February 2008)
      • Case

      Pinnacle Ventures

      By: Michael J. Roberts, William A. Sahlman and Elizabeth Kind
      Describes a prospective "venture debt" loan to a new venture from the perspective of Patrick Lee, a principal at Pinnacle Ventures. Forces students to grapple with the nature of financial risk in the start-up firm and assess the prospective risks and returns to a... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Venture Capital; Investment Return; Business Startups; Financial Services Industry
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      Roberts, Michael J., William A. Sahlman, and Elizabeth Kind. "Pinnacle Ventures." Harvard Business School Case 808-048, August 2007. (Revised February 2008.)
      • 2007
      • Chapter

      Utility and Risk Preferences

      By: David E. Bell
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty
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      Bell, David E. "Utility and Risk Preferences." In Advances in Decision Analysis, edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph Miles, and Detlof von Winterfeldt. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
      • Article

      Leave No Risk Behind

      By: David Moss
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty
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      Moss, David. "Leave No Risk Behind." On My Mind. Forbes 180, no. 2 (July 23, 2007).
      • July 2007 (Revised May 2008)
      • Case

      Central Bank: The ChexSystemsSM QualiFile® Decision

      By: Dennis Campbell, Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez, Peter Tufano and Emily McClintock
      The "Central Bank" series analyzes the use of information and product design for managing the counterparty risk of newly acquired customers. Central Bank, a mid-sized regional U.S. bank, was attempting to grow its customer base by increasing the number of new checking... View Details
      Keywords: Central Banking; Knowledge Management; Customer Satisfaction; Risk Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Making; Banking Industry; United States
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      Campbell, Dennis, Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez, Peter Tufano, and Emily McClintock. "Central Bank: The ChexSystemsSM QualiFile® Decision." Harvard Business School Case 208-029, July 2007. (Revised May 2008.)
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Investment Return; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Volatility; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Spring 2007): 129–151.
      • December 2006 (Revised March 2010)
      • Case

      Bill Gates and Steve Jobs

      By: Anthony Mayo and Mark Benson
      Bill Gates and Steve Jobs, founders of Microsoft and Apple respectively, have revolutionized the relationship between the individual and computer technology. Once the exclusive domain of academia and research facilities, computers can now be found in every area of... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Business History; Technological Innovation; Leadership; Risk and Uncertainty; Technology Industry
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      Mayo, Anthony, and Mark Benson. "Bill Gates and Steve Jobs." Harvard Business School Case 407-028, December 2006. (Revised March 2010.)
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1645–1680.
      • June 2006 (Revised April 2007)
      • Case

      Nephila: Innovation in Catastrophe Risk Insurance

      By: Kenneth A. Froot and Michael Heinrich
      At the cross-section of capital markets and the catastrophe insurance space stands the hedge fund Nephila. Nephila must decide how best to take advantage of the newly presented market opportunities post hurricanes Katrina, Wilma, and Rita. Nephila has a plethora of... View Details
      Keywords: Hedge Fund; Investment Management; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Disasters; Insurance; Capital Markets; Investment Funds; Financial Services Industry; Insurance Industry; Bermuda
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      Froot, Kenneth A., and Michael Heinrich. "Nephila: Innovation in Catastrophe Risk Insurance." Harvard Business School Case 206-130, June 2006. (Revised April 2007.)
      • March 2006
      • Background Note

      Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Course Overview Note

      By: Alan D. MacCormack
      The Harvard Business School Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World course helps students understand the challenges that uncertainty implies for innovation and how to overcome them. The course emphasizes multiple levels of analysis--from creating and executing... View Details
      Keywords: Curriculum and Courses; Innovation and Management; Projects; Opportunities; Perspective; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Risk and Uncertainty; Problems and Challenges; Managerial Roles
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      MacCormack, Alan D. "Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Course Overview Note." Harvard Business School Background Note 606-105, March 2006.
      • March 2006
      • Module Note

      Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Module 3: Expanding Diversity

      By: Alan D. MacCormack
      Describes the third module of the 30-session Harvard Business School elective course Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World. The course helps students understand the challenges that uncertainty implies for innovation and how to overcome them. The course emphasizes... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation and Management; Business Processes; Projects; Risk and Uncertainty; Product Development; Managerial Roles; Opportunities; Perspective; Expansion; Goals and Objectives
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      MacCormack, Alan D. "Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Module 3: Expanding Diversity." Harvard Business School Module Note 606-126, March 2006.
      • March 2006
      • Module Note

      Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Module 4: Sensing Opportunity

      By: Alan D. MacCormack
      Describes the fourth module of the 30-session Harvard Business School elective course Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World. The course helps students understand the challenges that uncertainty implies for innovation and how to overcome them. The course emphasizes... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation and Management; Problems and Challenges; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Projects; Opportunities; Risk and Uncertainty; Perspective; Value Creation; Networks; Alignment
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      MacCormack, Alan D. "Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Module 4: Sensing Opportunity." Harvard Business School Module Note 606-104, March 2006.
      • March 2006
      • Module Note

      Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World

      By: Alan D. MacCormack
      Describes the second module of the 30-session Harvard Business School elective course Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World. The course helps students understand the challenges that uncertainty implies for innovation and how to overcome these challenges. The course... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation and Management; Problems and Challenges; Business Processes; Perspective; Opportunities; Risk and Uncertainty; Managerial Roles; Product Design; Business Startups; Organizational Design
      Citation
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      MacCormack, Alan D. "Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World." Harvard Business School Module Note 606-103, March 2006.
      • February 2006
      • Article

      Risk, Uncertainty, and Doubt

      By: Nitin Nohria and Thomas A. Stewart
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty
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      Nohria, Nitin, and Thomas A. Stewart. "Risk, Uncertainty, and Doubt." Breakthrough Ideas. Harvard Business Review 84, no. 2 (February 2006): 39–40.
      • January 2006 (Revised May 2007)
      • Supplement

      Endo Pharmaceuticals (C): An "At Risk" Launch?

      By: Richard G. Hamermesh and Brian DeLacey
      Keywords: Product Launch; Risk and Uncertainty; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Hamermesh, Richard G., and Brian DeLacey. Endo Pharmaceuticals (C): An "At Risk" Launch? Harvard Business School Supplement 806-066, January 2006. (Revised May 2007.)
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