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- 2005
- Working Paper
Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions
By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
- September 2004
- Article
Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases)
Rational agents with differing priors tend to be overoptimistic about their chances of success. In particular, an agent who tries to choose the action that is most likely to succeed, is more likely to choose an action of which he overestimated, rather than... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Decision Choices and Conditions; Performance Expectations; Outcome or Result; Opportunities; Risk and Uncertainty; Failure; Success; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Personal Characteristics; Values and Beliefs; Ethics
Van den Steen, Eric J. "Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases)." American Economic Review 94, no. 4 (September 2004): 1141–1151.
- March 2004 (Revised October 2013)
- Case
Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns
By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; Financial Services Industry; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Case 204-141, March 2004. (Revised October 2013.)
- January 2004
- Background Note
Why Developers Don't Understand Why Consumers Don't Buy
Looks at the psychological biases developers bring to the new product development process. Identifies three reasons why developers may do a poor job of identifying the demand for an innovative, new concept or product: (1) the self-selection bias, (2) differing initial... View Details
- 2003
- Chapter
Venture Capital Access in The New Economy: Is Gender an Issue?
By: Candida G. Brush, Nancy M. Carter, Elizabeth Gatewood, Patricia G. Greene and Myra M. Hart
Brush, Candida G., Nancy M. Carter, Elizabeth Gatewood, Patricia G. Greene, and Myra M. Hart. "Venture Capital Access in The New Economy: Is Gender an Issue?" In The Emergence of Entrepreneurship Policy: Governance, Start-ups and Growth in the Knowledge Economy, edited by David Hart. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2003.
- August 2003 (Revised January 2013)
- Case
Multinational Corporations in Apartheid-era South Africa: The Issue of Reparations
By: Geoffrey Jones and Cate Reavis
Considers the lawsuits filed on behalf of victims of apartheid against multinationals who operated in South Africa prior to 1994. Reviews the debates about divestment from and sanctions against South Africa from the 1950s. Includes case studies of companies that... View Details
Keywords: Ethics; Multinational Firms and Management; Government Legislation; Lawsuits and Litigation; Business and Government Relations; Prejudice and Bias; South Africa
Jones, Geoffrey, and Cate Reavis. "Multinational Corporations in Apartheid-era South Africa: The Issue of Reparations." Harvard Business School Case 804-027, August 2003. (Revised January 2013.)
- 2003
- Working Paper
Auditor Independence, Conflict of Interest, and the Unconscious Intrusion of Bias
By: Don A. Moore, George Loewenstein, Lloyd Tanlu and Max H. Bazerman
- 2003
- Article
Don't Blame the Computer: When Self-Disclosure Moderates the Self-Serving Bias
By: Youngme Moon
Moon, Youngme. "Don't Blame the Computer: When Self-Disclosure Moderates the Self-Serving Bias." Journal of Consumer Psychology 13, nos. 1-2 (2003).
- 2001
- Other Unpublished Work
'Pure Accidents' and the Evolving Bias of American Liability Law
By: David Moss and Michael Fein
- January 2001
- Book Review
Taking the Bias out of Bean Counting
By: Max Bazerman and G. Loewenstein
Bazerman, Max, and G. Loewenstein. "Taking the Bias out of Bean Counting." Harvard Business Review 79, no. 1 (January 2001).
- Article
Home Bias at Home: Local Equity Preference in Domestic Portfolios
By: Joshua D. Coval and Tobias J. Moskowitz
Coval, Joshua D., and Tobias J. Moskowitz. "Home Bias at Home: Local Equity Preference in Domestic Portfolios." Journal of Finance 54, no. 6 (December 1999). (Winner of Smith Breeden Prize. Best Paper For the best finance research paper published in the Journal of Finance presented by Smith Breeden Associates, Inc.)
- 1998
- Chapter
Sticky Ties and Bad Attitudes: Relational and Individual Bases of Resistance to Changes in Organizational Structure
By: K. L. Valley and T. A. Thompson
Keywords: Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Structure; Attitudes; Prejudice and Bias; Motivation and Incentives; Relationships
Valley, K. L., and T. A. Thompson. "Sticky Ties and Bad Attitudes: Relational and Individual Bases of Resistance to Changes in Organizational Structure." In Power and Influence in Organizations, edited by R. M. Kramer and M. A. Neale, 39–66. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications, 1998.
- 1995
- Chapter
Egocentric Interpretations of Fairness as an Obstacle to Just Resolution of Conflict
By: K. A. Wade-Benzoni, A. E. Tenbrunsel and M. H. Bazerman
- Article
Perceptions and the Politics of Finance: Junk Bonds and the Regulatory Seizure of First Capital Life
By: S. C. Gilson, H. DeAngelo and L. DeAngelo
In May 1991, one month after seizing Executive Life, California regulators seized First Capital Life (FCLIC). Both insurers were Drexel clients with large junk bond holdings, and both had experienced 'bank runs.' FCLIC's run followed regulators' televised comments that... View Details
Gilson, S. C., H. DeAngelo, and L. DeAngelo. "Perceptions and the Politics of Finance: Junk Bonds and the Regulatory Seizure of First Capital Life." Journal of Financial Economics 41, no. 3 (July 1996): 475–511.
- November 1995 (Revised October 1996)
- Background Note
Expectations and Stereotypes: How Do They Affect the Deal?
Designed to provide students with a basic insight into recognizing the productive and destructive aspects of expectations and stereotypes, and their consequent effects on negotiation. View Details
Keywords: Knowledge Acquisition; Management; Negotiation Deal; Performance Expectations; Prejudice and Bias
McGinn, Kathleen L. "Expectations and Stereotypes: How Do They Affect the Deal?" Harvard Business School Background Note 396-167, November 1995. (Revised October 1996.)
- 1994
- Chapter
Biases and Rationality in the Mediation Process
By: K. Gibson, L. L. Thompson and M. H. Bazerman
Gibson, K., L. L. Thompson, and M. H. Bazerman. "Biases and Rationality in the Mediation Process." In Applications of Heuristics and Biases to Social Issues. Vol. 3, edited by L. Heath, F. Bryant, J. Edwards, E. Henderson, J. Myers, E. Posavac, Y. Suarez-Balcazar, and R. S. Tindale. Social Psychological Applications to Social Issues. New York: Plenum Press, 1994.
- November 1990 (Revised August 1996)
- Background Note
Sampling and Statistical Inference
An introduction to sampling and statistical inference that covers the main concepts (confidence intervals, tests of statistical significance, choice of sample size) that are needed in making inferences about a population mean or percent. Includes discussion of problems... View Details
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Sampling and Statistical Inference." Harvard Business School Background Note 191-092, November 1990. (Revised August 1996.)
- June 1990 (Revised March 1991)
- Supplement
Jonah Creighton (B)
By: Anne Donnellon and Joshua D. Margolis
Covers Jonah's two-hour meeting with the company's executive vice president who is next in line to become president, and the outcome of the discriminatory hiring incident that initially troubled Jonah. View Details
Donnellon, Anne, and Joshua D. Margolis. "Jonah Creighton (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 490-091, June 1990. (Revised March 1991.)