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      Likelihood Of DefaultRemove Likelihood Of Default →

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      • February 2004 (Revised March 2010)
      • Case

      Brazil 2003: Inflation Targeting and Debt Dynamics

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      In October 2002, Brazilians elected a left-wing president, Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, for the first time in that country's history. As markets faltered in response, Lula sought to reaffirm his commitment to fiscal discipline, a floating exchange rate, and inflation... View Details
      Keywords: Economy; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Borrowing and Debt; Policy; Emerging Markets; Brazil
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Brazil 2003: Inflation Targeting and Debt Dynamics." Harvard Business School Case 704-028, February 2004. (Revised March 2010.)
      • January 2004 (Revised April 2005)
      • Case

      Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (B)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
      Supplements the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Services Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (B)." Harvard Business School Case 204-094, January 2004. (Revised April 2005.)
      • January 2004 (Revised March 2004)
      • Case

      Redesigning Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanisms

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Christina Pham, Julia Stevens and Kathleen Luchs
      How should the debt of sovereign countries be restructured when countries approach default? Anne O. Krueger of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is proposing a new approach to sovereign defaults: the Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism (SDRM). The SDRM would... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Globalized Economies and Regions; International Finance; Laws and Statutes; Latin America; Asia; Mexico
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      Desai, Mihir A., Christina Pham, Julia Stevens, and Kathleen Luchs. "Redesigning Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanisms." Harvard Business School Case 204-110, January 2004. (Revised March 2004.)
      • October 2003 (Revised January 2004)
      • Case

      The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)

      By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      At the end of 2001, Argentina's economy and society both appeared on the verge of collapse. Furious about controls imposed on the convertibility of their bank deposits into cash (the "corralito") and huge proposed government spending cuts amidst high unemployment and... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Banks and Banking; Problems and Challenges; Decision Choices and Conditions; Currency Exchange Rate; Economy; Government Administration; Crime and Corruption; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael M., and Ingrid Vogel. "The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)." Harvard Business School Case 704-004, October 2003. (Revised January 2004.)
      • December 2002 (Revised January 2004)
      • Case

      Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
      In June 1999, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision announced plans to revise the capital standards for banks. The Basel Committee believed that project loans were significantly riskier than corporate loans and, therefore, warranted higher capital charges under... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Project Finance; Financing and Loans; Projects; Standards; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (A)." Harvard Business School Case 203-035, December 2002. (Revised January 2004.)
      • December 2002 (Revised June 2003)
      • Teaching Note

      Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (TN)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
      Teaching Note for (9-203-035). View Details
      Keywords: Project Finance; Financing and Loans
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 203-055, December 2002. (Revised June 2003.)
      • November 2002
      • Supplement

      Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characterisrics of Project Finance Loans

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
      Spreadsheet to (9-203-035). Download only. View Details
      Keywords: Project Finance; Financing and Loans
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characterisrics of Project Finance Loans." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 203-702, November 2002.
      • July 2002 (Revised March 2003)
      • Case

      Restructuring Bulong's Project Debt

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Michael Kane
      Preston Resources, a small Australian gold mining company, bought the Bulong nickel mine for A$319 million in November 1998 and financed the acquisition by issuing a US$185 million (A$294 million) project bond. At the time, mining had been underway for several months,... View Details
      Keywords: Finance; Projects; Restructuring; Bonds; Borrowing and Debt; Business Startups; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Valuation; Mining Industry; Australia
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Michael Kane. "Restructuring Bulong's Project Debt." Harvard Business School Case 203-027, July 2002. (Revised March 2003.)
      • January 2002 (Revised January 2003)
      • Case

      Finova Group, Inc. (A), The

      By: Stuart C. Gilson and Perry Fagan
      Finova Group, a $14 billion commercial finance company, filed for Chapter 11 in early March 2001, in what was one of the largest U.S. bankruptcy filings of all time and the largest corporate bond default since the Great Depression. While in Chapter 11, Finova became... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Business Startups; Borrowing and Debt; Equity; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Debt Securities; Price; Crisis Management; Bids and Bidding; Partners and Partnerships; Strategy; Valuation; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Gilson, Stuart C., and Perry Fagan. "Finova Group, Inc. (A), The." Harvard Business School Case 202-095, January 2002. (Revised January 2003.)
      • August 2000 (Revised February 2001)
      • Case

      Plum Creek Timber (A)

      By: Max H. Bazerman, Hannah Bowles, Dov Brachfeld and Jack Troast
      Plum Creek Timber Co., the nation's sixth largest private timberland owner and forest products company, must decide whether to enter negotiations with the U.S. government to establish a Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) on its Pacific Northwest properties for a... View Details
      Keywords: Conflict of Interests; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Participants; Environmental Sustainability; Business and Government Relations; Forest Products Industry; United States
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      Bazerman, Max H., Hannah Bowles, Dov Brachfeld, and Jack Troast. "Plum Creek Timber (A)." Harvard Business School Case 801-131, August 2000. (Revised February 2001.)
      • February 1995 (Revised February 1998)
      • Case

      India in the 1990s

      By: George C. Lodge and Ahu Bhasin
      Describes the efforts of Indian Prime Minister P.V. Narasimha Rao to deregulate and open up the Indian economy in the early 1990s. Focuses on the difficulties he encountered, reflected in the poor showing of the ruling Congress Party in state elections in December... View Details
      Keywords: Development Economics; Emerging Markets; Social Issues; Economic Growth; Government and Politics; India
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      Lodge, George C., and Ahu Bhasin. "India in the 1990s." Harvard Business School Case 795-119, February 1995. (Revised February 1998.)
      • 1993
      • Chapter

      Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default

      By: S. C. Gilson
      Keywords: Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Restructuring; Borrowing and Debt
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      Gilson, S. C. "Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default." In Studies in Financial Institutions: Commercial Banks, edited by C. W. Smith and C. James. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1993.
      • 1992
      • Chapter

      Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default

      By: S. C. Gilson, J. Kose and L.H.P. Kang
      Keywords: Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Borrowing and Debt; Restructuring
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      Gilson, S. C., J. Kose, and L.H.P. Kang. "Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default." In Bankruptcy and Distressed Restructurings: Analytical Issues and Investment Opportunities, edited by Edward I. Altman. New York: Business One Irwin, 1992.
      • May 1991 (Revised December 1994)
      • Case

      State of Connecticut Municipal Swap

      By: Andre F. Perold
      The state of Connecticut wants to raise $325 million of long-term fixed-rate debt. One alternative is to do this synthetically--issue long-term variable rate debt and enter into an interest rate swap. The case is a vehicle for analyzing various floating rate structures... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Interest Rates; Taxation; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Risk and Uncertainty; New England
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      Perold, Andre F. "State of Connecticut Municipal Swap." Harvard Business School Case 291-024, May 1991. (Revised December 1994.)
      • October 1990
      • Article

      Bankruptcy, Boards, Banks, and Blockholders: Evidence on Changes in Corporate Ownership and Control When Firms Default

      By: S. C. Gilson
      In 111 publicly traded firms that either file for bankruptcy or privately restructure their debt between 1979 and 1985, bank lenders frequently become major stockholders or appoint new directors. On average, only 46% of incumbent directors remain when bankruptcy or... View Details
      Keywords: Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Governance; Banks and Banking; Change; Business Ventures; Ownership
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      Gilson, S. C. "Bankruptcy, Boards, Banks, and Blockholders: Evidence on Changes in Corporate Ownership and Control When Firms Default." Journal of Financial Economics 27, no. 2 (October 1990): 355–387.
      • October 1990
      • Article

      Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default

      By: S. C. Gilson, J. Kose and L. H. P. Kang
      This study investigates the incentives of financially distressed firms to restructure their debt privately rather than through formal bankruptcy. In a sample of 169 financially distressed companies, about half successfully restructure their debt outside of Chapter 11.... View Details
      Keywords: Theory; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Restructuring
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      Gilson, S. C., J. Kose, and L. H. P. Kang. "Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default." Journal of Financial Economics 27, no. 2 (October 1990): 315–353.
      • February 1990 (Revised March 1990)
      • Case

      Quantum Semiconductor, Inc.

      By: Janice H. Hammond and Roy D. Shapiro
      Quantum is faced with a difficult ethical dilemma--industry studies provide evidence that chemicals used in semiconductor manufacturing may cause women working in fabrication cleanrooms to suffer a higher likelihood of spontaneous abortions. The possibility of other... View Details
      Keywords: Safety; Prejudice and Bias; Law; Equality and Inequality; Cost; Production; Ethics; Health; Gender; Semiconductor Industry
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      Hammond, Janice H., and Roy D. Shapiro. "Quantum Semiconductor, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 690-059, February 1990. (Revised March 1990.)
      • February 1989
      • Article

      Buybacks, Exit Bonds, and the Optimality of Debt and Liquidity Relief

      By: K. A. Froot
      Keywords: Chapter 7; Debt Reduction; Default; Sovereign Debt; Debt Crisis; Debt Restructuring; Borrowing and Debt
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      Froot, K. A. "Buybacks, Exit Bonds, and the Optimality of Debt and Liquidity Relief." International Economic Review 30, no. 1 (February 1989): 49–70. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2675, July 1988. Translated into Spanish in Estudios Economicos 4 (July 1989): 31-60.)
      • February 1982 (Revised June 1990)
      • Case

      Massey-Ferguson Ltd.—1980

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and Scott P. Mason
      Massey Ferguson began fiscal year 1981 in default on $2.5 billion of outstanding debt. The company's future depends on the ability of lenders, the governments of Canada and Ontario, and management, to agree on a refinancing plan. The case reviews Massey's performance... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Condition; Financial Markets; Financing and Loans; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Strategy; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Canada
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y., and Scott P. Mason. "Massey-Ferguson Ltd.—1980." Harvard Business School Case 282-043, February 1982. (Revised June 1990.)
      • 1 Sep 1979
      • Conference Presentation

      Rape and Physical Attractiveness: Judgements Concerning the Likelihood of Victimization

      By: W. DeJong, Teresa M. Amabile and M. L. Stubbs
      Keywords: Crime and Corruption; Attitudes; Safety; Personal Characteristics
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      DeJong, W., Teresa M. Amabile, and M. L. Stubbs. "Rape and Physical Attractiveness: Judgements Concerning the Likelihood of Victimization." Paper presented at the Annual Convention of the American Psychological Association, New York, September 01, 1979.
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