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  • 10 Jun 2013
  • Research & Ideas

How Numbers Talk to People

transactions. The analyst used the Cox regression model—an approach originally used to determine which patients would die and which would live over certain time periods-of "survival analysis." The analysis discovered that the... View Details
  • 24 Oct 2006
  • First Look

First Look: October 24, 2006

national male circumcision rates for African countries are both a strong predictor of HIV/AIDS prevalence and uncorrelated with other determinants of economic outcomes. Two-stage least squares regressions do not support the hypotheses... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 Aug 2012
  • First Look

First Look: August 21

are not directly related to mining, such as trade, finance and services. We use quantile instrumental variable regression techniques and identify mostly homogeneous effects throughout the conditional city growth distribution. Download the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Aug 2008
  • First Look

First Look: August 26, 2008

patents granted by the USPTO in 2001-2003. We show that examiner citations account for 63% of all citations on the average patent and that 40% of patents have all citations added by examiners. We use multivariate regression and analysis... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Dec 2015
  • First Look

December 1, 2015

standard forecasting regressions reveal that increases in p*t lead to economic downturns. Second, disaster risk is priced in the cross section of U.S. equity returns. A zero-cost equity portfolio with exposure to disasters earns... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 27

forecasts of holding period returns strongly predict the cross section of future returns up to three years ahead. We document a highly significant predictive pooled regression slope for future quarterly returns of 0.86, whereas the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Sep 2014
  • First Look

First Look: September 9

seeking to make their business socially acceptable and a range of non-governmental groups working to promote public welfare, labor, and minority rights. In France, where a similar coalition did not emerge, consumer credit continued to be perceived as economically View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Web

Data Tips & Toolkits - Research Computing Services

probabilistic record linkage model that allows for missing data and the inclusion of auxiliary information: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/fastLink/index.html . Machine Learning R Caret package, short for “Classification and View Details
  • 23 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 23, 2018

actions on performance. However, standard regression models estimate only the average effects of these actions across firms. Our paper discusses how random coefficient models (RCMs) may generate new insights about firm heterogeneity and... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

but is difficult when demand history is unavailable such as for new products. One method that can be applied in such cases uses dispersion among forecasting experts as a measure of demand uncertainty. This paper provides a test for this method, and presents a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 18 Apr 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, April 18, 2018

though the effects vary with liberal/conservative ideological orientation. Polynomial regression analyses reveal that the fit relationship between individual and organizational political ideology deviates from the idealized congruence... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Nov 2015
  • First Look

November 10, 2015

matching estimations, and regression discontinuity designs. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50067 Harvard Business School Case 315-049 Cravia: An Entrepreneurial Endeavor in Dubai Walid Hajj (HBS '95), CEO... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Mar 2015
  • First Look

First Look: March 24

portfolio stock return regressions we find that firms with good performance on material sustainability issues significantly outperform firms with poor performance on these issues, suggesting that investments in sustainability issues are... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 8, 2016

that UGC on platforms ranging from Yelp to Facebook has a large causal impact on economic and social outcomes ranging from restaurant decisions to voting behavior. These findings often leverage unique data sets and methods ranging from View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 29, 2008

are much weaker. In individual-level regressions of engagement in category-spanning communication patterns, we find that women, mid- to high-level executives, and members of the executive management, sales and marketing functions are most... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 May 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 22, 2018

generations of the same family may even cease to regress towards the mean. Moreover, we demonstrate that government interventions intended to ameliorate inequality may in fact lower intergenerational mobility—even when they do not... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 23 May 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Ideas and Research: May 23, 2017

AFC. However, a broader set of emerging market countries show weaker liquidity, solvency, and profitability indicators. More countries are also in the Altman Z-score's “grey zone,” that is, at risk for corporate distress. Regression... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 16 May 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Ideas and Research, May 16

Markets By: Menon, Anoop R., and Dennis Yao Abstract—This paper explores how mental models affect the analysis of dynamic strategic interactions. We develop an explanation-based view of mental models founded on a regression analogy and... View Details
Keywords: Re: Multiple Faculty
  • 08 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 8, 2019

case:https://hbsp.harvard.edu/product/119025-PDF-ENG Harvard Business School Case 119-026 Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (B) Supplements the (A) case. In this case, Wehunt and Morse are concerned about the logistic regression... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 26 Jul 2011
  • First Look

First Look: July 26

fosters a process of personalization of management learning. This process allows management education to provide the foundations for leaders' development by transforming potentially regressive MBA experiences into rich material for... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne