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      • Faculty Publications  (337)

      Interest Rate RiskRemove Interest Rate Risk →

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      • August 2006
      • Article

      Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default

      By: Samuel G. Hanson and Til Schuermann
      In this paper we conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD) using several analytical approaches as well as parametric and nonparametric bootstrap methods. We do so for two different PD estimation... View Details
      Keywords: Credit Risk; Bootstrap; Mathematical Methods; Credit; Risk Management
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      Hanson, Samuel G., and Til Schuermann. "Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default." Journal of Banking & Finance 30, no. 8 (August 2006).
      • March 2006
      • Module Note

      Exchange Rates and Firms

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
      Describes a core module in the International Finance course at Harvard Business School. The module focuses on how firms identify, measure, and manage currency exposures. The cases first introduce students to foreign exchange exposures and the tools used to manage... View Details
      Keywords: International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Corporate Finance
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Kathleen Luchs. "Exchange Rates and Firms." Harvard Business School Module Note 206-123, March 2006.
      • March 2006
      • Module Note

      Valuing Cross-Border Investments

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
      Describes a core module in the International Finance course at Harvard Business School. The module explores how valuation differs in an international context and introduces students to the major issues in cross-border valuations: how to value investments in currencies... View Details
      Keywords: International Accounting; Currency Exchange Rate; Investment; Framework; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Body of Literature; Risk Management; Projects; Valuation
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Kathleen Luchs. "Valuing Cross-Border Investments." Harvard Business School Module Note 206-125, March 2006.
      • February 2006 (Revised August 2006)
      • Case

      Auctioning Morningstar

      By: Malcolm P. Baker and James Quinn
      Morningstar, a publisher of data and ratings for mutual fund investors, is considering an auction-based approach to the company's upcoming IPO, with management weighing the risks and benefits of the auction approach vs. a traditional underwritten offering. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Strategy; Initial Public Offering; Stock Shares; Cost vs Benefits; Strategy; Auctions; Business or Company Management; Conflict of Interests; Publishing Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm P., and James Quinn. "Auctioning Morningstar." Harvard Business School Case 206-023, February 2006. (Revised August 2006.)
      • August 2005 (Revised April 2014)
      • Teaching Note

      Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
      What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
      Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; Financial Services Industry; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
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      Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 206-012, August 2005. (Revised April 2014.)
      • March 2005 (Revised June 2005)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (B)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      Supplements the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Governance Controls; Financial Crisis; Foreign Direct Investment; Currency Exchange Rate; Inflation and Deflation; Demand and Consumers; Interest Rates; Capital; System; Central Banking; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (B)." Harvard Business School Case 705-032, March 2005. (Revised June 2005.)
      • March 2005 (Revised March 2006)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Competitive Exposures

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How can a multinational firm analyze and manage currency risks that arise from competitive exposures? General Motors has a substantial competitive exposure to the Japanese yen. Although the risks GM faces from the depreciating yen are widely acknowledged, the company's... View Details
      Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Competition; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; International Finance; Financial Management; Investment Funds; Risk and Uncertainty; Auto Industry
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Competitive Exposures." Harvard Business School Case 205-096, March 2005. (Revised March 2006.)
      • March 2005 (Revised July 2007)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      In 1991, Chile adopted a framework of capital controls focused on reducing the massive flows of foreign investment coming into the country as international interest rates remained low. Capital inflows threatened the Central Bank's ability to manage the exchange rate... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Capital; Governance Controls; Business and Government Relations; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-031, March 2005. (Revised July 2007.)
      • March 2005 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Transactional and Translational Exposures

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How should a multinational firm manage foreign exchange exposures? Examines transactional and translational exposures and alternative responses to these exposures by analyzing two specific hedging decisions by General Motors. Describes General Motors' corporate hedging... View Details
      Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Expansion; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Financial Management; Investment Funds; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Auto Industry
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Transactional and Translational Exposures." Harvard Business School Case 205-095, March 2005. (Revised January 2006.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Management Style; Segmentation; Debt Securities; Banking Industry
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Background Note

      Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Credit; Bonds; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Services Industry
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • January 2005
      • Tutorial

      Buying Time

      By: Robert S. Kaplan
      Managers must frequently make decisions involving trade-offs between cash flows to be paid or received at different points in time. Accountants, in turn, must describe transactions that involve the payment and/or receipt of cash far in the future. This interactive... View Details
      Keywords: Cash Flow; Value; Interest Rates; Financial Statements
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      "Buying Time." Harvard Business School Tutorial 104-708, January 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Inflation and Deflation; System Shocks; Developing Countries and Economies; Mathematical Methods
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-053, January 2005. (Revised March 2010. Also NBER Working Paper No. 13131.)
      • September 2004 (Revised February 2007)
      • Case

      Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Vincent Dessain and Anders Sjoman
      The American Institute for Foreign Studies (AIFS) organizes study abroad programs and cultural exchanges for American students. The firm's revenues are mainly in U.S. dollars, but most of its costs are in eurodollars and British pounds. The company's controllers review... View Details
      Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Investment Funds; Financial Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Revenue; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Currency; Currency Exchange Rate; Education Industry; North and Central America
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      Desai, Mihir A., Vincent Dessain, and Anders Sjoman. "Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS." Harvard Business School Case 205-026, September 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
      • March 2004 (Revised October 2013)
      • Case

      Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
      What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
      Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; Financial Services Industry; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
      Citation
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      Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Case 204-141, March 2004. (Revised October 2013.)
      • March 2004 (Revised May 2005)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How should a multinational firm manage foreign exchange exposures? Examines transactional, translational, and competitive exposures. Describes General Motors' corporate hedging policies, its risk management structure, and how accounting rules impact hedging decisions.... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Investment; Financial Markets; Manufacturing Industry; Auto Industry; Argentina; Japan; Canada; United States
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors." Harvard Business School Case 204-024, March 2004. (Revised May 2005.)
      • January 2004 (Revised May 2004)
      • Background Note

      Professional Associations

      By: Ashish Nanda
      This case discusses why society grants professional associations the rights of certification and self-regulation. In exercising these rights, professional associations serve client interests but also the interest of member practitioners. The case discusses how... View Details
      Keywords: Governance; Conflict of Interests; Society
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      Nanda, Ashish. "Professional Associations." Harvard Business School Background Note 904-054, January 2004. (Revised May 2004.)
      • November 2003 (Revised March 2006)
      • Case

      Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Alexandra de Royere
      What price should Dow Chemical bid for PBB, a petrochemical complex that is being privatized by the Argentine government? To answer this question, students are forced to consider the role of country risk, the underlying currency exposure of the business, and how to... View Details
      Keywords: Bids and Bidding; Privatization; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Cash Flow; Emerging Markets; Valuation; Business and Government Relations; Multinational Firms and Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Energy Industry; Argentina
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Alexandra de Royere. "Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina." Harvard Business School Case 204-021, November 2003. (Revised March 2006.)
      • November 2003 (Revised March 2004)
      • Case

      Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho
      The Brazilian oil company, Petrobras, is evaluating the acquisition of an Argentine oil company, the Perez Companc Group (Pecom). The acquisition would increase Petrobras' oil reserves and expand its interests outside Brazil, a significant step for the largest company... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Non-Renewable Energy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Corporate Governance; Risk Management; Emerging Markets; State Ownership; Performance Evaluation; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Energy Industry; Argentina; Brazil
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho. "Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom." Harvard Business School Case 204-043, November 2003. (Revised March 2004.)
      • 2003
      • Conference Paper

      Follow the Money: What Really Drives Technology Innovation in Construction

      By: John D. Macomber
      Technology enthusiasts, academics, and software companies remain concerned about the slow pace of innovation in the construction industry. Tools are widely available that seem to provide eminently sensible and clearly apparent improvement to the process of design and... View Details
      Keywords: Buildings and Facilities; Technological Innovation; Construction; Design; Performance Improvement; Motivation and Incentives; Knowledge Management; Adoption; Business Model; Capital Structure; Supply Chain
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      Macomber, John D. "Follow the Money: What Really Drives Technology Innovation in Construction." Paper presented at the American Society of Civil Engineers, 2003.
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