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  • November 2008
  • Journal Article

Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations

By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Yang Gui
Since 1949 Lehman Brothers has used an investment committee to select the top ten recommendations made by its analysts each year. We examine the performance of this committee's recommendations and find that on average its selections generated abnormal returns of 2.7%... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Markets; Investment; Investment Return; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Performance Expectations; Groups and Teams; Research; Value Creation
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  • March 2024
  • Case

Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (A)

By: N. Louis Shipley and Stacy Straaberg
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional... View Details
Keywords: Acquisition; Business Growth and Maturation; Communication Strategy; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Cycles; Technological Innovation; Sports; Growth and Development Strategy; Resource Allocation; Marketing; Sales; Business Strategy; Expansion; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; United States; North Carolina
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  • 12 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 12

a district-industry predicts a greater share of subsequent entrepreneurs will be female. Moreover, higher female ownership of local businesses in related industries (e.g., those sharing similar labor needs, industries related via... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Web

Making Difficult Decisions: The General Manager’s Role (MDD) - Course Catalog

with a particular emphasis on contexts characterized by high uncertainty and high stakes. We examine cognitive, interpersonal, and organizational factors that undermine effective decision making and introduce techniques for diagnosing and overcoming View Details
  • 28 May 2019
  • News

Broken Link

rural versus urban and suburban, that didn’t really predict anything.” (Rural schools did have slower speeds, but they also had fewer students to slow the network down.) After securing nearly $30 million in funding, the group’s work... View Details
Keywords: Nicole Torres; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information
  • 01 Mar 2018
  • News

Money (Actually) Can Buy Happiness

Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans (image by John Ritter) People aren’t very good at predicting what will make them happy, say Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans, who both study... View Details
Keywords: April White
  • 01 Dec 2013
  • News

14 for '14

independence as powerful and rich city-states." —Juan Enriquez (MBA 1986), managing director, Excel Venture Management What do you think? Make your predictions in the comments in the "Post a Comment" box below. View Details
Keywords: Arts, Entertainment; Finance; Government; Information; Retail Trade
  • January – March 2012
  • Article

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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  • 15 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 15

effect on the investment of firms. High taxes will favor investment by firms that can finance internally. Using an international panel with many changes in payout taxes, we show that this prediction holds well. Payout taxes have a large... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 13, 2010

fixed-pie perceptions by suggesting that disputants may prefer proposals that are perceived to be equally attractive to both parties (i.e., balanced) rather than one-sided, because balanced agreements are seen as more likely to be successfully implemented. We test our... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 Sep 2010
  • First Look

First Look: September 14, 2010

extensive theoretical literature generates ambiguous predictions concerning the effects of intellectual property rights (IPR) reform on industrial development. The impact depends on whether multinational enterprises (MNEs) expand... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 6

liberalization and since broad-based corporate governance reforms were implemented, goes expressly against the prediction of prior schools of thought about business groups. We argue that the conventional wisdom about tunneling and... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 19 Dec 2024
  • News

The Musts of 2024

remember there are four Ps of marketing and there are four Ps of scientific wellness. The first P is to predict disease before it happens. Most people believe that you're healthy and then you're sick, but in reality there's a long period... View Details
  • 01 Mar 2005
  • News

Venture Capital’s Comeback

Massachusetts. During the bubble, the most valued skill was the presumed ability to predict what hot concept could go public fast. Now the pendulum has swung back to valuing entrepreneurial skills first and foremost. There’s also a... View Details
Keywords: Roger Thompson; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance
  • 15 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 15

trade with arbitrageurs. Consistent with the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Oct 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is Leadership an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act?

have little confidence in long-range planning, predictions of others, or their own biases. They will spend less time planning and more time fostering the organizational ability to develop and test new ideas. In a recent e-mail, Scott... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 10 Jun 2013
  • Research & Ideas

How Numbers Talk to People

the Eureka Story, the Mad Scientist Story, the Survey Story, the Prediction Story, and the "Here's What Happened" Story. The excerpt focuses on the first two. —Sean Silverthorne book excerpt Framing The Problem From: Keeping Up... View Details
  • 13 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 13, 2007

increase the reliance on FDI flows and alter the decision to deploy technology through FDI as opposed to arm's length licensing. Several distinctive predictions for the impact of weak investor protection on MNC activity and FDI flows are... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 Nov 2006
  • Research & Ideas

CEO Succession: The Case at Ford

a very good record which are the LBOs, almost never go for that sort of CEO. They look for an industry figure who really knows a lot about the business and that company—often a retired CEO. Q: Is it easy to predict who's going to be the... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Aisner; Auto; Employment
  • 28 Feb 2005
  • Research & Ideas

How to Harness Auction Fever

little about why this sale surprised the auction community? Deepak Malhotra: Auctioneers are often able to predict selling prices pretty accurately. In this particular auction, actual prices were approximately seven times initial... View Details
Keywords: by Manda Salls; Web Services; Technology