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  • 01 Sep 2015
  • First Look

First Look -- September 1, 2015

Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract—Foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries has increased dramatically over the past decade. In light of this trend, we... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Nov 2008
  • First Look

First Look: November 4, 2008

http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/ b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=509028 Iceland (A) Harvard Business School Case 709-011 In May of 2008, a team of sovereign debt analysts at Moody's had to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 14 Jun 2016
  • First Look

June 14, 2016

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50814 Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract—We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jun 2017
  • Research & Ideas

Why Global Investments Are Still a Good Bet

sectors that are booming. However, as markets in different countries have increasingly moved in tandem or correlated, from 50 or 60 percent in the 1990s to more than 90 percent after the financial crisis of 2008, that strategy has seemed... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 28 Jul 2009
  • Research Event

Business Summit: Real Estate

The crisis may have started with residential real estate but it is also affecting commercial real estate. Asset prices have fallen and are expect to decline further; there are likely to be massive defaults; and View Details
Keywords: Re: Howard H. Stevenson; Construction; Real Estate
  • 29 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

was roughly half as large as prior estimates have suggested. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55509 Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract— Recurrent concerns over... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 17 Oct 2006
  • First Look

First Look: October 17, 2006

Activism in Sovereign Debt: "Vulture" Tactics or Market Backbone Harvard Business School Case 706-057 The role of distressed debt funds, also known as "vulture funds," in View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 18 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 18, 2007

  Working PapersOptimal Reserve Management and Sovereign Debt Authors:Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract Most models currently used to determine optimal foreign reserve holdings take the level of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Jul 2015
  • Op-Ed

The Future of the Greek Economy

could go on as usual were out of sync with reality. Hopefully, cooler heads will prevail in the days ahead. — Laura Alfaro Laura Alfaro is the Warren Alpert Professor of Business Administration at HBS. She has focused extensively on international capital flows, foreign... View Details
Keywords: by Laura Alfaro, Dante Roscini & George Serafeim; Banking
  • May 1998 (Revised January 1999)
  • Case

Japan: "Free, Fair, and Global?"

By: Richard H.K. Vietor and Stephen E. Lynagh
In April 1998, Prime Minister Hashimoto faced serious problems, both with his program of six systemic reforms and with his fiscal policy. Japan had been in effective recession for six years, unable to retain the miracle-growth achieved in earlier decades. Hashimoto has... View Details
Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Development Economics; Social Issues; Policy; Economy; Government Administration; Financial Crisis; Japan
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  • 24 Sep 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Financial Meltdowns Are More Predictable Than We Thought

increased the odds of a crisis to 40 percent." “Previous authors had shown that there was some ability to predict financial crises,” says Hanson, a professor of business administration in the HBS Finance Unit. “But we were surprised by... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Financial Services
  • 22 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 22

to European banks, we evaluate a variety of interventions to reduce their vulnerability to fire sales during the sovereign debt crisis. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Feb 2014
  • First Look

First Look: February 4

government debt is financed by another sovereign and not by private lenders. Our results show that the failure to consider official flows as the main driver of uphill flows and global imbalances is an... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthlorne
  • 24 Jul 2013
  • Op-Ed

Detroit Files for Bankruptcy: HBS Faculty Weigh In

fund them in advance, there's trouble ahead. They will soon pay higher interest rates on their municipal bonds and ultimately may face a financial crisis like the current one in Detroit. That's not what the doctor ordered. The Long View... View Details
Keywords: by John Macomber, Robert C. Pozen, Eric D. Werker & Benjamin Kennedy; Auto
  • 08 May 2020
  • In Practice

Nonprofits Hurt by COVID-19 Must Hoard Cash to Hold On

The coronavirus crisis is hobbling social enterprises around the world, leaving many fighting for survival at a time of profound need. Since the pandemic hit, donations have fallen for more than two-thirds of nonprofit organizations, and... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost
  • 20 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

forthcoming Review of Financial Studies Private Equity and Financial Fragility During the Crisis By: Bernstein, Shai, Josh Lerner, and Filippo Mezzanotti Abstract—Do private equity firms contribute to financial fragility during economic... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • March 2018 (Revised January 2019)
  • Case

The TARP Bailouts: Saving the Banking and Automotive Industries

By: Kristin Mugford
Comparison of the U.S. Government response, using the $700 billion TARP fund, to downturns in the banking and auto industries during the global financial crisis. View Details
Keywords: Bailout; Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Banks and Banking; Government and Politics; Debt Securities; Government Legislation; Public Opinion; Auto Industry; Banking Industry; United States
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  • 12 Sep 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, September 12, 2017

the past decade, foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries increased dramatically. We revisit sovereign debt sustainability under the assumptions that countries can... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 21 Oct 2008
  • First Look

First Look: October 21, 2008

who are the primary targets for the firm. "HealthAllies (B)" provides information about subsequent events. Purchase this case: http://www.hbsp.harvard.edu/b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=302019 Iceland (A) Harvard Business School Case 709-011 In May of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 21 Aug 2012
  • First Look

First Look: August 21

prior to and following Corzine's arrival, and the strategic and managerial decisions taken by Corzine to reorient the firm. In addition, the sovereign debt trade, created to boost earnings, is described in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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