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Publications

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      • Article

      Personalization and Targeting: How to Experiment, Learn & Optimize

      By: Aurelie Lemmens, Jason M.T. Roos, Sebastian Gabel, Eva Ascarza, Hernan Bruno, Elea McDonnell Feit, Brett Gordon, Ayelet Israeli, Carl F. Mela and Oded Netzer
      Personalization has become the heartbeat of modern marketing. Advances in causal inference and machine learning enable companies to understand how the same marketing action can impact the choices of individual customers differently. This article provides an academic... View Details
      Keywords: Targeting; Experiments; Observational Studies; Policy Implementation; Policy Evaluation; Customization and Personalization; Marketing Strategy; Customer Focus and Relationships; Research
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      Lemmens, Aurelie, Jason M.T. Roos, Sebastian Gabel, Eva Ascarza, Hernan Bruno, Elea McDonnell Feit, Brett Gordon, Ayelet Israeli, Carl F. Mela, and Oded Netzer. "Personalization and Targeting: How to Experiment, Learn & Optimize." International Journal of Research in Marketing (forthcoming). (Pre-published online July 25, 2025.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Personalized Game Design for Improved User Retention and Monetization in Freemium Games

      By: Eva Ascarza, Oded Netzer and Julian Runge
      One of the most significant levers available to gaming companies in designing digital games is setting the level of difficulty, which essentially regulates the user’s ability to progress within the game. This aspect is particularly significant in free-to-play (F2P)... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Business Model; Customer Focus and Relationships; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Technology Industry
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      Ascarza, Eva, Oded Netzer, and Julian Runge. "Personalized Game Design for Improved User Retention and Monetization in Freemium Games." International Journal of Research in Marketing (forthcoming). (Pre-published online January 20, 2025.)
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      Reflexivity in Credit Markets

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Lawrence J. Jin
      Reflexivity is the idea that investors' biased beliefs affect market outcomes and that market outcomes in turn affect investors’ future biases. We develop a dynamic behavioral model of the credit cycle featuring this two-way feedback loop. Investors form beliefs about... View Details
      Keywords: Reflexivity; Attitudes; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Credit
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin. "Reflexivity in Credit Markets." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Reinvention and “Frame Flexibility”

      By: Ryan L. Raffaelli

      Adopting a radical innovation creates pressure for leaders to reframe their mental models while they also sustain their organization's existing capabilities and product category variants. Yet at key junctures in a product class and during technological change, a... View Details

      Keywords: Institutional Change; Innovation & Entrepreneurship; Diffusion Processes; Technology Adoption; Cognition and Thinking; Identity; Emotions
      • Research Summary

      Reinvention and "Technology Reemergence"

      By: Ryan L. Raffaelli

      The prevailing view of industry and technology evolution has emphasized displacement, on the assumption that old technologies and organizational forms will disappear when newer ones arrive. Professor Raffaelli's research challenges this view by illuminating how and... View Details

      Keywords: Turnarounds; Innovation And Management; Technology Evolution; Change Management; Disruption; Transformation; Transition
      • Research Summary

      Relative Thinking and Consumer Choice

      By: Joshua R. Schwartzstein

      Fixed differences appear smaller when compared to large differences. Professor Schwartzstein has proposed a model of relative thinking, in which a person weighs a given change by less when he compares it to a larger range. Relative thinking implies that a person is... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Renovating Democratic Capitalism

      By: Malcolm S. Salter

      This in-process work focuses on how best to address the declining public trust and confidence in democratic capitalism, which many citizens consider to be a cornerstone of our national ideology and identity? While the answer to this question is not entirely clear, I... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Research Thrust

      By: Rakesh Khurana
      I am trained in organizational sociology and my main areas of interest lie in macro-organizational theory and the dynamics of executive labor markets. To date, my research has focused on two themes. The first revolves around understanding the forces that govern the... View Details
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      Selection, Reallocation, and Spillover: Identifying the Sources of Gains from Multinational Production (with Maggie Chen)

      By: Laura Alfaro

      Quantifying the gains from multinational production has been a vital topic of economic research. Positive productivity gains are often attributed to knowledge spillover from multinational to domestic firms. An alternative, less stressed explanation is firm selection... View Details

      Keywords: Gains From Multinational Production; Firm Selection; Knowledge Spillover
      • Research Summary

      Selective Attention and Learning

      By: Joshua R. Schwartzstein

      What do we notice, and how does this affect what we learn? Standard economic models of learning ignore memory by assuming that we remember everything. But there is growing recognition that memory is imperfect. Further, memory imperfections do not stem from limited... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Service Excellence by Design

      By: Frances X. Frei
      This research addresses how to design sustainable service models that deliver ongoing value to both customers and the firm. In particular, the research reveals three principles of effective service management (see View Details
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      Sovereign Debt as a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach (joint with Fabio Kanczuk)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide parameter, the only equilibrium is one in which... View Details
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      Strategy, Governance and Valuation

      By: Krishna G. Palepu
      Professor Palepu's current research focuses on strategy and governance. In the area of strategy, his recent focus has been on the globalization of emerging markets, particularly India and China, and the resulting opportunities and challenges for western multinationals... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Strength of Incentives

      By: Jerry R. Green
      When economists analyze the incentive properties of decision making systems they assume that all economic agents are capable of optimizing their decisions and that they respond without error to the incentives that the system creates. In this project, Jerry R. Green... View Details
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      Subordinating Humanism: How Colliding Beliefs About a Living Wage Shape Personal Fulfillment and 'Professional-Class' Identities in Working-Class Jobs

      By: Lumumba Seegars, Serenity S. Lee, Erin M. Reid and Lakshmi Ramarajan
      In a society dominated by market-based ideology and management practices that prioritize financial considerations, some organizations are shifting toward humanistic ideology and practices that emphasize human welfare. To examine this transformation in pay-setting, we... View Details
      Keywords: Organizational Culture; Moral Sensibility; Wages; Welfare; Performance Expectations; Identity; Employee Relationship Management; Management Practices and Processes
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      Seegars, Lumumba, Serenity S. Lee, Erin M. Reid, and Lakshmi Ramarajan. "Subordinating Humanism: How Colliding Beliefs About a Living Wage Shape Personal Fulfillment and 'Professional-Class' Identities in Working-Class Jobs." Academy of Management Journal (forthcoming). (Pre-published online June 26, 2025.)
      • Research Summary

      Supply Chain Coordination for Products with Uncertain Demand

      By: Ananth Raman
      Ananth Raman has been investigating supply chain coordination for products with uncertain demand in industries as diverse as apparel, power tools, computers, and footwear. Most recently he has been exploring the role of intermediaries, particularly in supply chains... View Details
      • Research Summary

      The Connection Between Volatility and Leverage

      By: Emil N. Siriwardane

      Professor Siriwardane has co-developed a new econometric model that captures the link between equity volatility and financial leverage, driven by the desire to incorporate the record levels of both leverage and volatility that characterized the 2008 financial crisis... View Details

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      The Customer Journey as a Source of Information

      By: Nicolas Padilla, Eva Ascarza and Oded Netzer
      We introduce a probabilistic machine learning model that fuses customer click-stream data and purchase data within and across journeys. This approach addresses the critical business need for leveraging first-party data (1PD), particularly in environments with... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; AI and Machine Learning; Customer Focus and Relationships; Mathematical Methods
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      Padilla, Nicolas, Eva Ascarza, and Oded Netzer. "The Customer Journey as a Source of Information." Quantitative Marketing and Economics (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 5, 2024.)
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      The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets

      By: Jeremy C. Stein and Jonathan Wallen
      We study supply-and-demand effects in the U.S. Treasury bill market by comparing the returns on T-bills to the administered policy rate on the Federal Reserve’s reverse repurchase (RRP) facility. In spite of the arguably more money-like properties of an investment in... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Demand and Consumers; Price
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      Stein, Jeremy C., and Jonathan Wallen. "The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      The Individualized Corporation

      By: Christopher A. Bartlett
      Christopher A. Bartlett has recently concluded (with Sumantra Ghoshal of the London Business School) a study of changing organizational processes and management roles in twenty diverse companies in various stages of corporate transformation. The research is expected... View Details
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