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  • All HBS Web  (722)
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  • December 1998 (Revised May 1999)
  • Exercise

Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Head of the Pro-Peace Party (PPP): General Instructions and Confidential Information

Bellicoso is a multi-party conflict resolution simulation based loosely on the bitter civil war in El Salvador. It is designed to explore issues in: 1) the management of interactions between external negotiations between sides and internal negotiations within them, 2)... View Details
Keywords: War; Negotiation Tactics; Negotiation Participants; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution; El Salvador
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"Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Head of the Pro-Peace Party (PPP): General Instructions and Confidential Information." Harvard Business School Exercise 899-091, December 1998. (Revised May 1999.)
  • October 2021
  • Article

Changing Gambling Behavior through Experiential Learning

By: Shawn A. Cole, Martin Abel and Bilal Zia
This paper tests experiential learning as a debiasing tool to reduce gambling in South Africa, through a randomized field experiment. The study implements a simple, interactive game that simulates the odds of winning the national lottery through dice rolling.... View Details
Keywords: Debiasing; Experiential Learning; Behavioral Economics; Financial Education; Learning; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Behavior; Decision Making
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Cole, Shawn A., Martin Abel, and Bilal Zia. "Changing Gambling Behavior through Experiential Learning." World Bank Economic Review 35, no. 3 (October 2021): 745–763.
  • May 2017
  • Supplement

Boston Children's Hospital Process Map Video

By: Robert S. Kaplan and Mary Witkowski
The 13 minute video simulates a discussion among orthopedic surgeons and cast room technicians about the processes and resources used when applying long leg casts for patients. The video should be used when teaching Boston Children’s Hospital (Abridged) case, #914-407,... View Details
Keywords: Activity Based Costing; Healthcare Costing; Process Maps; Activity Based Costing and Management; Health Care and Treatment
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Kaplan, Robert S., and Mary Witkowski. "Boston Children's Hospital Process Map Video." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Supplement 117-703, May 2017.
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Insufficiently Justified Disparate Impact: A New Criterion for Subgroup Fairness

By: Neil Menghani, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
In this paper, we develop a new criterion, "insufficiently justified disparate impact" (IJDI), for assessing whether recommendations (binarized predictions) made by an algorithmic decision support tool are fair. Our novel, utility-based IJDI criterion evaluates false... View Details
Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Forecasting and Prediction; Prejudice and Bias
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Menghani, Neil, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Insufficiently Justified Disparate Impact: A New Criterion for Subgroup Fairness." Working Paper, June 2023.
  • February 2021
  • Technical Note

Probability Distributions

By: Michael Parzen and Paul Hamilton
This technical note introduces students to the concept of random variables, and from there the normal and binomial distributions. After a brief introduction to random variables, the note describes the standard properties of the normal distribution: a single peak, and a... View Details
Keywords: Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty; Theory; Analytics and Data Science
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Parzen, Michael, and Paul Hamilton. "Probability Distributions." Harvard Business School Technical Note 621-704, February 2021.
  • June 2025
  • Exercise

Full-Funnel Advertising on TikTok: An Experiment (Solution)

By: Jeremy Yang and Ayelet Israeli
TikTok’s Marketing Science team developed a new type of advertising strategy beyond branding and performance advertising, called full-funnel advertising. Branding ads focused on brand building at the top of the funnel by generating consumer awareness, while performance... View Details
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Yang, Jeremy, and Ayelet Israeli. "Full-Funnel Advertising on TikTok: An Experiment (Solution)." Harvard Business School Exercise 525-067, June 2025.
  • June 2025
  • Supplement

Full-Funnel Advertising on TikTok: An Experiment

By: Jeremy Yang and Ayelet Israeli
TikTok’s Marketing Science team developed a new type of advertising strategy beyond branding and performance advertising, called full-funnel advertising. Branding ads focused on brand building at the top of the funnel by generating consumer awareness, while performance... View Details
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Yang, Jeremy, and Ayelet Israeli. "Full-Funnel Advertising on TikTok: An Experiment." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 525-721, June 2025.
  • January 2021
  • Case

The FIRE Savings Calculator

By: Michael Parzen and Paul Hamilton
This case follows Carol Muñoz, a member of the Financial Independence, Retire Early (FIRE) lifestyle movement. At the age of 45, Carol is considering retiring and living off the $1 million she has accumulated. Using Monte Carlo simulation, Carol forecasts the... View Details
Keywords: Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Investment Portfolio; Investment Return; Personal Finance; Saving; Risk and Uncertainty; Diversification; Theory; Personal Development and Career; Financial Services Industry
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Parzen, Michael, and Paul Hamilton. "The FIRE Savings Calculator." Harvard Business School Case 621-087, January 2021.
  • April 2018
  • Exercise

Stoy Foods: Role Information for Milan Stoyanovic

By: John Beshears
In this simulation exercise, four family members must negotiate over the future of the family business. Should the business be sold to a strategic buyer, or should the family retain control? If the business is sold, how should the proceeds of the sale be distributed... View Details
Keywords: Succession; Sale Of Business; Understanding Interests; Value Creation; Family Business; Business Exit or Shutdown; Negotiation; Ownership Stake; Perspective; Agreements and Arrangements
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Beshears, John. "Stoy Foods: Role Information for Milan Stoyanovic." Harvard Business School Exercise 918-046, April 2018.
  • December 1998 (Revised May 1999)
  • Exercise

Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Head of the Opposition Political Party (OPP): General Instructions and Confidential Information

Bellicoso is a multi-party conflict resolution simulation based loosely on the bitter civil war in El Salvador. It is designed to explore issues in: 1) the management of interactions between external negotiations between sides and internal negotiations within them, 2)... View Details
Keywords: War; Negotiation Tactics; Negotiation Participants; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution; El Salvador
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"Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Head of the Opposition Political Party (OPP): General Instructions and Confidential Information." Harvard Business School Exercise 899-090, December 1998. (Revised May 1999.)
  • December 1998 (Revised May 1999)
  • Exercise

Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Director of the National Landowners Association (NLU): General Instructions and Confidential Information

Bellicoso is a multi-party conflict resolution simulation based loosely on the bitter civil war in El Salvador. It is designed to explore issues in: 1) the management of interactions between external negotiations between sides and internal negotiations within them, 2)... View Details
Keywords: War; Negotiation Tactics; Negotiation Participants; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution; El Salvador
Citation
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"Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Director of the National Landowners Association (NLU): General Instructions and Confidential Information." Harvard Business School Exercise 899-089, December 1998. (Revised May 1999.)
  • 05 Jul 2006
  • Working Paper Summaries

The Power of Stars: Do Stars Drive Success in Creative Industries?

Keywords: by Anita Elberse; Entertainment & Recreation; Motion Pictures & Video; Financial Services
  • 2001
  • Working Paper

Contextuality Within Activity Systems

By: Michael E. Porter and Nicolaj Siggelkow
Research on the interactions among activities in firms and the extent to which these interactions help create and sustain competitive advantage has rapidly expanded in recent years. In this research, the two most common approaches have been the complementarity... View Details
Keywords: Value Chain; Strategy; Competitive Strategy
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Porter, Michael E., and Nicolaj Siggelkow. "Contextuality Within Activity Systems." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 01-053, March 2001.
  • 2019
  • Article

Time Series Experiments and Causal Estimands: Exact Randomization Tests and Trading

By: Iavor I Bojinov and Neil Shephard
We define causal estimands for experiments on single time series, extending the potential outcome framework to dealing with temporal data. Our approach allows the estimation of a broad class of these estimands and exact randomization based p-values for testing causal... View Details
Keywords: Causality; Nonparametric; Potential Outcomes; Trading Costs; Mathematical Methods
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Bojinov, Iavor I., and Neil Shephard. "Time Series Experiments and Causal Estimands: Exact Randomization Tests and Trading." Journal of the American Statistical Association 114, no. 528 (2019): 1665–1682.
  • May 2016
  • Article

Cooperation in Multicultural Negotiations: How the Cultures of People with Low and High Power Interact

By: Shirli Kopelman, Ashley E. Hardin, Christopher G. Myers and Leigh Plunkett Tost
This study examined whether the cultures of low- and high-power negotiators interact to influence cooperative behavior of low-power negotiators. Managers from four different cultural groups (Germany, Hong Kong, Israel, and the United States) negotiated face-to-face in... View Details
Keywords: Global Collaboration; Negotiations; Culture; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Participants; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Hong Kong; Germany; Israel; United States
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Kopelman, Shirli, Ashley E. Hardin, Christopher G. Myers, and Leigh Plunkett Tost. "Cooperation in Multicultural Negotiations: How the Cultures of People with Low and High Power Interact." Journal of Applied Psychology 101, no. 5 (May 2016): 721–730.
  • 2025
  • Working Paper

Enhancing Treatment Effect Prediction on Privacy-Protected Data: An Honest Post-Processing Approach

By: Ta-Wei Huang and Eva Ascarza
As firms increasingly rely on customer data for personalization, concerns over privacy and regulatory compliance have grown. Local Differential Privacy (LDP) offers strong individual-level protection by injecting noise into data before collection. While... View Details
Keywords: Targeted Intervention; Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation; Differential Privacy; Honest Estimation; Post-processing; Analytics and Data Science; Consumer Behavior; Marketing
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Huang, Ta-Wei, and Eva Ascarza. "Enhancing Treatment Effect Prediction on Privacy-Protected Data: An Honest Post-Processing Approach." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-034, December 2023. (Revised March 2025.)
  • August 2016
  • Simulation

BDP Pharmaceuticals

By: Kevin Schulman, Emma Rasiel and Suresh Balu
Susan Durham has just been hired as the Chief Financial Officer of Blue Devil Pharmaceuticals (BDP). Her charge is to understand the optimal pathway for the development of a novel molecule, BDP-1, to understand the cost of drug development, the market opportunity, and... View Details
Keywords: Finance; Entrepreneurship
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Schulman, Kevin, Emma Rasiel, and Suresh Balu. "BDP Pharmaceuticals." Harvard Business School Simulation 317-702, August 2016.
  • July 2016
  • Case

Blue D Pharmaceuticals

By: Kevin Schulman, Emma Rasiel and Suresh Balu
Susan Durham has just been hired as the Chief Financial Officer of Blue Devil Pharmaceuticals (BDP). Her charge is to understand the optimal pathway for the development of a novel molecule, BDP-1, to understand the cost of drug development, the market opportunity, and... View Details
Keywords: Finance; Entrepreneurship
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Schulman, Kevin, Emma Rasiel, and Suresh Balu. "Blue D Pharmaceuticals." Harvard Business School Case 317-014, July 2016.
  • January 2008
  • Background Note

Equity Options

By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of this simulation is to understand the reliance of option values on volatility. When an investor trades an option, they are essentially trading volatility. Therefore, much of the focus in this lesson is on forecasting volatility. Students are able to use two... View Details
Keywords: Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Stock Options; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Value
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Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-118, January 2008.
  • 2005
  • Working Paper

Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
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Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
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