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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(2,862)
- News (468)
- Research (2,201)
- Events (43)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (1,411)
- 19 Dec 2024
- News
The Musts of 2024
Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Hi, this is Dan Morrell, host of Skydeck. I love these end-of-the-year lists where you can get recommendations from smart people about things that are worth your time and money. It always sets me up really... View Details
- 01 Mar 2005
- News
Venture Capital’s Comeback
Massachusetts. During the bubble, the most valued skill was the presumed ability to predict what hot concept could go public fast. Now the pendulum has swung back to valuing entrepreneurial skills first and foremost. There’s also a... View Details
- Web
Making Difficult Decisions: The General Manager’s Role (MDD) - Course Catalog
with a particular emphasis on contexts characterized by high uncertainty and high stakes. We examine cognitive, interpersonal, and organizational factors that undermine effective decision making and introduce techniques for diagnosing and overcoming View Details
- 28 May 2019
- News
Broken Link
rural versus urban and suburban, that didn’t really predict anything.” (Rural schools did have slower speeds, but they also had fewer students to slow the network down.) After securing nearly $30 million in funding, the group’s work... View Details
- 01 Mar 2018
- News
Money (Actually) Can Buy Happiness
Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans (image by John Ritter) People aren’t very good at predicting what will make them happy, say Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans, who both study... View Details
Keywords: April White
- 01 Dec 2013
- News
14 for '14
independence as powerful and rich city-states." —Juan Enriquez (MBA 1986), managing director, Excel Venture Management What do you think? Make your predictions in the comments in the "Post a Comment" box below. View Details
- January – March 2012
- Article
Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
- 01 Mar 2004
- What Do You Think?
Are Customer Loyalty Initiatives Worth the Investment?
concludes that even though many customer loyalty initiatives are poorly thought out or implemented: 1) "Some customers are inherently predictable and loyal, no matter what company they're doing business with. They simply prefer... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- 12 Dec 2022
- Research & Ideas
Buy-In from Black Patients Suffers When Drug Trials Don’t Include Them
model for how doctors and their patients decide whether to adopt new medical technology. A key insight of that model Schwartzstein developed is “similarity-based extrapolation”—the notion that people take away more information from data that looks like them. The model... View Details
- 01 Sep 2017
- News
Read All About It: Journalism Can Be Profitable
predicted the demise of books with the advent of e-readers, but people are still buying printed books. Print isn’t going to disappear in the near future. + ONLINE web-only content Why didn’t newspaper groups innovate more rapidly in the... View Details
- 01 Sep 2005
- News
Get Ready for Saudi Oil Shock
and the only time I’ve spent overnight in the hospital is when I was born. I don’t think that has any predictability about the next 62 years. – Lewis I. Rice View Details
- 03 Jan 2007
- First Look
First Look: January 3, 2007
models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions predict that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 29 Jan 2019
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019
and elicit posterior beliefs. Gender stereotypes have significant predictive power for posterior beliefs, both through their influence on prior beliefs (as predicted by a Bayesian model) and through their... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 02 Feb 2010
- First Look
First Look: Feb. 2
will correspond to the technical patterns of dependency in the system under development. Thus the hypothesis predicts that developers with few or no organizational linkages will design independent system components, while developers with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- Article
The Best of Both Worlds: Integrating Conscious and Unconscious Thought Best Solves Complex Decisions
Two studies address the debate over whether conscious or unconscious mental processes best handle complex decisions. According to Unconscious Thought Theory (Dijksterhuis & Nordgren, 2006), both modes of thinking have particular advantages: conscious thought can follow... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Values and Beliefs; Information; Knowledge Management; Management Skills; Management Style; Measurement and Metrics; Success; Research; Cognition and Thinking; Personal Characteristics; Perception
Nordgren, Loran F., Maarten W. Bos, and Ap Dijksterhuis. "The Best of Both Worlds: Integrating Conscious and Unconscious Thought Best Solves Complex Decisions." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 47, no. 2 (March 2011): 509–511.
- January 2022
- Technical Note
Introduction to Capital Structure Analytics
By: Samuel Antill and Ted Berk
This technical note provides an overview of key analytical approaches that are useful in assessing the appropriateness of a firm’s capital structure and funding plan. This note introduces basic quantitative tools and metrics that are commonly used as inputs to this... View Details
Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Business Plan; Forecasting and Prediction; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Capital Structure; Cash Flow; Financial Liquidity; Financial Management; Financing and Loans
Antill, Samuel, and Ted Berk. "Introduction to Capital Structure Analytics." Harvard Business School Technical Note 222-061, January 2022.
- 10 Oct 2007
- First Look
First Look: First Look: October 10
purchases the same customers make when shopping without a coupon. The standard permanent income or lifecycle theory of consumption predicts that grocery spending will be unaffected by the use of a $10-off coupon, while a simple mental... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 02 Sep 2002
- Research & Ideas
The Role of Government When All Else Fails
extremely powerful—function of government. Now, you also asked about the future. One thing I've learned is that historians very often get themselves into trouble when they start trying to predict the future. So I'm not going to try to do... View Details
Keywords: by Laura Linard
- 12 Nov 2014
- Op-Ed
A Challenge to the New Congress: Pass Housing Finance Reform
(whatever its title) will also charge an unsubsidized fee to cover the catastrophic risk it assumes. What impact will these fees have? Understandably, with the best economic models, we will be unable to predict with certainty the impact,... View Details
- 05 Nov 2024
- Research & Ideas
AI Can Help Leaders Communicate, But Can't Make Employees Listen
for AI acceptance: messages simply labeled as coming from AI were rated as less helpful than those that actually came from a chatbot. “My prediction is that every single employee one day will have their own communication bot, just like... View Details