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    Walter A. Friedman

    Walter A. Friedman is Director of the Business History Initiative and Lecturer.  He edits Business History Review with Geoff Jones. He specializes in business, labor, and economic history. He is author of Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First... View Details

    Keywords: advertising; automobiles; automotive; electrical equipment; electronics; information technology industry; marketing industry; railroad; retailing; soft drink
    • 03 Jan 2014
    • News

    Book Review: 'Fortune Tellers' by Walter Friedman

      Rethinking Nuclear: Can We Change the World’s Cumulative Carbon Emissions Soon Enough?

      Today’s existing nuclear power alternatives as well as renewables are currently forecast by the EIA and IEA to be losing the race with fossil fuels worldwide and are expected to continue do so for the forecast future. A suite of *new* nuclear power... View Details

      • June 2013
      • Article

      Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns

      By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
      We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the... View Details
      Keywords: Quality; Bonds; Forecasting and Prediction; Credit
      Related
      • January 2022
      • Case

      Tomorrow.io Goes to Space

      By: Joshua Lev Krieger, Abhishek Nagaraj and James Barnett
      This case study explores the evolution of Tomorrow.io, a weather forecasting technology company, as it pivoted toward building and launching space-based weather radar satellites. This strategic shift was driven by the company's ambition to overcome data limitations in... View Details
      Keywords: Communication; Competency and Skills; Engineering; Globalization; Innovation and Invention; Performance; Information Technology; Aerospace Industry
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      • 05 Mar 2018
      • Working Paper Summaries

      Nowcasting Gentrification: Using Yelp Data to Quantify Neighborhood Change

      Keywords: by Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca
      • 02 Oct 2020
      • News

      Building a Just and Climate-Ready Economy in a Post-COVID World

      • March 1997
      • Background Note

      Copper and Zinc Markets 1996

      By: Peter Tufano
      Provides background information on copper and zinc markets as of mid-1996. Discusses supply and demand conditions, forecasts of the spot prices of the metals, and contracts for future delivery (forwards, futures, and options). View Details
      Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Metals and Minerals; Supply and Industry; Mining Industry
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      • April 2008
      • Tutorial

      Finance: An Introductory Online Course

      By: Timothy A. Luehrman, Brenda W. Chia and Michelle Rendall
      The Finance Online Course provides a fundamental understanding of the principles, analytical tools, and knowledge needed to make good investment and financing decisions. The course introduces students to finance ratios, forecasting methods, capital structure theory,... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Management; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Corporate Finance
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      • January 1999 (Revised June 2006)
      • Case

      Advanced Technologies, Inc.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The CEO of a semiconductor equipment manufacturer is assessing the financial forecasts and financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Continued rapid growth will create substantial financing pressures, especially if profitability fails to recover and/or if... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Earnings Management; Financial Condition; Financial Reporting; Risk and Uncertainty; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Outcome or Result; Growth and Development; Crisis Management; Profit; Financial Strategy; Semiconductor Industry; Manufacturing Industry
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      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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      • Research Summary

      Voluntary Disclosure

      Professor Kimbrough's early work focused on the determinants and economic consequences of firms’ disclosure practices related to earnings. This included examinations of management forecasts and earnings-related conference calls. View Details
      • February 1982 (Revised August 1985)
      • Case

      U.S. Retail Coffee Market (A)

      Set in mid-1978, this case covers all aspects of the U.S. retail coffee market both cross-sectionally and historically. The market is recovering from dramatic price rises and volume drops. The overall issue is the forecast of future market evolution and the... View Details
      Keywords: Marketing Strategy; Industry Growth; Market Timing; Retail Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; United States
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      • September 2011
      • Article

      What Drives Sell-Side Analyst Compensation at High-Status Investment Banks?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and David A. Maber
      We use proprietary data from a major investment bank to investigate factors associated with analysts' annual compensation. We find compensation to be positively related to "All-Star" recognition, investment-banking contributions, the size of analysts' portfolios, and... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Banking; Research; Compensation and Benefits; Investment Portfolio; Forecasting and Prediction; Resource Allocation; Status and Position; Business Earnings; Quality; Revenue; Stocks; Voting
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      • November 2020
      • Case

      Axis My India

      By: Ananth Raman, Ann Winslow and Kairavi Dey
      Pradeep Gupta founded Axis My India (AMI) as a printing and publishing company in 1998. In 2013, AMI expanded into consumer research and election forecasting. Although a relatively unknown entity, AMI predicted several election results accurately. Gupta describes AMI’s... View Details
      Keywords: Market Research; Operations; Management; Infrastructure; Logistics; Service Operations; Political Elections; Forecasting and Prediction; Asia; India
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      • January 1992 (Revised March 1993)
      • Case

      Maison Bouygues

      By: John A. Quelch
      The vice president of marketing is reviewing the 1991 marketing plan and budget for Maison Bouygues, the leading builder of new single family homes in France. Due to recession, the company's sales are forecast to be flat and adjustments may need to be made in the... View Details
      Keywords: Housing; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Brands and Branding; Construction Industry; France
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      • Research Summary

      Dawn Matsumoto's research investigates managers' financial reporting decisions including the incentives driving these decisions and the impact of these decisions on capital market participants. She is interested in the role of financial intermediaries (such as... View Details
      • June 2023 (Revised April 2025)
      • Case

      Optimalen Capital

      By: Malcolm Baker, Elisabeth Kempf and Jonathan Wallen
      A new client portfolio manager at a quantitative investment management firm must explain why her firm, Optimalen Capital, has rebalanced a client portfolio with a set of trades that seem unintuitive. In particular, Optimalen has added to its position of Walmart (ticker... View Details
      Keywords: Investments; CAPM; Capital Asset Pricing Model; Investment Portfolio; Asset Pricing; Stocks
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      • Research Summary

      Incorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting.

      Forecasting firm-level sales is a key activity in top-down planning in most organizations. In the retailing industry, firms can use inventory and price to stimulate demand. Hence, standard time series methods for sales forecasting can be improved by incorporating... View Details
      • September 2002
      • Case

      Align Technology, Inc.: Matching Manufacturing Capacity to Sales Demand

      By: H. Kent Bowen and Jonathan P Groberg
      Align Technology is a four-year-old medical products company that has invented a new product requiring new manufacturing processes. Demand for the new product has grown more slowly than initial forecasts predicted, and the cost structure is preventing the company from... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care and Treatment; Collaborative Innovation and Invention; Problems and Challenges; Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Sales; Demand and Consumers; Production; Health Industry
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