predictions - Publications - Faculty & Research

22 Aug 2024
Research & Ideas

Reading the Financial Crisis Warning Signs: Credit Markets and the 'Red-Zone'

at the same time there's a lot of household credit expansion it's a measure that you're in the Red-zone. We found that that is very predictive of crises. Generally, that and a couple of other papers that Sam Hanson and I have worked on... View Details

Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Banking

11 Jun 2007
Lessons from the Classroom

Teaching the Next Generation of Energy Executives

You may think that being an energy executive—especially a manager in a leading oil company—might be the easiest job around. Just flip the production switch, and watch gas prices head toward $4 a gallon. But students enrolled in Harvard Business School professor Forest... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Energy; Utilities

01 Jun 2011
News

What’s after Fannie and Freddie?

crisis. And these mortgages would be well underwritten with low loan-to-value ratios so that the risk to the government would be modest. Do you think that your proposal will gain any traction in Washington? Well, it’s always hard to View Details

Keywords: Roger Thompson; Credit Intermediation and Related Activities; Finance

01 Dec 2013
News

Faculty Q&A: Playing the Hits

answers for—no one knew which strategies were winning strategies. We knew a lot about more mundane, predictable product categories. So it's a great area for research: It's a fun sector, and there were and are lots of big questions still... View Details

Keywords: Patrick Kirchner; Arts, Entertainment; Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools; Educational Services

03 Aug 2015
Research & Ideas

Why Fierce Competitors Apple and Amazon Became ’Frenemies’ Over eReaders

insufficient room to collaborate. Zhu and his collaborators predict that as digitization increasingly de-couples hardware and software in many industries, corporate frenemies may become more common. With the increasing emphasis on added... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Information; Publishing; Technology

09 Aug 2006
Research & Ideas

Career Advancement Without Experience

manage and advance their careers in the less predictable world of contract labor. But how do you land those kinds of jobs? In "Stretchwork: Managing the Career Progression Paradox in External Labor Markets," forthcoming in the... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Motion Pictures & Video; Technology

01 Sep 2020
News

Navigating the Populism Phenomenon

have been advocating for, which can be very unorthodox and generate economic disasters. In addition, their effects are very hard to predict because they have not been tested. The resulting uncertainty can also be costly to businesses.... View Details

Keywords: April White

25 Apr 2000
Research & Ideas

Adjusting the Fit for Government

press governments to allow space for business to work and innovate. The tenet of predictability is vital, said Wagle. "If people are going to invest in very bad conditions, they have to know the rules of the game," he charged.... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

23 Jul 2024
Research & Ideas

Forgiving Medical Debt Won't Make Everyone Happier

in a survey conducted of 45 experts before the study, including academics, nonprofit staffers, and government or private sector employees. These experts predicted a median 7 percentage point reduction in depression tied to the debt.... View Details

Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Health

16 Jan 2025
Blog Post

Alumni Career Journey: Sophie Levin (MS/MBA 2022) - How Risk Can Be the Key to a Sustainable Future

excited about? Having lived in many cities, I find myself drawn to the built environment. Not only are we upgrading our current cities, but we’re building new cities to accommodate a changing global population. The UN predicts the world's... View Details

08 Dec 2015
News

Living the Legacy

but interviewers commented that they felt “all law students would benefit from such a program.” “I would be lost without the knowledge I gained in CORe,” says Cera. “Because I now have a foundational understanding of how businesses operate and what they care most... View Details

23 May 2017
First Look

First Look at New Ideas and Research: May 23, 2017

arbitrariness of the set. Drawing on Gestalt psychology, we develop a conceptual account that predicts what will—and will not—act as a pseudo-set and defines the psychological process through which these pseudo-sets affect behavior,... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

23 Feb 2011
First Look

First Look: Feb. 23

measures of national political instability—Alesina and Perotti's (1996) well-known index of instability, a subsequent index derived from Banks' (2005) work, and two indices of managerial perceptions of nation-by-nation political instability—persistently View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

26 Jan 2010
First Look

First Look: Jan. 26

-1,000 otherwise" over "0 with certainty." Studies 3, 4, and 5 address the apparent discrepancy between these results and the evidence for loss aversion documented in previous research. The results reveal that only under very specific conditions does the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

06 Nov 2019
Op-Ed

Torched Planet: The Business Case to Reinvent Almost Everything

The world is. on. fire. The Earth is burning. We only have a little time to arrest climate change, and if we fail to do so the consequences will be both dire and irreversible. We have the technology and the resources to fix things, if we want to. We even have a... View Details

Keywords: by Rebecca Henderson; Energy

06 Apr 2016
What Do You Think?

As Tim Cook, How Would You Tackle Apple's Next Challenge?

lauded by some for defending the integrity of its products and the security of the owners of its products. All of this makes for a classic Harvard Business School case problem. We should be well prepared to discuss it. And now the story has updated itself. As some of... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer

10 Apr 2014
Research & Ideas

Book Excerpt--‘Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World’

inaccurate and increasingly troublesome. Management is a set of well-known processes that help organizations produce reliable, efficient, and predictable results. Really good management helps us do well what we more or less know how to do... View Details

Keywords: Re: John P. Kotter

17 Feb 2014
Research & Ideas

Companies Detangle from Legacy Pensions

option is for companies to "de-risk" their pension plan by putting assets into more predictable investments that generate enough income while still reducing the risk due to market or interest rate volatility. To do that, some... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Aerospace; Financial Services

21 Sep 2010
First Look

First Look: September 21, 2010

organizational behavior literatures predict that when it is difficult to align incentives by contracting on output, aligning preferences via employee selection may provide a useful alternative. This study investigates this idea... View Details