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  • All HBS Web  (3,385)
    • News  (517)
    • Research  (2,491)
    • Events  (43)
    • Multimedia  (18)
  • Faculty Publications  (1,615)
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  • August 2010
  • Supplement

Flash Memory, Inc., Faculty Spreadsheet Supplement (Brief Case)

By: William E. Fruhan Jr. and Craig Stephenson
Keywords: Forecasting; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Budgeting
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Fruhan, William E., Jr., and Craig Stephenson. "Flash Memory, Inc., Faculty Spreadsheet Supplement (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 104-234, August 2010.
  • October 2014 (Revised August 2018)
  • Case

Caesars Entertainment

By: Janice H. Hammond and Aldo Sesia
This case describes the introduction of a regression analysis model for forecasting guest arrivals to Caesars Palace hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada. The company will use the forecast to staff the front desk in the hotel. The staff is unionized and the company has little... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting; Staffing; Gaming; Gaming Industry; Hotel Industry; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction; Human Resources; Selection and Staffing; Entertainment; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Operations; Service Delivery; Service Operations; Food and Beverage Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; Las Vegas
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Hammond, Janice H., and Aldo Sesia. "Caesars Entertainment." Harvard Business School Case 615-031, October 2014. (Revised August 2018.)
  • 2022
  • Working Paper

TalkToModel: Explaining Machine Learning Models with Interactive Natural Language Conversations

By: Dylan Slack, Satyapriya Krishna, Himabindu Lakkaraju and Sameer Singh
Practitioners increasingly use machine learning (ML) models, yet they have become more complex and harder to understand. To address this issue, researchers have proposed techniques to explain model predictions. However, practitioners struggle to use explainability... View Details
Keywords: Natural Language Conversations; Predictive Models; AI and Machine Learning
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Slack, Dylan, Satyapriya Krishna, Himabindu Lakkaraju, and Sameer Singh. "TalkToModel: Explaining Machine Learning Models with Interactive Natural Language Conversations." Working Paper, 2022.
  • 11 Dec 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

The Use and Misuse of Patent Data: Issues for Corporate Finance and Beyond

Keywords: by Josh Lerner and Amit Seru
  • June 2019
  • Teaching Note

Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Practicum in Predictive Analytics

By: Michael W. Toffel and Dan Levy
Teaching Note for HBS No. 618-019. View Details
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Toffel, Michael W., and Dan Levy. "Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Practicum in Predictive Analytics." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 619-071, June 2019.
  • June 2019
  • Supplement

Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Introduction to Predictive Analytics

By: Michael W. Toffel and Dan Levy
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Toffel, Michael W., and Dan Levy. "Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Introduction to Predictive Analytics." Harvard Business School PowerPoint Supplement 619-717, June 2019.
  • June 2019
  • Teaching Note

Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Introduction to Predictive Analytics

By: Michael W. Toffel and Dan Levy
Teaching Note for HBS No. 618-019. View Details
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Toffel, Michael W., and Dan Levy. "Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Introduction to Predictive Analytics." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 619-044, June 2019.
  • 2020
  • Conference Presentation

A Performance-optimized Limb Detection Model Selectively Predicts Behavioral Responses Based on Movement Similarity

By: X. Zhao, J. De Freitas, L. Tarhan and G. A. Alvarez
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Zhao, X., J. De Freitas, L. Tarhan, and G. A. Alvarez. "A Performance-optimized Limb Detection Model Selectively Predicts Behavioral Responses Based on Movement Similarity." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Vision Sciences Society, St. Pete Beach, FL, 2020.
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Paying for the Truth: The Efficacy of a Peer Prediction Mechanism in the Field

By: Natalia Rigol and Benjamin N. Roth
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Rigol, Natalia, and Benjamin N. Roth. "Paying for the Truth: The Efficacy of a Peer Prediction Mechanism in the Field." Working Paper, April 2016.
  • 1998
  • Book

Do Lunch or Be Lunch: The Power of Predictability in Creating Your Future

By: H. H. Stevenson and Jeffrey L. Cruikshank
Keywords: Personal Development and Career
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Stevenson, H. H., and Jeffrey L. Cruikshank. Do Lunch or Be Lunch: The Power of Predictability in Creating Your Future. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1998.
  • June 2019
  • Supplement

Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Practicum in Predictive Analytics

By: Michael W. Toffel and Dan Levy
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Toffel, Michael W., and Dan Levy. "Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Practicum in Predictive Analytics." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 619-719, June 2019.
  • June 2010 (Revised July 2011)
  • Case

Classic Knitwear and Guardian: A Perfect Fit?

By: John A. Quelch and Patricia Girardi
Classic Knitwear manufactures and distributes casual apparel, either unbranded or under a private-label brand name. Partly because Classic has no brand recognition with consumers, gross margins are low. To improve margins, the company considers partnering via a... View Details
Keywords: Market Research; Forecasting; Consumer Marketing; New Product Marketing; Product Lines; Merchandising; Branding; Demand and Consumers; Partners and Partnerships; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Marketing; Brands and Branding; Product Development; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry
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Quelch, John A., and Patricia Girardi. "Classic Knitwear and Guardian: A Perfect Fit?" Harvard Business School Brief Case 104-217, June 2010. (Revised July 2011.)
  • September 1998
  • Article

Predicting How People Play Games: Reinforcement Learning in Experimental Games with Unique, Mixed Strategy Equilibria

By: Ido Erev and A. E. Roth
Keywords: Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Forecasting and Prediction; Learning; Strategy
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Erev, Ido, and A. E. Roth. "Predicting How People Play Games: Reinforcement Learning in Experimental Games with Unique, Mixed Strategy Equilibria." American Economic Review 88, no. 4 (September 1998): 848–881.
  • September 2010
  • Teaching Note

New Heritage Doll Company (Brief Case)

By: Timothy A. Luehrman and Heide Abelli
Teaching Note for 4212. View Details
Keywords: Forecasting; Resource Management; Resource Allocation; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Budgeting
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Luehrman, Timothy A., and Heide Abelli. "New Heritage Doll Company (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 104-213, September 2010.
  • June 2009 (Revised March 2010)
  • Supplement

Hansson Private Label, Inc.: Evaluating an Investment in Expansion, Student Spreadsheet (Brief Case)

By: Erik Stafford and Joel L. Heilprin
Keywords: Present Value; Forecasting; Expansion; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Budgeting
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Stafford, Erik, and Joel L. Heilprin. "Hansson Private Label, Inc.: Evaluating an Investment in Expansion, Student Spreadsheet (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 094-025, June 2009. (Revised March 2010.)
  • 16 Oct 2019
  • Working Paper Summaries

Core Earnings? New Data and Evidence

Keywords: by Ethan Rouen, Eric So, and Charles C.Y. Wang
  • 1997
  • Chapter

On the Dynamics of Forecasting in Technologically Complex Environments: The Unexpectedly Long Old Age of Optical Lithography

By: Rebecca M. Henderson
Keywords: History; Information Technology; Situation or Environment; Complexity; Forecasting and Prediction; Technology Industry
Citation
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Henderson, Rebecca M. "On the Dynamics of Forecasting in Technologically Complex Environments: The Unexpectedly Long Old Age of Optical Lithography." In Technological Innovation: Oversights and Foresights, edited by Raghu Garud, Praveen Rattan Nayyar, and Zur Baruch Shapira. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997.
  • 2018
  • Working Paper

Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts: When Is It Appropriate to Extremize or Anti-Extremize?

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose and Robert L. Winkler
Many organizations face critical decisions that rely on forecasts of binary events. In these situations, organizations often gather forecasts from multiple experts or models and average those forecasts to produce a single aggregate forecast. Because the average... View Details
Keywords: Forecast Aggregation; Linear Opinion Pool; Generalized Additive Model; Generalized Linear Model; Stacking.; Forecasting and Prediction
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose, and Robert L. Winkler. "Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts: When Is It Appropriate to Extremize or Anti-Extremize?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-041, October 2018.
  • December 2003 (Revised February 2008)
  • Background Note

Law and Legal Reasoning: An Introduction

By: Henry B. Reiling
Gives prominence to Mr. Justice Holmes' Prediction Theory of the law as a practical--and by analogy to forecasting in finance and other functional areas of business--comfortable, and familiar way for businesspeople to think about the law. Law is defined as a forecast... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Law; Theory
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Reiling, Henry B. "Law and Legal Reasoning: An Introduction." Harvard Business School Background Note 204-080, December 2003. (Revised February 2008.)
  • 2021
  • Article

An Empirical Examination of Sell-Side Brokerage Analysts' Published Research, Concierge Services, and High-Touch Services

By: David A. Maber, Boris Groysberg and Paul M. Healy
This paper uses a proprietary panel dataset to categorize and quantify the activities that sell-side brokerage analysts use to build and sustain their network of buy-side client relations. We then examine the marginal impact of these activities on key analyst outcome... View Details
Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Ratings; Brokerage Commissions; Earnings Forecasts
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Maber, David A., Boris Groysberg, and Paul M. Healy. "An Empirical Examination of Sell-Side Brokerage Analysts' Published Research, Concierge Services, and High-Touch Services." European Accounting Review 30, no. 4 (2021): 827–853.
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