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  • 08 Mar 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Solving an Economic Mystery Surrounding Argentina and Chile

went into a downward spiral as nitrate prices collapsed. It became highly inward looking and had one of the slowest rates of growth in Latin America for decades. Argentina’s fall from grace was less immediate, but more prolonged. Populist... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Jul 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 3, 2018

forthcoming IMF Economic Review Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract—In the past decade, foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries increased dramatically.... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 15 Oct 2008
  • First Look

First Look: October 15, 2008

Second, the correlation between bond yields and ratings fell. And lastly, negative stock price responses to announced rating downgrades are larger in absolute value (a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Feb 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 2

Ernesto SchargrodskyNBER Working Paper Series, No. 15602, December 2009 Abstract We study the re-arrest rates for two groups: individuals formerly in prison and individuals formerly under electronic monitoring (EM). We find that the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 07 Jun 2016
  • First Look

June 7, 2016

spread, defined as the spread of local currency bonds over the synthetic local currency risk-free rate constructed using cross-currency swaps. We find that local currency credit spreads are positive and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Dec 2016
  • First Look

December 6, 2016

discuss intuition regarding which product categories likely lead to positive vs. negative values of concealment. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=49531 Precautionary Savings in Stocks and Bonds By:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jan 2015
  • First Look

First Look: January 13

principal and investment earnings are taxed upon withdrawal. Using administrative data from 11 companies that added a Roth contribution option to their existing 401(k) plan between 2006 and 2010, we find no evidence that total 401(k) contribution View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 20, 2018

bonds generates a crowding out of corporate lending. For a given domestic firm, new debt is less likely to be a loan—i.e., the loan supply contracts—when local banks have purchased more domestic sovereign debt and when that debt is risky... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Aug 2016
  • First Look

August 16, 2016

experiments, we show that participants rated sharks more negatively and less positively after viewing a 60-second video clip of swimming sharks set to ominous background music, compared to participants who watched the same video clip set... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 30 Jan 2012
  • Research & Ideas

Measuring the Efficacy of the World’s Managers

consultancy firm that broadly rated management practices in three areas: monitoring—how well managers keep track of what's happening in a firm and make good use of that information; targets—how well organizations set appropriate goals and... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 02 Mar 2023
  • News

Carbon's Second Act

of kind of chemically bonding hydrogen and moving hydrogen in a safer and much more affordable way than moving hydrogen around as an explosive compressed gas, and therefore kind of enable green hydrogen as a fuel and as a feedstock for... View Details
  • 20 May 2008
  • First Look

First Look: May 20, 2008

Life-Cycle Funds Authors:Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Luis M. Viceira Abstract We investigate optimal consumption, asset accumulation and portfolio decisions in a realistically calibrated life-cycle model with flexible labor supply. Our framework... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Dec 1999
  • News

The Way You See It

island." Surprisingly, older alumni rated the personal computer second and the "tube" third, although one older respondent noted that "the pervasive influence of TV has not yet been superseded by PCs." Other products named included... View Details
Keywords: Garry Emmons. Data collection by Ericka Webb.
  • 10 Jun 2014
  • First Look

First Look: June 10

effect: the growth rate of an industry within a region may be declining in the level of economic activity of that industry. At the same time, positive spillovers across complementary economic activities can provide an impetus for... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Feb 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

and Heidi Liu Abstract— Eleven experiments provide evidence that people have a tendency to “shoot the messenger,” deeming innocent bearers of bad news unlikeable. In a preregistered lab experiment, participants rated messengers who... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 12 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 12

a district-industry predicts a greater share of subsequent entrepreneurs will be female. Moreover, higher female ownership of local businesses in related industries (e.g., those sharing similar labor needs, industries related via input-output markets) predict greater... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 May 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 22, 2018

Capital landed on ex-ante rating system for any potential investment that produced a proprietary expected impact. With this tool in place, Root Capital had an integrated picture of impact and financial performance for a loan and across... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 03 Jun 2016
  • News

Again in a Great City

thousands of abandoned homes, needs more housing The Detroit economy was already wavering when the Cummings family arrived. By early 1992, Detroit’s debt rating would be cut to junk bond status. From an... View Details
Keywords: April White; photographed by Brian Kelly
  • 01 Mar 2015
  • News

A Boomtown's Echo

Beyond the Boom Senior Lecturer John Macomber The oil boom has lowered the unemployment rate in Williston, North Dakota, to less than 1 percent. “With respect to the city, if you want to diversify the economy and make it attractive to... View Details
Keywords: Oil and Gas Extraction; Mining
  • 17 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 17, 2009

risk-minimizing currency strategy for a global bond investor is close to a full currency hedge, with a modest long position in the U.S. dollar. There is little evidence that risk-minimizing investors should adjust their currency positions... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace