Publications

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March 2008 (Revised March 2010)
Module Note

Global Capital and National Institutions: Crisis and Choice in the International Financial Architecture

By: Laura Alfaro

This module note presents a series of case studies taught in the Harvard Business School course Institutions, Macroeconomics, and the Global Economy (IMaGE). The course addresses the opportunities created by the emergence of a global economy and proposes strategies for... View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Globalized Economies and Regions; Macroeconomics

May 2004 (Revised June 2005)
Background Note

Exchange Rate Regimes

By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel

There are many options for a country in the management of monetary policy. At the most basic level is the decision of whether to adopt a fixed or a floating exchange rate. Introduces the economics behind exchange rates and the debate between fixed vs. floating regimes. View Details

Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Policy; Macroeconomics; Country

February 1997 (Revised May 1997)
Background Note

Modern India

By: Tarun Khanna and Danielle J. Melito

Describes India's move from a controlled economy toward a more market-oriented one, commencing in 1991. Highlights the extent of changes in the product, capital, and labor markets, and the political situation at the central government, as these stood in 1995. View Details

Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Systems; Economy; Macroeconomics; Government and Politics; Strategy; Financial Services Industry; India

19 May 2015
First Look

First Look: May 19

negative in the 2000s, a period during which Treasury bonds enabled investors to hedge macroeconomic risks. This paper explores the effects of monetary policy rules, monetary policy uncertainty, and View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

04 Mar 2016
Working Paper Summaries

Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle

Keywords: by David Lopez-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein, and Egon Zakrajsek; Banking

2022
Chapter

The Origins of the Developmental State: The European Experience

By: Sophus A. Reinert

Book Abstract: There has been a major revival of interest in State Capitalism: what it is, where it is found, and why it is seemingly becoming more ubiquitous. As a concept, it has evolved from radical critiques of the Soviet Union, to being deployed by neo-liberals to... View Details

Keywords: State Capitalism; History; Macroeconomics; Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Systems; Europe

May 2013
Supplement

Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)

By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White

Assuming office in December 2012, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was determined to revive Japan's stagnating economy through an ambitious plan known as 'Abenomics.' Under the guidance of the newly appointed governor of the central bank, Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Japan... View Details

Keywords: Japan; Inflation Targeting; Inflation; Abenomics; Monetary Policy; Stimulus; Quantitative Easing; Government Bonds; Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Japan

2024
Other Unpublished Work

A Proposal for the IMF: A New Instrument of International Liquidity Provision for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

By: Laura Alfaro, Guillermo Calvo, José de Gregorio, Augusto de la Torre, Pablo Guidotti, Enrique Mendoza, Ernesto Talvi, Liliana Rojas-Suarez and Andrés Velasco

This paper addresses a critical flaw in the international financial system: the failure to address the inherent asymmetry between countries that issue reserve currencies and those that do not, leaving the latter vulnerable during systemic liquidity crises. We propose... View Details

Keywords: Macroeconomics; Emerging Markets; Financial Markets; International Finance; Developing Countries and Economies; Latin America

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16 Apr 2001
Research & Ideas

Making the Most of Government Upheaval

have transformed themselves into highly competitive organizations. Although a considerable body of research has traced the macroeconomic reforms of these emerging economies, little post-reform evaluation, other than isolated case studies,... View Details

Keywords: by Nancy O. Perry

20 Oct 2015
First Look

October 20, 2015

forthcoming NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration By: Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and Kerr, William R. Abstract—The propagation of macroeconomic shocks... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

2024
Chapter

What Future for the Renminbi in the Global Monetary System?

By: Edoardo Campanella and Meg Rithmire

What is a realistic and positive outcome for US-China relations in the realm of global finance over the next ten years? While some policymakers, especially in the US, have feared that China holds ambitions for the renminbi (RMB) to replace the dollar as a global... View Details

Keywords: International Relations; Currency; Macroeconomics; Globalized Economies and Regions; China; United States

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February 1997 (Revised October 2002)
Case

Mexico (C): Reform and Crisis, 1987-1995

By: Huw Pill

Describes the evolution of the Mexican economy and its relation with the international capital markets in the period leading up to the Peso crisis of December 1994. Emphasizes the role of "Washington consensus" policies in stimulating the inflows, and the inability of... View Details

Keywords: Globalized Economies and Regions; Capital Markets; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Mexico

21 Aug 2006
Research & Ideas

How Europe Wrote the Rules of Global Finance

and 1950s capital controls were perfectly orthodox tools of macroeconomic management. And forty years before that, prior to the outbreak of World War I in 1914, capital controls had then been heretical. The big, unanswered question was:... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen

2007
Working Paper

Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China

By: Lee Branstetter and C. Fritz Foley

Despite the rapid expansion of U.S.-China trade ties, the increase in U.S. FDI in China, and the expanding amount of economic research exploring these developments, a number of misconceptions distort the popular understanding of U.S. multinationals in China. In this... View Details

Keywords: Macroeconomics; Trade; Foreign Direct Investment; Multinational Firms and Management; Expansion; China; United States

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March 2012 (Revised October 2012)
Case

Hayman Capital Management

By: Robin Greenwood, Julie Messina and Jared Dourdeville

In late December 2011, Hayman Capital founder and portfolio manager Kyle Bass was reviewing Japanese government budget projections for 2012. The projections appeared contrary to Hayman Capital's views on Japan, where the fund had built a bearish position. Japan had the... View Details

Keywords: Investment Management; Speculative Bubbles; Japan; Government Policy; Financial Management; Price Bubble; Credit; Financial Strategy; Behavioral Finance; Government and Politics; Macroeconomics; Financial Services Industry; Japan