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    • All HBS Web  (1,928)
      • Faculty Publications  (413)

      Judgment And Decision-makingRemove Judgment And Decision-making →

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      • November 2012
      • Case

      CSIRO: The Light Metals Flagship Decision

      By: Willy Shih, Margaret P. Pierson and Dawn Lau
      This case explores the challenge of investing in basic research as a public good. CSIRO was Australia's leading science and research agency, and it was chartered to enhance national prosperity through R&D. Its Flagships program was designed to align research interests... View Details
      Keywords: R&D; Basic Research; Government-funded Research; Public Goods; Extractive Industries; Metals; Metals Processing; Decision Choices and Conditions; Decisions; Globalized Markets and Industries; Growth and Development; Innovation Strategy; Technological Innovation; Research and Development; Science-Based Business; Technology Adoption; Technology Platform; Manufacturing Industry; Mining Industry; Oceania; Australia
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      Shih, Willy, Margaret P. Pierson, and Dawn Lau. "CSIRO: The Light Metals Flagship Decision." Harvard Business School Case 613-029, November 2012.
      • September 2012 (Revised March 2013)
      • Teaching Note

      Ultimate Fighting Championship: License to Operate (A) & (B) (TN)

      By: George Serafeim
      The case describes the challenges that Ultimate Fighting Championship faced as a result of regulatory opposition and loss of the license to operate. The genesis of the business idea, the subsequent growth, and the fall of the UFC are described. The case concludes with... View Details
      Keywords: Governance Compliance; Ethics; Judgments; Investment; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; United States
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      Serafeim, George. "Ultimate Fighting Championship: License to Operate (A) & (B) (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 113-034, September 2012. (Revised March 2013.)
      • 2012
      • Case

      Advanced Leadership Pathways: Shelly London and Ethics Education—'Strengthening Our Moral Compass'

      By: Rosabeth Moss Kanter and Anne Arlinghaus
      Shelly London and Ethics Education — 'Strengthening Our Moral Compass' 2009 AL Fellow
      Following a successful career as a Senior Vice President, Vice President, and Chief Communications Officer at two large corporate companies, Shelly London set out to promote... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership Skills; Ethics Education; Initiatives; Morality; Moral Compass; Prima Facie; Grassroots Movement; Ethical Reasoning; Decision-making; Social Media; Media Relations; Family Dinner Project; Public Conversations Project; Laura Chasin; Computer Games; Video Games; Quandary; Organizational Structure; Infrastructure; Ethics; Education; Moral Sensibility; Behavior; Decision Making; Leadership; Innovation and Management; Education Industry; Service Industry; North and Central America
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      Kanter, Rosabeth Moss, and Anne Arlinghaus. "Advanced Leadership Pathways: Shelly London and Ethics Education—'Strengthening Our Moral Compass'." Harvard Business Publishing Case 313-028, 2012. (Harvard Advanced Leadership Initiative.)
      • Article

      Employee Selection as a Control System

      By: Dennis Campbell
      Theories from the economics, management control, and organizational behavior literatures predict that when it is difficult to align incentives by contracting on output, aligning preferences via employee selection may provide a useful alternative. This study... View Details
      Keywords: Management Systems; Governance Controls; Employees; Selection and Staffing; Motivation and Incentives; Decision Making; Business Model
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      Campbell, Dennis. "Employee Selection as a Control System." Journal of Accounting Research 50, no. 4 (September 2012): 931–966.
      • 2012
      • Chapter

      Leading in Crises: Observations on the Political and Decision-Making Dimensions of Response

      By: Herman B. Leonard and Arnold M. Howitt
      Emergency response organizations, as we have argued in earlier writing, must deal with both "routine emergencies" (dangerous events, perhaps extremely severe, that are routine because they can be anticipated and prepared for) and "true crises" (which, because of... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Leadership; Decision Choices and Conditions; Crisis Management; Government and Politics
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      Leonard, Herman B., and Arnold M. Howitt. "Leading in Crises: Observations on the Political and Decision-Making Dimensions of Response." Chap. 3 in Mega-Crises: Understanding the Prospects, Nature, Characteristics and the Effects of Cataclysmic Events, edited by Ira Helsloot, Arjen Boin, Brian Jacobs, and Louise K. Comfort, 25–36. Springfield, IL: Charles C. Thomas, 2012.
      • 2012
      • Working Paper

      The Cost of Friendship

      By: Paul A. Gompers, Yuhai Xuan and Vladimir Mukharlyamov
      This paper explores two broad questions on collaboration between individuals. First, we investigate what personal characteristics affect people's desire to work together. Second, given the influence of these personal characteristics, we analyze whether this attraction... View Details
      Keywords: Partners and Partnerships; Investment; Performance; Personal Characteristics
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      Gompers, Paul A., Yuhai Xuan, and Vladimir Mukharlyamov. "The Cost of Friendship." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18141, June 2012.
      • May 2012
      • Case

      Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (A)

      By: Amy C. Edmondson and Kerry Herman
      This case documents decision-making processes, organizational culture, and other contributors to NASA's failed Columbia mission in 2003. Addresses the question of how organizations should deal with "ambiguous threats" - weak signals of potential crisis - and explores... View Details
      Keywords: Cognitive Biases; Teams; Organizational Learning; Ambiguous Threat; Leadership; Organizational Culture; Decision Making; Failure; Crisis Management; Aerospace Industry
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      Edmondson, Amy C., and Kerry Herman. "Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (A)." Harvard Business School Case 612-095, May 2012.
      • April 2012
      • Article

      The Impact of Relative Standards on the Propensity to Disclose

      By: Alessandro Acquisti, Leslie John and George Loewenstein
      Two sets of studies illustrate the comparative nature of disclosure behavior. The first set investigates how divulgence is affected by signals about others' readiness to divulge. Study 1A shows a "herding" effect, such that survey respondents are more willing to... View Details
      Keywords: Rights; Surveys; Management Practices and Processes; Ethics; Corporate Disclosure; Judgments; Consumer Behavior; Standards
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      Acquisti, Alessandro, Leslie John, and George Loewenstein. "The Impact of Relative Standards on the Propensity to Disclose." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 49, no. 2 (April 2012): 160–174.
      • March 2012 (Revised October 2013)
      • Supplement

      Gene Patents (B)

      By: Richard Hamermesh and Phillip Andrews
      The case updates events since the Court's ruling against Myriad Genetics on March 29, 2010 and should be used in conjunction with Gene Patents (A). On July 29, 2011, a US Appeals Court reversed the prior ruling against Myriad. On September 16, 2011, the first major... View Details
      Keywords: Courts and Trials; Patents; Genetics; Judgments; Investment; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Hamermesh, Richard, and Phillip Andrews. "Gene Patents (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 812-130, March 2012. (Revised October 2013.)
      • December 2012
      • Article

      Behavioral Ethics: Toward a Deeper Understanding of Moral Judgment and Dishonesty

      By: Max Bazerman and Francesca Gino
      Early research and teaching on ethics focused on either a moral development perspective or philosophical approaches, and used a normative approach by focusing on the question of how people should act when resolving ethical dilemmas. In this paper, we briefly describe... View Details
      Keywords: Ethical Decision Making; Corruption; Unethical Behavior; Behavioral Decision Research; Behavior; Ethics
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      Bazerman, Max, and Francesca Gino. "Behavioral Ethics: Toward a Deeper Understanding of Moral Judgment and Dishonesty." Annual Review of Law and Social Science 8 (December 2012): 85–104.
      • 2012
      • Chapter

      Environmental Federalism in the European Union and the United States

      By: David Vogel, Michael W. Toffel, Diahanna Post and Nazli Z. Uludere Aragon
      The United States (US) and the European Union (EU) are federal systems in which the responsibility for environmental policy-making is divided or shared between the central government and the (member) states. The attribution of decision-making power has important policy... View Details
      Keywords: Natural Environment; Policy; Government and Politics; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; European Union; United States
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      Vogel, David, Michael W. Toffel, Diahanna Post, and Nazli Z. Uludere Aragon. "Environmental Federalism in the European Union and the United States." Chap. 11 in A Handbook of Globalisation and Environmental Policy. 2nd ed. Edited by Frank Wijen, Kees Zoeteman, Jan Pieters, and Paul van Seters, 321–361. Cheltenham, UK, 2012.
      • Article

      The Learning Effects of Monitoring

      By: Dennis Campbell, Marc Epstein and F. Asis Martinez-Jerez
      This paper investigates the relationship between monitoring, decision making, and learning among lower-level employees. We exploit a field-research setting in which business units vary in the "tightness" with which they monitor employee decisions. We find that tighter... View Details
      Keywords: Learning; Business or Company Management; Decision Making; Employees; Research; Resignation and Termination; Rights; Business Units; Governance Controls; Performance; Motivation and Incentives
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      Campbell, Dennis, Marc Epstein, and F. Asis Martinez-Jerez. "The Learning Effects of Monitoring." Accounting Review 86, no. 6 (November 2011): 1909–1934.
      • July 2011 (Revised November 2012)
      • Case

      Ultimate Fighting Championship: License to Operate (A)

      By: George Serafeim and Kyle Welch
      The case describes the challenges that Ultimate Fighting Championship faced as a result of regulatory opposition and loss of the license to operate. The genesis of the business idea, the subsequent growth, and the fall of the UFC are described. The case concludes with... View Details
      Keywords: Governance Compliance; Ethics; Judgments; Investment; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
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      Serafeim, George, and Kyle Welch. "Ultimate Fighting Championship: License to Operate (A)." Harvard Business School Case 112-011, July 2011. (Revised November 2012.)
      • July – August 2011
      • Article

      What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul Healy, Nitin Nohria and George Serafeim
      A firm's competitive environment, its strategic choices, and its internal capabilities are considered important determinants of its future performance. Yet there is little evidence on whether analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Forecasting and Prediction; Industry Growth; Judgments; Performance; Valuation; Price; Quality; Innovation and Invention; Organizational Culture; Competency and Skills; Surveys
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul Healy, Nitin Nohria, and George Serafeim. "What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?" Financial Analysts Journal 67, no. 4 (July–August 2011).
      • June 2011 (Revised October 2013)
      • Case

      Gene Patents (A)

      By: Richard Hamermesh, David Kiron and Phillip Andrews
      In March 2010, U.S. District Court Judge Robert Sweet overturned 30 years of legal precedent and ruled that unaltered human genes could not be patented. This case reviews patent law and how it relates to our increasing knowledge of the Human Genome. The case issues... View Details
      Keywords: Courts and Trials; Patents; Genetics; Judgments; Science-Based Business; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Hamermesh, Richard, David Kiron, and Phillip Andrews. "Gene Patents (A)." Harvard Business School Case 811-089, June 2011. (Revised October 2013.)
      • Article

      Naivete and Cynicism in Negotiations and Other Competitive Contexts

      By: Chia-Jung Tsay, Lisa L. Shu and Max H. Bazerman
      A wealth of literature documents how the common failure to think about the self-interests of others contributes to suboptimal outcomes. Yet sometimes, an excess of cynicism appears to lead us to over-think the actions of others and make negative attributions about... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Outcome or Result; Trust; Judgments
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      Tsay, Chia-Jung, Lisa L. Shu, and Max H. Bazerman. "Naivete and Cynicism in Negotiations and Other Competitive Contexts." Academy of Management Annals 5 (2011): 495–518.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Delay as Agenda Setting

      By: James J. Anton and Dennis A. Yao
      We examine a dynamic decision-making process involving unrelated issues in which a decision may be endogenously delayed by the allocation of influence resources. Delay is strategically interesting when decision makers with asymmetric preferences face multiple issues... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Resource Allocation; Conflict of Interests; Power and Influence; Strategy
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      Anton, James J., and Dennis A. Yao. "Delay as Agenda Setting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-082, February 2011. (Revised February 2025.)
      • Article

      From Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making.

      By: Dan Ariely and Michael I. Norton
      Due to the sheer number and variety of decisions that people make in their everyday lives-from choosing yogurts to choosing religions to choosing spouses-research in judgment and decision making has taken many forms. We suggest, however, that much of this research has... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Cognition and Thinking; Judgments; Research; Problems and Challenges
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      Ariely, Dan, and Michael I. Norton. "From Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making." Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science 2, no. 1 (January–February 2011): 39–46.
      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      The Importance of Work Context in Organizational Learning from Error

      By: Lucy H. MacPhail and Amy C. Edmondson
      This paper examines the implications of work context for learning from errors in organizations. Prior research has shown that attitudes and behaviors related to error vary between groups within organizations but has not investigated or theorized the ways in which... View Details
      Keywords: Judgments; Learning; Business Processes; Organizational Culture; Failure; Performance Improvement; Opportunities; Complexity
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      MacPhail, Lucy H., and Amy C. Edmondson. "The Importance of Work Context in Organizational Learning from Error." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-074, January 2011.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
      In this paper we present the results from a "corruption game" (a dictator game modified so that the second player can accept a side payment that reduces the overall size of the pie). Dictators (silently) treated to have the possibility of taking a larger proportion of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Fairness; Values and Beliefs; Game Theory; Personal Characteristics
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16645, December 2010.
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