Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

14 Sep 2010
First Look

First Look: September 14, 2010

extensive theoretical literature generates ambiguous predictions concerning the effects of intellectual property rights (IPR) reform on industrial development. The impact depends on whether multinational enterprises (MNEs) expand... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

06 Apr 2010
First Look

First Look: April 6

liberalization and since broad-based corporate governance reforms were implemented, goes expressly against the prediction of prior schools of thought about business groups. We argue that the conventional wisdom about tunneling and... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

19 Dec 2024
News

The Musts of 2024

remember there are four Ps of marketing and there are four Ps of scientific wellness. The first P is to predict disease before it happens. Most people believe that you're healthy and then you're sick, but in reality there's a long period... View Details

01 Mar 2005
News

Venture Capital’s Comeback

Massachusetts. During the bubble, the most valued skill was the presumed ability to predict what hot concept could go public fast. Now the pendulum has swung back to valuing entrepreneurial skills first and foremost. There’s also a... View Details

Keywords: Roger Thompson; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance

28 May 2019
News

Broken Link

rural versus urban and suburban, that didn’t really predict anything.” (Rural schools did have slower speeds, but they also had fewer students to slow the network down.) After securing nearly $30 million in funding, the group’s work... View Details

Keywords: Nicole Torres; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information

01 Mar 2018
News

Money (Actually) Can Buy Happiness

Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans (image by John Ritter) People aren’t very good at predicting what will make them happy, say Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans, who both study... View Details

Keywords: April White

01 Dec 2013
News

14 for '14

independence as powerful and rich city-states." —Juan Enriquez (MBA 1986), managing director, Excel Venture Management What do you think? Make your predictions in the comments in the "Post a Comment" box below. View Details

Keywords: Arts, Entertainment; Finance; Government; Information; Retail Trade

April 2012
Article

Bouncing Out of the Banking System: An Empirical Analysis of Involuntary Bank Account Closures

By: Dennis Campbell, F. Asis Martinez-Jerez and Peter Tufano

Using a new database, we document the factors that relate to the extent of involuntary consumer bank account closure resulting from excessive overdraft activity. Consumers who have accounts involuntarily closed for overdraft activity may have limited or no access to... View Details

Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Customers; Social Issues; Outcome or Result; Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Banks and Banking; Policy; Personal Characteristics; Credit; Employment; United States

Citation

Find at Harvard

September 2011
Supplement

TopCoder (B)

By: Karim R. Lakhani, Eric Lonstein and Stephanie Pokrywa

Metrology plays a key role in the manufacture of mechanical components. Traditionally it is used extensively in a pre-process stage where a manufacturer does process planning, design, and ramp-up, and in post-process off-line inspection to establish proof of quality.... View Details

Keywords: Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Change Management; Production; Machinery and Machining; Planning; Quality; Competition; Diversification; Technology Adoption; Measurement and Metrics; Product Design; Manufacturing Industry

Citation

Purchase

18 Apr 2018
First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, April 18, 2018

predict biosimilar entry, price, and penetration, finding significant heterogeneity across countries and products. Effective buyer institutions are associated with increased biosimilar penetration. Our estimates can inform ongoing policy... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

14 Oct 2014
First Look

First Look: October 14

behave like money. We first present a simple model where households demand money services, which are supplied by three types of claims: deposits, Treasury bills, and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP). The model provides predictions for... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

06 May 2014
First Look

First Look: May 6

transmitting information from equity to debt holders. This provides a novel argument as to why information contained in stock prices affects the real value of a corporation. It also allows us to make empirical predictions regarding the... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

30 Aug 2011
First Look

First Look: August 30

video ads. In a controlled experiment, joy and surprise were assessed through automated facial expression detection for a sample of ads. Concentration of attention was assessed through eye tracking and retention of viewers by recording zapping behavior. This allows... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

09 Feb 2010
First Look

First Look: Feb. 9

function while others are only peripheral. The dynamics of how such "core-periphery" structures evolve and become embedded in a firm's innovation routines has been shown to be a major factor in predicting survival, especially in... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

08 Sep 2009
Research & Ideas

The Height Tax, and Other New Ways to Think about Taxation

projects, two studies are related to how we ought to tax people when they differ in multiple ways. One shows that taxes ought to be less progressive when preferences for leisure time vary widely in society, and I find that international data is consistent with the... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

10 Jun 2002
Research & Ideas

Reinventing the Industrial Giant

Internet system to handle billing and related services. Also in November, GM signed an agreement with EDS to manage its B2B and business-to-employee projects.92 The revenue growth and savings that GM executives predict have until now... View Details

Keywords: by Nitin Nohria, Davis Dyer & Frederick Dalzell; Manufacturing

01 Oct 2000
News

The Entrepreneurial Venture

Today's frenzied world of dot-com mania might have been hard to predict 25 years ago, but the Class of 1975 has always had an eye for opportunity. For its time, the class had a sizable number of military officers familiar with strategic... View Details

30 Aug 2016
First Look

August 30, 2016

coupling predict IT agility—defined as the cost of making changes to software applications. The measure of coupling that best predicts agility is one that captures all direct and indirect connections between... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

01 Nov 1999
Lessons from the Classroom

What’s Next & So What? Leading in the 21st Century

does the course fit into a global context? Hamel: In the last few years, the business world has changed dramatically. No longer moving linearly or at a steady, predictable pace, the world has become fundamentally discontinuous. Most... View Details

Keywords: by Staff

January – March 2012
Article

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Luis M. Viceira

This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details