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- All HBS Web (621)
- Faculty Publications (572)
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- All HBS Web (621)
- Faculty Publications (572)
- 22 Oct 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Estimating Causal Effects in the Presence of Partial Interference Using Multivariate Bayesian Structural Time Series Models
Keywords: by Fiammetta Menchetti and Iavor Bojinov
- January 1982 (Revised December 1997)
- Background Note
Note on the New Deal: From the First to the Second ""Hundred Days""
A brief summary of Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal policies between 1933 and 1935. Contains three statistical tables that supplement Selected U.S. Statistics: Part I and Selected U.S. Statistics: Part II. View Details
McCraw, Thomas K. Note on the New Deal: From the First to the Second ""Hundred Days"". Harvard Business School Background Note 382-115, January 1982. (Revised December 1997.)
- 2018
- Working Paper
Diagnostic Bubbles
By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer
We introduce diagnostic expectations into a standard setting of price formation in which investors learn about the fundamental value of an asset and trade it. We study the interaction of diagnostic expectations with two well-known mechanisms: learning from prices and... View Details
Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, and Andrei Shleifer. "Diagnostic Bubbles." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25399, December 2018.
- 1994
- Dissertation
Borderline Personality Disorder: Dimension or Category? A Maximum Covariance Analysis
By: William B. Simpson
- Article
The Shapley Value as a von Neumann-Morgenstern Utility
By: A. E. Roth
Roth, A. E. "The Shapley Value as a von Neumann-Morgenstern Utility." Econometrica 45, no. 3 (April 1977): 657–664.
- Article
Portfolio Value-at-Risk Optimization for Asymmetrically Distributed Asset Returns
By: Joel Goh, Kian Guan Lim, Melvyn Sim and Weina Zhang
We propose a new approach to portfolio optimization by separating asset return distributions into positive and negative half-spaces. The approach minimizes a newly-defined Partitioned Value-at-Risk (PVaR) risk measure by using half-space statistical information. Using... View Details
Goh, Joel, Kian Guan Lim, Melvyn Sim, and Weina Zhang. "Portfolio Value-at-Risk Optimization for Asymmetrically Distributed Asset Returns." European Journal of Operational Research 221, no. 2 (September 1, 2012): 397–406.
- July 1985 (Revised March 1994)
- Background Note
Exposure and Hedging
By: David E. Bell
Describes the concept of exposure; the dependence of a goal on an uncertain external event. Describes in detail how hedges may be constructed to eliminate exposure, including the algebra of cross-hedging and hedge ratios. The relevance of regression analysis is... View Details
Bell, David E. "Exposure and Hedging." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-036, July 1985. (Revised March 1994.)
- 1976
- Book
Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics: The Manipulation of Public Opinion in America
Wheeler, Michael A. Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics: The Manipulation of Public Opinion in America. New York, NY: W. W. Norton & Company, 1976.
- 1969
- Other Unpublished Work
An Empirical Investigation of the Samuelson Rational Warrant Pricing Theory
By: Robert C. Merton
- 19 Oct 2017
- Working Paper Summaries
Games of Threats
- November 2024
- Article
Preference Externality Estimators: A Comparison of Border Approaches and IVs
By: Xi Ling, Wesley R. Hartmann and Tomomichi Amano
This paper compares two estimators—the Border Approach and an Instrumental Variable (IV) estimator—using a unified framework where identifying variation arises from “preference externalities,” following the intuition in Waldfogel (2003). We highlight two dimensions in... View Details
Ling, Xi, Wesley R. Hartmann, and Tomomichi Amano. "Preference Externality Estimators: A Comparison of Border Approaches and IVs." Management Science 70, no. 11 (November 2024): 7892–7910.
- February 2005
- Article
An Econometric Analysis of Inventory Turnover Performance in Retail Services
By: Vishal Gaur, Marshall L. Fisher and Ananth Raman
Gaur, Vishal, Marshall L. Fisher, and Ananth Raman. "An Econometric Analysis of Inventory Turnover Performance in Retail Services." Management Science 51, no. 2 (February 2005): 181–194.
- 1985
- Chapter
The Role of Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance
By: Scott P. Mason and Robert C. Merton
- 1999
- Chapter
Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model
By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model." In Monetary Policy Rules, edited by John B. Taylor. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1999.
- August 2018
- Article
Extrapolation and Bubbles
By: Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin and Andrei Shleifer
We present an extrapolative model of bubbles. In the model, many investors form their demand for a risky asset by weighing two signals: an average of the asset’s past price changes and the asset’s degree of overvaluation. The two signals are in conflict, and investors... View Details
Barberis, Nicholas, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer. "Extrapolation and Bubbles." Journal of Financial Economics 129, no. 2 (August 2018): 203–227.
- 2016
- Working Paper
Algorithmic Foundations for Business Strategy
By: Mihnea Moldoveanu
I introduce algorithmic and meta-algorithmic models for the study of strategic problem solving, aimed at illuminating the processes and procedures by which strategic managers and firms deal with complex problems. These models allow us to explore the relationship... View Details
Moldoveanu, Mihnea. "Algorithmic Foundations for Business Strategy." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-036, October 2016.
- 1995
- Book
Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory
By: John W. Pratt, Howard Raiffa and Robert Schlaifer
Pratt, John W., Howard Raiffa, and Robert Schlaifer. Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory. MIT Press, 1995.
- January 1990 (Revised February 1990)
- Case
MSA: The Software Company--Planning the AMAPs Product Line
By: Robert J. Dolan
MSA has commissioned a major market research study to assess demand potential for a computer software system designed for aerospace and defense contractors. Students must evaluate the results of the study (including a conjoint analysis) to assess whether MSA should... View Details
Dolan, Robert J. "MSA: The Software Company--Planning the AMAPs Product Line." Harvard Business School Case 590-069, January 1990. (Revised February 1990.)
- May 1984 (Revised September 1986)
- Background Note
Basic Quantitative Analysis for Marketing
By: Robert J. Dolan
Shows how to calculate and use the break-even volume in marketing decision making. View Details
Dolan, Robert J. "Basic Quantitative Analysis for Marketing." Harvard Business School Background Note 584-149, May 1984. (Revised September 1986.)
- 18 Nov 2016
- Conference Presentation
Rawlsian Fairness for Machine Learning
By: Matthew Joseph, Michael J. Kearns, Jamie Morgenstern, Seth Neel and Aaron Leon Roth
Motivated by concerns that automated decision-making procedures can unintentionally lead to discriminatory behavior, we study a technical definition of fairness modeled after John Rawls' notion of "fair equality of opportunity". In the context of a simple model of... View Details
Joseph, Matthew, Michael J. Kearns, Jamie Morgenstern, Seth Neel, and Aaron Leon Roth. "Rawlsian Fairness for Machine Learning." Paper presented at the 3rd Workshop on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency in Machine Learning, Special Interest Group on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (SIGKDD), November 18, 2016.