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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (120,300)
      • Faculty Publications  (590)

      Risk and UncertaintyRemove Risk and Uncertainty →

      ← Page 12 of 590 Results →
      • January – March 2012
      • Article

      Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

      By: Luis M. Viceira
      This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
      • 2012
      • Article

      The Excess Burden of Government Indecision

      By: Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Luis M. Viceira
      Governments are known for procrastinating when it comes to resolving painful policy problems. Whatever the political motives for waiting to decide, procrastination distorts economic decisions relative to what would arise with early policy resolution. In so doing, it... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Portfolio; Decision Choices and Conditions; Retirement; Policy; Government and Politics
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      Gomes, Francisco J., Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Luis M. Viceira. "The Excess Burden of Government Indecision." Tax Policy and the Economy 26 (2012): 125–163.
      • January – February 2012
      • Article

      When One Business Model Isn't Enough

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Jorge Tarzijan
      Trying to operate two business models at once often causes strategic failure. Yet LAN Airlines, a Chilean carrier, runs three models successfully. Casadesus-Masanell, of Harvard Business School, and Tarziján, of the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, explore how... View Details
      Keywords: Integration; Failure; Business Model; Service Operations; Asset Management; Value; Complexity; Competency and Skills; Business Strategy; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Risk and Uncertainty; Customer Relationship Management; Air Transportation Industry
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Jorge Tarzijan. "When One Business Model Isn't Enough." Harvard Business Review 90, nos. 1-2 (January–February 2012).
      • December 2011
      • Article

      Stock Price Fragility

      By: Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar
      We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. We define an asset to be fragile if it is susceptible to non-fundamental trading shocks. An asset can be fragile because of concentrated ownership or because its... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Ownership; Risk and Uncertainty; Assets; System Shocks; Financial Liquidity; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Volatility; Relationships; United States
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      Greenwood, Robin, and David Thesmar. "Stock Price Fragility." Journal of Financial Economics 102, no. 3 (December 2011): 471–490.
      • November 29, 2011
      • Article

      The Role of The Board in Creating a Sustainable Strategy

      By: Robert G. Eccles, Ioannis Ioannou and George Serafeim
      While conceptually elegant, the belief that a corporation's role is to maximize value for shareholders is under increasing challenge as society's expectations for companies change. An equally elegant new concept that takes account of these dual pressures has yet to... View Details
      Keywords: Value Creation; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Corporate Strategy; Business and Shareholder Relations; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Performance Expectations; Governing and Advisory Boards; Management Practices and Processes; Decisions; Risk and Uncertainty; Cost vs Benefits; Information
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      Eccles, Robert G., Ioannis Ioannou, and George Serafeim. "The Role of The Board in Creating a Sustainable Strategy." TrustLaw (November 29, 2011).
      • October 2011 (Revised August 2017)
      • Case

      Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment

      By: Aldo Musacchio and Sophus A. Reinert
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Government and Politics; Business and Government Relations; Syria
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      Musacchio, Aldo, and Sophus A. Reinert. "Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment." Harvard Business School Case 712-009, October 2011. (Revised August 2017.)
      • September 2011
      • Article

      Global Capitalism at Risk: What Are You Doing About It?

      By: Joseph L. Bower, Herman B. Leonard and Lynn S. Paine
      Market capitalism, a system that has proven to be a remarkable engine of wealth creation, is poised for a breakdown. That sounds dire, and it is. Increasing income inequality, migration, weaknesses in the global financial system, environmental degradation, and... View Details
      Keywords: Disruption; Economic Systems; Globalization; Corporate Governance; Markets; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Bower, Joseph L., Herman B. Leonard, and Lynn S. Paine. "Global Capitalism at Risk: What Are You Doing About It?" Harvard Business Review 89, no. 9 (September 2011).
      • September 2011
      • Article

      Information Risk and Fair Value: An Examination of Equity Betas

      By: Edward J. Riedl and George Serafeim
      Using a sample of U.S. financial institutions, we exploit recent mandatory disclosures of financial instruments designated as fair value level 1, 2, and 3 to test whether greater information risk in financial instrument fair values leads to higher cost of capital. We... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Assets; Cost of Capital; Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Corporate Disclosure; Information; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; United States
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      Riedl, Edward J., and George Serafeim. "Information Risk and Fair Value: An Examination of Equity Betas." Journal of Accounting Research 49, no. 4 (September 2011): 1083–1122.
      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments

      By: Jakub W. Jurek and Erik Stafford
      This paper studies the cost of capital for alternative investments. We document that the risk profile of the aggregate hedge fund universe can be accurately matched by a simple index put option writing strategy that offers monthly liquidity and complete transparency... View Details
      Keywords: Cost of Capital; Financial Liquidity; Investment; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Jurek, Jakub W., and Erik Stafford. "The Cost of Capital for Alternative Investments." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-013, September 2011. (NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19643, November 2013.)
      • August 2011 (Revised October 2014)
      • Case

      High Wire Act: Credit Suisse and Contingent Capital (A)

      By: Clayton S. Rose and Aldo Sesia
      Late in 2010, Credit Suisse CEO Brady Dougan and his team closed in on the decision of whether or not to issue contingent capital, which Swiss regulators would require by 2019. There were a number of substantial issues facing Dougan and his team, including whether... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Institutions; Capital Markets; Financial Crisis; Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership; International Finance; Financial Liquidity; Risk and Uncertainty; Competitive Strategy; Financial Services Industry; Switzerland
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      Rose, Clayton S., and Aldo Sesia. "High Wire Act: Credit Suisse and Contingent Capital (A)." Harvard Business School Case 312-007, August 2011. (Revised October 2014.)
      • August 2011 (Revised February 2012)
      • Background Note

      A Note on Water

      By: Robert G. Eccles, Amy C. Edmondson, George Serafeim and Sarah E. Farrell
      This note provides background on the complex issues regarding the supply and consumption of water and how this natural resource is at increasing risk, resulting in significant economic, political and environmental issues. View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Government and Politics; Demand and Consumers; Supply and Industry; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Environment; Pollutants; Environmental Sustainability
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      Eccles, Robert G., Amy C. Edmondson, George Serafeim, and Sarah E. Farrell. "A Note on Water." Harvard Business School Background Note 412-050, August 2011. (Revised February 2012.)
      • July 2011
      • Article

      Bringing Ethics into Focus: How Regulatory Focus and Risk Preferences Influence (Un)ethical Behavior

      By: F. Gino and Joshua D. Margolis
      Keywords: Ethics; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Gino, F., and Joshua D. Margolis. "Bringing Ethics into Focus: How Regulatory Focus and Risk Preferences Influence (Un)ethical Behavior." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 115, no. 2 (July 2011): 145–156.
      • July – August 2011
      • Article

      Managing the Multiple Dimensions of Risk: Part I of a Two-Part Series

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes
      Keywords: Management; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Anette Mikes. "Managing the Multiple Dimensions of Risk: Part I of a Two-Part Series." Balanced Scorecard Report 13, no. 4 (July–August 2011).
      • June 2011
      • Case

      Shelley Capital and the Hedge Fund Secondary Market

      By: Luis Viceira, Elena Corsi and Ruth Dittrich
      An advisory company has to decide how to sell their client's hedge fund holdings in the secondary market, and thinks about their future. Shelley Capital was a a European advisory company operating in the hedge fund secondary market, a market that boosted in 2008 with... View Details
      Keywords: Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Investment Funds; Marketing Strategy; Financial Crisis; Sales; Leadership Development; Financial Markets; Crisis Management; Business Processes; Risk and Uncertainty; Globalized Economies and Regions; Financial Services Industry; Service Industry; Europe
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      Viceira, Luis, Elena Corsi, and Ruth Dittrich. "Shelley Capital and the Hedge Fund Secondary Market." Harvard Business School Case 211-112, June 2011.
      • Article

      Advertising, the Matchmaker

      By: Bharat N. Anand and Ron Shachar
      We empirically study the informational role of advertising in matching consumers with products when consumers are uncertain about both observable and unobserved program attributes. Our focus is on the network television industry, in which the products are television... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Information; Consumer Behavior; Television Entertainment; Risk and Uncertainty; Product; Decision Choices and Conditions; Advertising Industry
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      Anand, Bharat N., and Ron Shachar. "Advertising, the Matchmaker." RAND Journal of Economics 42, no. 2 (Summer 2011): 205–245. (Lead Article.)
      • June 2011
      • Article

      Implicit Voice Theories: Taken-for-granted Rules of Self-censorship at Work

      By: J. R. Detert and Amy C. Edmondson
      This article examines, in a series of four studies, the nature and impact of implicit voice theories-largely taken-for-granted beliefs about when and why speaking up at work is risky or inappropriate. In Study 1, qualitative data from 190 interviews conducted in a... View Details
      Keywords: Spoken Communication; Interpersonal Communication; Employees; Managerial Roles; Organizational Culture; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior
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      Detert, J. R., and Amy C. Edmondson. "Implicit Voice Theories: Taken-for-granted Rules of Self-censorship at Work." Academy of Management Journal 54, no. 3 (June 2011): 461–488.
      • June 2011 (Revised October 2012)
      • Case

      Patagonia Sur: For-Profit Land Conservation in Chile

      By: Arthur I Segel, Nicolas Ibanez and Jay Verjee
      Warren Adams founded Patagonia Sur in 2007 as one of the world's first for-profit land conservation businesses. His goal was to purchase over 100,000 acres of land in southern Chile and to run a variety of sustainable businesses to generate annual returns for... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Environmental Sustainability; Profit; Investment; For-Profit Firms; Entrepreneurship; Investment Return; Revenue; Risk and Uncertainty; Capital; SWOT Analysis; Real Estate Industry; Chile
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      Segel, Arthur I., Nicolas Ibanez, and Jay Verjee. "Patagonia Sur: For-Profit Land Conservation in Chile." Harvard Business School Case 211-103, June 2011. (Revised October 2012.)
      • June 2011
      • Article

      Segmenting the Base of the Pyramid

      By: V. Kasturi Rangan, Michael Chu and Djorjiji Petkoski
      The bottom of the economic pyramid is a risky place for business, but decent profits can be made there if companies link their financial success with their constituencies' well-being. To do that effectively, you must understand the nuances of people's daily lives, say... View Details
      Keywords: International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Value Creation; Human Needs; Income; Poverty; Profit; Relationships; Economics; Segmentation
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      Rangan, V. Kasturi, Michael Chu, and Djorjiji Petkoski. "Segmenting the Base of the Pyramid." Harvard Business Review 89, no. 6 (June 2011).
      • June 2011
      • Article

      The Paradox of Excellence

      By: Thomas J. DeLong and Sara DeLong
      Why is it that so many smart, ambitious professionals are less productive and satisfied than they could be? We argue that it's often because they're afraid to demonstrate any sign of weakness. They're reluctant to ask important questions or try new... View Details
      Keywords: Employees; Innovation and Invention; Strength and Weakness; Performance Productivity; Risk and Uncertainty; Motivation and Incentives; Satisfaction
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      DeLong, Thomas J., and Sara DeLong. "The Paradox of Excellence." Harvard Business Review 89, no. 6 (June 2011).
      • May 2011
      • Supplement

      Dharavi: Developing Asia's Largest Slum (B)

      By: Lakshmi Iyer and John Macomber
      In July 2009, as investors prepared to submit financial bids for the $3 billion Dharavi slum redevelopment project, considerable economic and political risks remained. View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Private Equity; Social Issues; Investment; Developing Countries and Economies; Business and Government Relations; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; Mumbai
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      Iyer, Lakshmi, and John Macomber. "Dharavi: Developing Asia's Largest Slum (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 711-107, May 2011.
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