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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(2,859)
- News (467)
- Research (2,199)
- Events (43)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (1,409)
- April 12, 2022
- Article
Evaluation of Individual and Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts of COVID-19 Mortality in the United States
By: Estee Y. Cramer, Evan L. Ray, Velma K. Lopez, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira, Michael Lingzhi Li and et al.
Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers. Forecasting models... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Forecasting and Prediction; Health Pandemics; Mathematical Methods; Partners and Partnerships
Cramer, Estee Y., Evan L. Ray, Velma K. Lopez, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira, Michael Lingzhi Li, and et al. "Evaluation of Individual and Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts of COVID-19 Mortality in the United States." e2113561119. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119, no. 15 (April 12, 2022). (See full author list here.)
- 2014
- Chapter
Appetite, Consumption, and Choice in the Human Brain
By: Brian Knutson and Uma R. Karmarkar
Although linked, researchers have long distinguished appetitive from consummatory phases of reward processing. Recent improvements in the spatial and temporal resolution of neuroimaging techniques have allowed researchers to separately visualize different stages of... View Details
Knutson, Brian, and Uma R. Karmarkar. "Appetite, Consumption, and Choice in the Human Brain." Chap. 9 in The Interdisciplinary Science of Consumption, edited by Stephanie D. Preston, Morten L. Kringelbach, and Brian Knutson, 163–184. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2014.
- 2023
- Working Paper
The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio
By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
Trailing price ratios, such as the price-dividend and the price-earnings ratio, scale prices by trailing cash flow measures. They theoretically contain expected returns, yet, their performance in predicting stock market returns is poor. This is because of an omitted... View Details
Keywords: Price; Investment Return; AI and Machine Learning; Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio." Working Paper, November 2023.
- 25 Oct 2004
- Research & Ideas
Planning for Surprises
The train wreck that was Enron's collapse is only one big, blatant example of how some disasters catch us unawares—but shouldn't. In fact, according to Max H. Bazerman and Michael D. Watkins, many surprises in all types and sizes of organizations are View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
The Link Between Bonds and Individual Stocks
Government bonds comove more strongly with bond-like stocks: stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor distressed. Variables derived from the yield curve that are already known to predict returns on... View Details
- 2009
- Article
Social Structure Shapes Cultural Stereotypes and Emotions: A Causal Test of the Stereotype Content Model
By: P. Caprariello, A.J.C. Cuddy and S.T. Fiske
The stereotype content model (SCM) posits that social structure predicts specific cultural stereotypes and associated emotional prejudices (Fiske et al., 2002). No prior evidence at a societal level has manipulated both structural predictors and measured both... View Details
Keywords: Competency and Skills; Mathematical Methods; Emotions; Personal Characteristics; Prejudice and Bias; Status and Position; Culture; Competition
Caprariello, P., A.J.C. Cuddy, and S.T. Fiske. "Social Structure Shapes Cultural Stereotypes and Emotions: A Causal Test of the Stereotype Content Model." Group Processes & Intergroup Relations 12, no. 2 (2009): 147–155.
- December 2024
- Article
Is There Too Little Antitrust Enforcement in the U.S. Hospital Sector?
By: Zarek Brot-Goldberg, Zack Cooper, Stuart Craig and Lev Klarnet
From 2002 to 2020, there were over 1,000 mergers of U.S. hospitals. During this period, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) took enforcement actions against 13 transactions. However, using the FTC’s standard screening tools, we find that 20% of these mergers could have... View Details
Keywords: Monopoly; Mergers and Acquisitions; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Competition; Health Industry
Brot-Goldberg, Zarek, Zack Cooper, Stuart Craig, and Lev Klarnet. "Is There Too Little Antitrust Enforcement in the U.S. Hospital Sector?" American Economic Review: Insights 6, no. 4 (December 2024): 526–542.
Using AI to Adjust Your Marketing and Sales in a Volatile World
Why are some firms better and faster than others at adapting their use of customer data to respond to changing or uncertain marketing conditions? A common thread across faster-acting firms is the use of AI models to predict outcomes at various stages of the customer... View Details
- 04 Dec 2019
- Working Paper Summaries
Pathways to Materiality: How Sustainability Issues Become Financially Material to Corporations and Their Investors
Keywords: by Jean Rogers and George Serafeim
- 02 May 2013
- HBS Seminar
Eric Werker, Harvard Business School
- September 1996 (Revised March 2002)
- Case
Bishay Industries
By: David F. Hawkins and Norman Bartczak
A bankrupt company has a turnaround plan. Students are asked to predict whether it will be successful. View Details
Keywords: Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Business Plan; Goals and Objectives; Strategic Planning; Business Strategy; Cash Flow; Mathematical Methods; Financial Services Industry
Hawkins, David F., and Norman Bartczak. "Bishay Industries." Harvard Business School Case 197-024, September 1996. (Revised March 2002.)
- 13 Nov 2019
- Research & Ideas
Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet
Imagine a future in which a smart marketing machine can predict the needs and habits of individual consumers and the dynamics of competitors across industries and markets. This device would collect data to answer strategic questions, guide managerial decisions, and... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
- December 1970 (Revised September 2006)
- Case
Harmon Foods, Inc.
Prediction and shipment has been a scheduling and budgetary problem. Multiple regression is suggested as a solution. Evaluation of regression coefficients leads to better understanding of trend, seasonality, and promotion effectiveness. View Details
Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Production; Forecasting and Prediction; Budgets and Budgeting; Manufacturing Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Whiston, William B. "Harmon Foods, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 171-248, December 1970. (Revised September 2006.)
- 20 Oct 2011
- Research & Ideas
Getting the Marketing Mix Right
their FSL model, however, the results provided much greater detail about the potential effects of different marketing investments. For example, the model predicted that sales gains from DTCA and M&E would come primarily through... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
- Article
Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates
By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of... View Details
Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
- 17 Dec 2020
- Research & Ideas
The 10 Most Popular Stories of 2020
about the most interesting business trends of the year, and your predictions for 2021. Top 10 most popular stories Merck CEO Ken Frazier Discusses a COVID Cure, Racism, and Why Leaders Need to Walk the Talk Ken Frazier, one of only four... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
- 02 Aug 2010
- News
Four Things Groups Want that Leaders Can't Give — and One They Can
- 14 Mar 2023
- Cold Call Podcast
Can AI and Machine Learning Help Park Rangers Prevent Poaching?
- 07 Dec 2018
- Video