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  • 24 Jun 2014
  • First Look

First Look: June 24

Implicit in U.S. Tax Policy and the Costs of Unequal Growth and Recessions By: Lockwood, Benjamin, and Matthew Weinzierl Abstract—We use official data and standard optimal tax conditions to infer the positive and normative judgments... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Nov 2022
  • Op-Ed

Feeling Separation Anxiety at Your Startup? 5 Tips to Soothe These Growing Pains

employees to form personal relationships with founders outside of work. Late night beers or weekend family barbecues may have become routine. With a larger team, consider how these special out-of-work connections reflect on your leadership. Optically, it can View Details
Keywords: by Julia Austin
  • Web

How $40 Loans Lifted Lives in Kenya | Working Knowledge

inferred from contact lists and texting behavior. This allowed researchers to build on computer science literature showing how mobile phone data can be used to measure financial well-being. Borrowers’ loan amounts and interest rates On... View Details
  • 04 Mar 2002
  • Research & Ideas

Don’t Lose Money With Customers

customer. "Sometimes it makes sense to have a conversation with customers to find out how satisfied they are, and there are other times when the vendor might be better off drawing inferences from observations of actual customer... View Details
Keywords: by Peter K. Jacobs
  • 17 Oct 2006
  • First Look

First Look: October 17, 2006

signal and infer quality of difficult-to-observe management practices. Prior evaluations of voluntary management programs have focused on those that lack verification mechanisms and have found little evidence that they legitimately... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Sep 2015
  • First Look

September 15, 2015

downside market risks. Required rates of return in such an equilibrium can dramatically exceed those suggested by traditional models, affecting inference about the attractiveness of these investments. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Aug 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Immigrant Innovators: Job Stealers or Job Creators?

information about inventors' immigration status or ethnicities, they do contain the inventors' names. By utilizing name-matching software, the researchers could infer the ethnicity of inventors at any given firm. An inventor named Chang... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Technology
  • 17 Sep 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Is There Help for the Big Ticket Buyer?

consumer's expected welfare. One way to think of this is to ask whether a better-informed consumer would move in the directions suggested by prescriptive models. Generally, I predict that as a consumer received more information, they would behave more compatibly with... View Details
Keywords: by Max H. Bazerman
  • 15 May 2006
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Women Find New Path to Work

deeper survey about their careers. Why was it that there were relatively few of these women in the very high income brackets, and many, many more in the lower income brackets? What was going on in their lives? I found out, of course—and you could View Details
Keywords: by Mallory Stark
  • 16 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 16, 2018

Methods By: Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Ryan Allen, and Michael G. Endres Abstract—We describe how to employ machine learning (ML) methods in theory development. Compared to traditional causal inference methods, ML methods make far fewer a... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 20 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 20, 2007

(forthcoming) Abstract Abarbanell and Lehavy (2006) examine the effect of distributional properties of earnings and forecast data used by researchers who investigate 'Street' earnings. They perform a large number of analyses, and emphasize that care must be taken in... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 26 Aug 2008
  • First Look

First Look: August 26, 2008

Law & Economics: The Case of the Federal Radio Commission in 1927 Authors:David A. Moss, Jonathan B. Lackow Abstract In the study of law and economics, there is a danger that historical inferences from theory may infect historical... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 23, 2008

mean-variance optimization with sample means and covariances. The Bayesian inspired Black-Litterman model is described after introducing the intuition of the Bayesian approach to inference in a univariate setting. Purchase this note:... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 06 Dec 2016
  • First Look

December 6, 2016

overworked lifestyle, rather than a leisurely lifestyle, has become an aspirational status symbol. A series of studies shows that the positive inferences of status in response to busyness and lack of leisure are driven by the perceptions... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Mar 2018
  • News

Making Sense of the Modern Startup

cash at what time? How is risk allocated? What are the incentives of all parties to the deal now and given reasonable scenarios into the future? Who will be attracted by the deal? What can be inferred from how people respond to the deal... View Details
Keywords: Jeffrey L. Cruikshank (PMD 51, 1986)
  • 13 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 13, 2018

librarians. Using journal impact factors to infer the quality of a faculty members’ publications incurs a high incidence of both Type 1 errors, when we conclude incorrectly that a paper published in a top-5 journal is a high-impact paper,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 14 Aug 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, August 14, 2018

Eight studies demonstrate that when firms empower consumers to vote, consumers infer a series of implicit promises—even in the absence of explicit promises. We identify three implicit promises to which consumers react negatively when... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 30 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 30, 2018

Developing Theory Using Machine Learning Methods By: Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Ryan Allen, and Michael G. Endres Abstract—We describe how to employ machine learning (ML) methods in theory development. Compared to traditional causal inference... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 10 Oct 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, October 10, 2017

average, consistent with the Bayesian intuition that the market inferred their work was mediocre all along. We then investigate whether the eminence of the retracted author and the cause of the retraction (fraud vs. mistake) shape the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Dec 2014
  • First Look

First Look: December 23

interference when identifying an object from others' spatial perspectives, and relied more heavily on privileged knowledge when inferring others' beliefs. Using both experimental-causal-chain and measurement-of-mediation approaches, we... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel