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  • 11 Dec 2007
  • First Look

First Look: December 11, 2007

stock prices had been reached. Despite Fisher's poor prediction on that occasion, he played a neglected, but significant role in the growth of the forecasting industry and in the rise of a class of early... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 19 Aug 2008
  • First Look

First Look: August 19, 2008

factors investigated were found to be significant for at least one segment, only consumer price index, personal savings rate, and real gross domestic product were strongly significant. To explore further the dynamics of the segments and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • October 2007
  • Article

Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market

By: Lauren Cohen, Karl B. Diether and Christopher J. Malloy
Using proprietary data on stock loan fees and quantities from a large institutional investor, we examine the link between the shorting market and stock prices. Employing a unique identification strategy, we isolate shifts in the supply and demand for shorting. We find... View Details
Keywords: Analytics and Data Science; Stocks; Financing and Loans; Price; Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Markets; Information
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  • 19 Sep 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, September 19

private equity partner, was planning its options after seven years of investment. There were four growth levers Mavi could pull, but each involved selecting one growth path while neglecting another. Should the company invest in growth domestically or internationally?... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 8

to accomplish the following: mine your sales data to identify "homerun" products you're missing; reinvent your forecasting and pricing strategies; build end-to-end agility into your supply chain;... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 28 Jun 2011
  • First Look

First Look: June 28

the return predictability. In addition, we find that sell-side analysts are subject to these same information processing constraints, as their forecast revisions of easy-to-analyze firms predict their future revisions of more complicated... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Apr 2018
  • Op-Ed

Op-Ed: Why Private Investors Must Fund 'New Nuclear' Power Right Now

CO2 emissions are forecast to grow for the foreseeable future, according to the United States Energy Information Association. Fossil fuels are winning the race to fill urgent demand for power, especially in Asia. Chart courtesy Joseph... View Details
Keywords: by Joseph Lassiter; Energy; Green Technology
  • 16 Oct 2013
  • Op-Ed

Response to Readers: Combating Climate Change with Nuclear Power and Fracking

supply contamination, etc.), as long as production takes place in a state or other legal jurisdiction with a history of sensible oil and gas production regulations and regulatory capacity in-place to enforce those regulations. “Cleaning up Chinese air quality is most... View Details
Keywords: by Joe Lassiter; Energy; Utilities
  • 05 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 5, 2007

from consumers shopping at the more popular store. Second, the intermediary may have an incentive to degrade the quality of search even further when its design decision influences the prices charged by stores. By altering the composition... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Mar 2015
  • News

A Boomtown's Echo

in the oil patch during that boom—that’s how I put myself through college. But once the price of oil dropped in 1982 and 1983, then that boom went bust because it was no longer cost effective to extract the oil. It was a very painful... View Details
Keywords: Oil and Gas Extraction; Mining
  • 19 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 18

associated with excellence in certain product categories. Venezuelan chocolate maker Chocolates El Rey does little international business because consumers associate premium chocolate more with Belgium or Switzerland than with Venezuela. Companies in this position have... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Dec 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 11, 2018

Pflueger, Carolin E., Emil Siriwardane, and Adi Sunderam Abstract—We propose a new measure of the economy’s risk appetite based on the valuation of volatile stocks. Unlike proxies for risk appetite derived from aggregates, our measure is strongly correlated with safe... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 29 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 29, 2007

  Working PapersEconomic Catastrophe Bonds Authors:Joshua D. Coval, Jakub W. Jurek, and Erik Stafford Abstract The central insight of asset pricing is that a security's value depends on both its distribution of payoffs across economic... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 11 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 11

Publication:Journal of Finance (forthcoming) Abstract We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks' returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 Nov 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

probability of a crash; (3) attributes of the price run-up, including volatility, turnover, issuance, and the price path of the run-up, can all help forecast an eventual crash... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 17 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 17, 2009

Markets and Multinational Transfer Pricing Authors:Romana L. Autrey and Francesco Bova Abstract Gray markets arise when a manufacturer's products are sold outside of its authorized channels; for instance, when goods designated for a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Apr 2008
  • First Look

First Look: April 15, 2008

specializing in building and managing prisons. Students must assess the firm's strategy and risks, evaluate key financial reports, derive forecasts of future performance, and use these forecasts to value the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Sep 2009
  • News

E Ink’s Wild Ride

now has 140 employees and forecasted revenues of $125 million in 2009. Behind those figures, however, is the story of a company that has survived more than one brush with the void by reinventing itself through continuous, deep-seated... View Details
Keywords: Julia Hanna; e-books; e-reading; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information; Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing; Manufacturing
  • 10 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 10

Using transcripts from the English-language conference calls of non-U.S. firms, we find that linguistic complexity is positively associated with the language barriers in the firms' home country. We then show that conference calls that are more linguistically complex... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne