predictions - Publications - Faculty & Research

19 Nov 2014
HBS Case

Marketing Marijuana

predicting $134 million in the next fiscal year. As Quelch found in his research, however, the picture is more complicated than medical versus recreational users. "You really have four markets," says Quelch, "medicinal,... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Food & Beverage

05 Nov 2012
Research & Ideas

What Wall Street Doesn’t Understand About International Trade

Making the best international trading decisions may be as easy as taking a stroll around the local neighborhood. A recent research paper states that it's possible to predict whether a US firm will trade with any given country by studying... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel

13 Sep 2012
Research & Ideas

Why Public Companies Underinvest in the Future

public firms increased investments by just 1.6 percent versus 7.4 percent at the matched private firms. The researchers hypothesized that short-termist pressure was the reason behind this disparity. In order to test the theory they analyzed whether their data fit the... View Details

Keywords: by Maggie Starvish

10 Nov 2008
Research Event

Social Media Leads the Future of Technology

great deal of time finding pockets of monetization. There will be a great deal of experimentation. Some of it will work and a lot won't. Five years from now, many of them will have found highly successful business models," but it is tricky at the beginning of a... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

07 Jul 2003
Research & Ideas

The Organizational Model for Open Source

of the hacker style of programming with the need to be more predictable and coordinated in managing software releases. Projects that are more closely coupled with commercial firms have experienced direct pressure from firms to communicate... View Details

Keywords: by Mallory Stark

20 Mar 2000
Research & Ideas

No Place Like Home: America’s Housing Crisis and Its Impact on Business

real-estate market, have created what many experts are calling an affordable housing crisis. They predict that the problem is likely to get worse because of a widening income gap and a shrinking stock of low-income units. As a result,... View Details

Keywords: by Garry Emmons; Construction; Real Estate

22 Aug 2024
Research & Ideas

Reading the Financial Crisis Warning Signs: Credit Markets and the 'Red-Zone'

at the same time there's a lot of household credit expansion it's a measure that you're in the Red-zone. We found that that is very predictive of crises. Generally, that and a couple of other papers that Sam Hanson and I have worked on... View Details

Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Banking

11 Jun 2007
Lessons from the Classroom

Teaching the Next Generation of Energy Executives

You may think that being an energy executive—especially a manager in a leading oil company—might be the easiest job around. Just flip the production switch, and watch gas prices head toward $4 a gallon. But students enrolled in Harvard Business School professor Forest... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Energy; Utilities

01 Jun 2011
News

What’s after Fannie and Freddie?

crisis. And these mortgages would be well underwritten with low loan-to-value ratios so that the risk to the government would be modest. Do you think that your proposal will gain any traction in Washington? Well, it’s always hard to View Details

Keywords: Roger Thompson; Credit Intermediation and Related Activities; Finance

01 Dec 2013
News

Faculty Q&A: Playing the Hits

answers for—no one knew which strategies were winning strategies. We knew a lot about more mundane, predictable product categories. So it's a great area for research: It's a fun sector, and there were and are lots of big questions still... View Details

Keywords: Patrick Kirchner; Arts, Entertainment; Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools; Educational Services

September 2023 (Revised December 2023)
Case

TetraScience: Noise and Signal

By: Thomas R. Eisenmann and Tom Quinn

In 2019, TetraScience CEO “Spin” Wang needed advice. Five years earlier, he had cofounded a startup that saw early success with a hardware product designed to help laboratory scientists in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical spaces more easily collect data from... View Details

Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Organization; Restructuring; Forecasting and Prediction; Digital Platforms; Analytics and Data Science; AI and Machine Learning; Organizational Structure; Network Effects; Competitive Strategy; Biotechnology Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry; United States; Boston

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06 Nov 2019
Op-Ed

Torched Planet: The Business Case to Reinvent Almost Everything

The world is. on. fire. The Earth is burning. We only have a little time to arrest climate change, and if we fail to do so the consequences will be both dire and irreversible. We have the technology and the resources to fix things, if we want to. We even have a... View Details

Keywords: by Rebecca Henderson; Energy

06 Apr 2016
What Do You Think?

As Tim Cook, How Would You Tackle Apple's Next Challenge?

lauded by some for defending the integrity of its products and the security of the owners of its products. All of this makes for a classic Harvard Business School case problem. We should be well prepared to discuss it. And now the story has updated itself. As some of... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer

10 Apr 2014
Research & Ideas

Book Excerpt--‘Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World’

inaccurate and increasingly troublesome. Management is a set of well-known processes that help organizations produce reliable, efficient, and predictable results. Really good management helps us do well what we more or less know how to do... View Details

Keywords: Re: John P. Kotter

17 Feb 2014
Research & Ideas

Companies Detangle from Legacy Pensions

option is for companies to "de-risk" their pension plan by putting assets into more predictable investments that generate enough income while still reducing the risk due to market or interest rate volatility. To do that, some... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Aerospace; Financial Services

21 Sep 2010
First Look

First Look: September 21, 2010

organizational behavior literatures predict that when it is difficult to align incentives by contracting on output, aligning preferences via employee selection may provide a useful alternative. This study investigates this idea... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

06 Jul 2009
What Do You Think?

Are You Ready to Manage in an Irrational World?

approach has supposed." Marie Taillard adds, "we are shifting away from thinking that we can predict or control the behavior of others ." Because economics is a study of value, Deepak Alse comments that "what we need... View Details

Keywords: by Jim Heskett

29 May 2007
First Look

First Look: May 29, 2007

assortments, but systematically and predictably displaying extremeness seeking for non-alignable assortments. Across three studies, we show the extremeness seeking effect, contrast it with extremeness avoidance, and explore its underlying... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

17 Oct 2024
Research & Ideas

The Reputation Risks of Sharing Fake News

sharing accurate information,” says Jordan. You Might Also Like: Is It Even Possible to Dam the Flow of Misleading Content Online? Do Social Movements Sway Voters? Not Really, Except for One Election 2024: Why Demographics Won't Predict... View Details

Keywords: by Avery Forman

06 Sep 2004
What Do You Think?

How Do We Prepare for a World Without Cheap Oil?

sporadic disruptive efforts by individual governments and their leaders, and wars. If predictions of the end of cheap oil are not accurate to the barrel or a certain date, they must be directionally right. This assumption raises questions... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

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