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Publications

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    • Faculty Publications  (252)

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    • All HBS Web  (1,599)
      • Faculty Publications  (252)

      Economic RiskRemove Economic Risk →

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      • 1982
      • Chapter

      On the Microeconomic Theory of Investment under Uncertainty

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Microeconomics; Investment; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C. "On the Microeconomic Theory of Investment under Uncertainty." In Handbook of Mathematical Economics. Vol. 2, edited by K. Arrow and M. Intriligator. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1982.
      • December 1980 (Revised January 1994)
      • Case

      International Foodstuffs

      By: David E. Bell
      Describes three fairly routine instances in which considerations of risk exposure in foreign exchange are necessary. The three are a delayed payment for a grain shipment, a foreign subsidiary facing devaluation of its domestic currency, and a foreign acquisition. The... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Risk and Uncertainty; International Relations; Mergers and Acquisitions; Money; International Finance; Financial Services Industry
      Citation
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      Bell, David E. "International Foodstuffs." Harvard Business School Case 181-049, December 1980. (Revised January 1994.)
      • 1977
      • Working Paper

      Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance

      By: Jerry R. Green
      A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of... View Details
      Keywords: Social Insurance; Econometric Models; Public Sector; Government Administration; Policy; Human Needs; Social Issues; Risk and Uncertainty
      Citation
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      Green, Jerry R. "Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 215, November 1977.
      • November 1974 (Revised May 1994)
      • Case

      Science Technology Co.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The president of a medium-sized electronics company is evaluating the financial forecasts and proposed financing program submitted by the chief financial officer. The forecasts are prepared in constant dollars, on which basis the proposed financing plan seems... View Details
      Keywords: Currency; Financial Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Inflation and Deflation; Risk and Uncertainty; Outcome or Result; Technology Industry; Electronics Industry
      Citation
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co." Harvard Business School Case 275-058, November 1974. (Revised May 1994.)
      • Teaching Interest

      Cities, Structures, and Climate Shocks

      By: John D. Macomber

      This course is about building sustainable and resilient cities, future proofing real estate and infrastructure assets, and examining how businesses and investors find opportunities in climate adaptation.

      The world faces substantial challenges in the face of... View Details

      Keywords: Sustainability; Economic Development; Climate Finance; Migration; Climate Change; Adaptation; Urban Development; Real Estate Industry; Construction Industry; Energy Industry; Utilities Industry; Insurance Industry; Banking Industry
      • Research Summary

      Managerial Decision Analysis

      By: David E. Bell
      David E. Bell and Arthur Schleifer, Jr. are concluding a multiyear project aimed at producing more field-oriented case material for the Managerial Economics course, specifically, materials on decision, data, and risk analysis. A series of case- and textbooks (with... View Details
      • Teaching Interest

      Managing International Trade and Investment

      By: Dante Roscini
      Managing International Trade and Investment (MITI) is designed for students who expect to engage directly or indirectly in commerce and in strategic or financial investments across national borders. It covers concepts that are relevant to a number of operating and... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Investment; Foreign Direct Investment
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Public Perception and Autonomous Vehicle Liability

      By: Julian De Freitas, Xilin Zhou, Margherita Atzei, Shoshana Boardman and Luigi Di Lillo
      The deployment of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and the accompanying societal and economic benefits will greatly depend on how much liability AV firms will have to carry for accidents involving these vehicles, which in turn impacts their insurability and associated... View Details
      Keywords: Moral Sensibility; Judgments; Legal Liability; Insurance; Perception
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      De Freitas, Julian, Xilin Zhou, Margherita Atzei, Shoshana Boardman, and Luigi Di Lillo. "Public Perception and Autonomous Vehicle Liability." Journal of Consumer Psychology (forthcoming). (Pre-published online January 12, 2025.)
      • Research Summary

      Risk Management as a Function of Government

      By: David A. Moss
      Professor Moss's academic work in this area explores how and why governments manage private-sector risks. Based on historical and institutional research, he argues that risk management constitutes a critical function of government with far-reaching implications. ... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      The Evolution of Financial Services in the United States

      By: Robin Greenwood, Robert Ialenti and David Scharfstein
      This article surveys the literature on the historical growth and transformation of the U.S. financial sector. The sector expanded rapidly between 1980 until 2006, when its contribution to GDP rose from 4.8% to 7.6%. After the Global Financial Crisis, the size of the... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Financial Institutions; Financial Markets; Growth and Development; Economic Sectors
      Citation
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      Greenwood, Robin, Robert Ialenti, and David Scharfstein. "The Evolution of Financial Services in the United States." Annual Review of Financial Economics (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      US-China Relations

      By: Meg Rithmire
      Economic interdependence between the US and China was imagined years ago to be a source of security and prosperity for both countries, but is now the site of concerns about risk and national security on both sides. My work has examined how that shift has come about,... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Who Values Democracy?

      By: Max Miller
      This paper examines the conventional view that redistribution is central to the democratization process using data from stock markets. Consistent with this view, democratizations have a large, negative impact on asset valuations driven by a rise in redistribution risk.... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Financial Markets; Valuation
      Citation
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      Miller, Max. "Who Values Democracy?" Journal of Political Economy (forthcoming).
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