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  • 14 Nov 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

1926–2014 and international sector returns 1985–2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns going forward; (2) such sharp... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 25 Apr 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 25

Ramanna Abstract—SEC oversight of publicly listed firms ranges from comment letter (CL) reviews of firms’ reporting compliance to pursuing enforcement actions against violators. Prior literature finds that firm political connections (PC) negatively View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jul 2010
  • First Look

First Look: July 13

Ramanna, and Douglas J. Skinner Abstract Based on extant literature, we review the positive theory of GAAP. The theory predicts that GAAP's principal focus is on control (performance measurement and stewardship) and that verifiability and... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 21 Jan 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Lessons for Retailers from the Rebirth of Indie Bookstores

business,” he says. “I embed myself into an industry for multiple years to understand the nuances of what’s happening, and I try to uncover unexpected patterns that can be difficult to predict using traditional statistical models.” Three... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Entertainment & Recreation
  • 05 Aug 2015
  • What Do You Think?

What Happened to the ‘Innovation, Disruption, Technology’ Dividend?

even brighter future. Others predict that "disruption," perhaps the most overworked term in business English today, will foster competition, make long-term strategic planning a questionable management activity, and bring new... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer; Technology
  • 28 May 2014
  • Research & Ideas

Building Histories of Emerging Economies One Interview at a Time

"Every capitalist economy has its ups, downs, and shocks," says Jones. "But there's a due process and greater predictability to business in the United States and Europe, which these people haven't experienced in the 30 or 40 years of... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna
  • 17 Feb 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 17

Management (forthcoming) Abstract Consumers who buy a product intending to use an accompanying mail-in rebate often do not redeem the rebate. To explain this behavior, we argue that consumers use an anchoring and adjustment approach to View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 2, 2009

  Working PapersTruth in Giving: Experimental Evidence on the Welfare Effects of Informed Giving to the Poor Authors:Christina Fong and Felix Oberholzer-Gee Abstract It is often difficult for donors to predict the value of charitable... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 18 Feb 2002
  • Research & Ideas

Wrap-up: Software, Telecom, and Recovery

exists doesn't make it any easier for investors to predict if and when an investment will pan out. If you hesitate, will all be lost? As William Quigley, managing director of Clearstone Venture Partners, put it, "Venture capitalism... View Details
Keywords: by Wendy Guild & Martha Lagace; Financial Services; Technology; Communications; Telecommunications
  • March 2024
  • Case

Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (A)

By: N. Louis Shipley and Stacy Straaberg
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional... View Details
Keywords: Acquisition; Business Growth and Maturation; Communication Strategy; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Cycles; Technological Innovation; Sports; Growth and Development Strategy; Resource Allocation; Marketing; Sales; Business Strategy; Expansion; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; United States; North Carolina
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  • 03 Feb 2015
  • First Look

First Look: February 3

Dennis A. Yao Abstract—This article examines how antitrust law and policy can benefit from ideas developed in the academic strategy field. Because accurate assessment and prediction of the effects of firm conduct depend in part on... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jul 2011
  • First Look

First Look: July 19

leaves a set of information-rich trades by "opportunistic" insiders that contain all the predictive power in the insider trading universe. A portfolio strategy that focuses solely on opportunistic traders yields value-weighted... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • November 2008
  • Journal Article

Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations

By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Yang Gui
Since 1949 Lehman Brothers has used an investment committee to select the top ten recommendations made by its analysts each year. We examine the performance of this committee's recommendations and find that on average its selections generated abnormal returns of 2.7%... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Markets; Investment; Investment Return; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Performance Expectations; Groups and Teams; Research; Value Creation
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  • 15 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 15

trade with arbitrageurs. Consistent with the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Oct 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is Leadership an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act?

have little confidence in long-range planning, predictions of others, or their own biases. They will spend less time planning and more time fostering the organizational ability to develop and test new ideas. In a recent e-mail, Scott... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 10 Jun 2013
  • Research & Ideas

How Numbers Talk to People

the Eureka Story, the Mad Scientist Story, the Survey Story, the Prediction Story, and the "Here's What Happened" Story. The excerpt focuses on the first two. —Sean Silverthorne book excerpt Framing The Problem From: Keeping Up... View Details
  • 13 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 13, 2007

increase the reliance on FDI flows and alter the decision to deploy technology through FDI as opposed to arm's length licensing. Several distinctive predictions for the impact of weak investor protection on MNC activity and FDI flows are... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 Nov 2006
  • Research & Ideas

CEO Succession: The Case at Ford

a very good record which are the LBOs, almost never go for that sort of CEO. They look for an industry figure who really knows a lot about the business and that company—often a retired CEO. Q: Is it easy to predict who's going to be the... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Aisner; Auto; Employment
  • 28 Feb 2005
  • Research & Ideas

How to Harness Auction Fever

little about why this sale surprised the auction community? Deepak Malhotra: Auctioneers are often able to predict selling prices pretty accurately. In this particular auction, actual prices were approximately seven times initial... View Details
Keywords: by Manda Salls; Web Services; Technology
  • 24 Sep 2001
  • Research & Ideas

How To Be an Angel Investor

in sales respectively. Most companies in the industry were valued at $1 million per employee, and this company had 40. However, NASDAQ had just dropped about 20% (April, 2000), and voices predicting the end of the tech stocks' ride were... View Details
Keywords: by David Amis & Howard Stevenson