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  • August 2006
  • Article

Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
  • May 2017
  • Supplement

Boston Children's Hospital Process Map Video

By: Robert S. Kaplan and Mary Witkowski
The 13 minute video simulates a discussion among orthopedic surgeons and cast room technicians about the processes and resources used when applying long leg casts for patients. The video should be used when teaching Boston Children’s Hospital (Abridged) case, #914-407,... View Details
Keywords: Activity Based Costing; Healthcare Costing; Process Maps; Activity Based Costing and Management; Health Care and Treatment
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Kaplan, Robert S., and Mary Witkowski. "Boston Children's Hospital Process Map Video." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Supplement 117-703, May 2017.
  • November 2008
  • Case

The StarNight Hotel Construction Bid: Real Time Competition on Schedule, Scope, and Cost

By: John D. Macomber
The case is intended for use with the HBS Educational Technology Group "Construction Bidding Simulation." Material that can be taught includes quantity survey methodology (from the case); analyzing preliminary estimated costs per building trade (from the discussion... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Construction; Cost; Contracts; Bids and Bidding; Real Estate Industry
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Macomber, John D. "The StarNight Hotel Construction Bid: Real Time Competition on Schedule, Scope, and Cost." Harvard Business School Case 209-067, November 2008.
  • Article

De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution

By: Benjamin B Lockwood and Matthew Weinzierl
The prominent but unproven intuition that preference heterogeneity reduces redistribution in a standard optimal tax model is shown to hold under the plausible condition that the distribution of preferences for consumption relative to leisure rises, in terms of... View Details
Keywords: Motivation and Incentives; Income; Decision Choices and Conditions; Consumer Behavior; Taxation; Microeconomics; Macroeconomics
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Lockwood, Benjamin B., and Matthew Weinzierl. "De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution." Journal of Public Economics 124 (April 2015): 74–80. (Also NBER Working Paper Series, No. 17784, September 2014 and Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-063, January 2012.)
  • December 2009
  • Article

Strategy-proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences: Redesigning the NYC High School Match

By: Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag A. Pathak and Alvin E. Roth
The design of the New York City (NYC) High School match involved tradeoffs among efficiency, stability, and strategy-proofness that raise new theoretical questions. We analyze a model with indifferences—ties—in school preferences. Simulations with field data and the... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Secondary Education; Marketplace Matching; Performance Efficiency; Mathematical Methods; Motivation and Incentives; Strategy; Balance and Stability
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Abdulkadiroglu, Atila, Parag A. Pathak, and Alvin E. Roth. "Strategy-proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences: Redesigning the NYC High School Match." American Economic Review 99, no. 5 (December 2009). (AER links to access the Appendix and Downloadable Data Set.)
  • 2007
  • Working Paper

Coupled Search Processes: Why Is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters?

By: Nicolaj Siggelkow and Jan Rivkin
Organizational design affects performance via coupled search processes. At low frequency, managers search for appropriate organizational designs. At higher frequency, managers use designs to search for high-performing operational choices. The two searches are coupled:... View Details
Keywords: Competency and Skills; Operations; Organizational Design; Performance; Networks; Research; Cognition and Thinking; Strategy
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Siggelkow, Nicolaj, and Jan Rivkin. "Coupled Search Processes: Why Is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-106, June 2007.
  • 2019
  • Article

Creativity from Paradoxical Experience: A Theory of How Individuals Achieve Creativity while Adopting Paradoxical Frames

By: Goran Calic, Sébastien Hélie, Nick Bontis and Elaine Mosakowski
Purpose: Extant paradox theory suggests that adopting paradoxical frames, which are mental templates adopted by individuals in order to embrace contradictions, will result in superior firm performance. Superior performance is achieved through learning and creativity,... View Details
Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Creativity; Learning
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Calic, Goran, Sébastien Hélie, Nick Bontis, and Elaine Mosakowski. "Creativity from Paradoxical Experience: A Theory of How Individuals Achieve Creativity while Adopting Paradoxical Frames." Journal of Knowledge Management 23, no. 3 (2019): 397–418.
  • April 2020
  • Article

Designs for Estimating the Treatment Effect in Networks with Interference

By: Ravi Jagadeesan, Natesh S. Pillai and Alexander Volfovsky
In this paper, we introduce new, easily implementable designs for drawing causal inference from randomized experiments on networks with interference. Inspired by the idea of matching in observational studies, we introduce the notion of considering a treatment... View Details
Keywords: Experimental Design; Network Inference; Neyman Estimator; Symmetric Interference Model; Homophily
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Jagadeesan, Ravi, Natesh S. Pillai, and Alexander Volfovsky. "Designs for Estimating the Treatment Effect in Networks with Interference." Annals of Statistics 48, no. 2 (April 2020): 679–712.
  • 2019
  • Article

Time Series Experiments and Causal Estimands: Exact Randomization Tests and Trading

By: Iavor I Bojinov and Neil Shephard
We define causal estimands for experiments on single time series, extending the potential outcome framework to dealing with temporal data. Our approach allows the estimation of a broad class of these estimands and exact randomization based p-values for testing causal... View Details
Keywords: Causality; Nonparametric; Potential Outcomes; Trading Costs; Mathematical Methods
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Bojinov, Iavor I., and Neil Shephard. "Time Series Experiments and Causal Estimands: Exact Randomization Tests and Trading." Journal of the American Statistical Association 114, no. 528 (2019): 1665–1682.
  • May 2016
  • Article

Cooperation in Multicultural Negotiations: How the Cultures of People with Low and High Power Interact

By: Shirli Kopelman, Ashley E. Hardin, Christopher G. Myers and Leigh Plunkett Tost
This study examined whether the cultures of low- and high-power negotiators interact to influence cooperative behavior of low-power negotiators. Managers from four different cultural groups (Germany, Hong Kong, Israel, and the United States) negotiated face-to-face in... View Details
Keywords: Global Collaboration; Negotiations; Culture; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Participants; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Hong Kong; Germany; Israel; United States
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Kopelman, Shirli, Ashley E. Hardin, Christopher G. Myers, and Leigh Plunkett Tost. "Cooperation in Multicultural Negotiations: How the Cultures of People with Low and High Power Interact." Journal of Applied Psychology 101, no. 5 (May 2016): 721–730.
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Cutting the Gordian Knot of Employee Health Care Benefits and Costs: A Corporate Model Built on Employee Choice

By: Regina E. Herzlinger and Barak D. Richman
The U.S. employer-based health insurance tax exclusion created a system of employer-sponsored insurance (ESI) with limited insurance choices and transparency that may lock employed households into health plans that are costlier or different from those they prefer to... View Details
Keywords: After-tax Income; Consumer-driven Health Care; Health Care Costs; Health Insurance; Income Inequality; Tax Policy; Health Care and Treatment; Cost; Insurance; Employees; Income; Taxation; Policy; United States
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Herzlinger, Regina E., and Barak D. Richman. "Cutting the Gordian Knot of Employee Health Care Benefits and Costs: A Corporate Model Built on Employee Choice." Duke Law School Public Law & Legal Theory Series, No. 2020-4, December 2019. (Revised January 2021.)
  • 17 Feb 2011
  • Working Paper Summaries

Preference Heterogeneity and Optimal Capital Income Taxation

Keywords: by Mikhail Golosov, Maxim Troshkin, Aleh Tsyvinski & Matthew Weinzierl
  • July 2018
  • Article

Revisiting the Classical View of Benefit-Based Taxation

By: Matthew Weinzierl
This article incorporates into modern optimal tax theory the classical logic of benefit‐based taxation in which an individual's benefit from the activities of the state is tied to his or her income‐earning ability. First‐best optimal policy is characterized... View Details
Keywords: Taxation; Theory; Policy
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Weinzierl, Matthew. "Revisiting the Classical View of Benefit-Based Taxation." Economic Journal 128, no. 612 (July 2018): F37–F64. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 14-101, April 2014.)
  • Article

Moment-to-moment Optimal Branding in TV Commercials: Preventing Avoidance by Pulsing

By: Thales S. Teixeira, Michel Wedel and Rik Pieters
We develop a conceptual framework for understanding the impact that branding activity (the audio-visual representation of brands) and consumers' dispersion of attention have on their moment-to-moment avoidance decisions during television advertising. It formalizes this... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Decision Choices and Conditions; Television Entertainment; Brands and Branding; Consumer Behavior; Mathematical Methods
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Teixeira, Thales S., Michel Wedel, and Rik Pieters. "Moment-to-moment Optimal Branding in TV Commercials: Preventing Avoidance by Pulsing." Marketing Science 29, no. 5 (September–October 2010): 783–804. (Lead Article.)
  • 2008
  • Working Paper

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Central Banking; Risk Management
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Gray, Dale F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-015, August 2008. (Revised.)
  • Article

Optimal Taxation When Children's Abilities Depend on Parents' Resources

By: Alexander Gelber and Matthew Weinzierl
Empirical research suggests that parents' economic resources affect their children's future earnings abilities. Optimal tax policy therefore treats future ability distributions as endogenous to current taxes. We model this endogeneity, calibrate the model to match... View Details
Keywords: Taxation; Family and Family Relationships; Welfare
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Gelber, Alexander, and Matthew Weinzierl. "Optimal Taxation When Children's Abilities Depend on Parents' Resources." National Tax Journal 69, no. 1 (March 2016): 11–40. (Winner, Richard A. Musgrave prize for best paper published in the NTJ. Also HBS Working Paper 13-014 and NBER Working Paper 18332.)
  • April 2018
  • Exercise

Stoy Foods: Role Information for Petja Stoyanovic

By: John Beshears
In this simulation exercise, four family members must negotiate over the future of the family business. Should the business be sold to a strategic buyer, or should the family retain control? If the business is sold, how should the proceeds of the sale be distributed... View Details
Keywords: Succession; Sale Of Business; Understanding Interests; Value Creation; Family Business; Business Exit or Shutdown; Negotiation; Ownership Stake; Perspective; Agreements and Arrangements
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Beshears, John. "Stoy Foods: Role Information for Petja Stoyanovic." Harvard Business School Exercise 918-047, April 2018.
  • April 2018
  • Exercise

Stoy Foods: Role Information for Danijela Stoyanovic

By: John Beshears
In this simulation exercise, four family members must negotiate over the future of the family business. Should the business be sold to a strategic buyer, or should the family retain control? If the business is sold, how should the proceeds of the sale be distributed... View Details
Keywords: Succession; Sale Of Business; Understanding Interests; Value Creation; Family Business; Business Exit or Shutdown; Negotiation; Perspective; Agreements and Arrangements
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Beshears, John. "Stoy Foods: Role Information for Danijela Stoyanovic." Harvard Business School Exercise 918-044, April 2018.
  • December 1998 (Revised May 1999)
  • Exercise

Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Leader of the Student Revolutionary Front (SRF): General Instructions and Confidential Information

Bellicoso is a multi-party conflict resolution simulation based loosely on the bitter civil war in El Salvador. It is designed to explore issues in: 1) the management of interactions between external negotiations between sides and internal negotiations within them, 2)... View Details
Keywords: War; Negotiation Tactics; Negotiation Participants; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution; El Salvador
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"Negotiating Peace Accords in Bellicoso for the Leader of the Student Revolutionary Front (SRF): General Instructions and Confidential Information." Harvard Business School Exercise 899-094, December 1998. (Revised May 1999.)
  • December 1994 (Revised September 1996)
  • Case

Cementownia Odra (A)

The Polish government is privatizing Cementownia Odra, a cement firm. Tomasz Budziak, a team leader, is negotiating on behalf of the Polish Ministry of Privatization. Hans-Hugo Miebach, owner of a German cement company, has made an attractive offer; a deal hinges on... View Details
Keywords: Contracts; Negotiation; Privatization; Construction Industry; Germany; Poland
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Wu, George, and Arnold Holle. "Cementownia Odra (A)." Harvard Business School Case 895-004, December 1994. (Revised September 1996.)
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