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  • 09 Jan 2007
  • First Look

First Look: January 9, 2007

Paper No. 9680.) Abstract Patent pools are an important but little-studied economic institution. In this paper, we first make a set of predictions about the licensing terms associated with patent pools. The theoretical framework View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 28 Jan 2002
  • Research & Ideas

Read All About It! Newspapers Lose Web War

business. However, despite these perceived limitations, the newspaper industry largely recognized the threat that digital media posed to the traditional printed newspaper business. In fact, many industry analysts were predicting a... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Entertainment & Recreation; Information; Publishing
  • 01 Dec 2014
  • News

Alumni and Faculty Books for December 2014

The period before the Great Depression saw the rise of economic forecasters, pioneers who used the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. Friedman, director of HBS’s Business History... View Details
  • 10 Nov 2015
  • First Look

November 10, 2015

valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of operations and predicts the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Feb 2014
  • Research & Ideas

Racist Umpires and Monetary Ministers

otherwise." In the cases of umpires and ministers, Parsons's work falls under the broader category of incentive research. "They are about what causes people to behave in predictable ways, and how that changes over time," he... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Sports; Information; Publishing
  • 24 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 24, 2009

financial resources increase the benefits of partner-specific experience. Finally, we predict that the value of partner-specific experience will increase under high levels of firm-specific uncertainty. We test these hypotheses with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 03 Jan 2007
  • First Look

First Look: January 3, 2007

models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions predict that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

and elicit posterior beliefs. Gender stereotypes have significant predictive power for posterior beliefs, both through their influence on prior beliefs (as predicted by a Bayesian model) and through their... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • Web

Making Difficult Decisions: The General Manager’s Role (MDD) - Course Catalog

with a particular emphasis on contexts characterized by high uncertainty and high stakes. We examine cognitive, interpersonal, and organizational factors that undermine effective decision making and introduce techniques for diagnosing and overcoming View Details
  • 28 May 2019
  • News

Broken Link

rural versus urban and suburban, that didn’t really predict anything.” (Rural schools did have slower speeds, but they also had fewer students to slow the network down.) After securing nearly $30 million in funding, the group’s work... View Details
Keywords: Nicole Torres; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information
  • 01 Mar 2018
  • News

Money (Actually) Can Buy Happiness

Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans (image by John Ritter) People aren’t very good at predicting what will make them happy, say Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans, who both study... View Details
Keywords: April White
  • 01 Dec 2013
  • News

14 for '14

independence as powerful and rich city-states." —Juan Enriquez (MBA 1986), managing director, Excel Venture Management What do you think? Make your predictions in the comments in the "Post a Comment" box below. View Details
Keywords: Arts, Entertainment; Finance; Government; Information; Retail Trade
  • 31 Jan 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017

whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 12 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

decades, and I identify remedies well-grounded in antitrust precedent. Paper: http://journaloflaw.us/0%20JoL/2-2/JoL2-2.pdf#page=197 The Future of Boards: Meeting the Governance Challenges of the 21st Century Authors:Lorsch, Jay W. Publication:European Financial Review... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Feb 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Creative Entrepreneurship in a Downturn

Whatever the headlines predict these days, there may still be good news for entrepreneurs. Many successful products, services, and pivotal ideas have been launched during an economic lull, according to Bhaskar Chakravorti, a senior... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • November 2008
  • Journal Article

Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations

By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Yang Gui
Since 1949 Lehman Brothers has used an investment committee to select the top ten recommendations made by its analysts each year. We examine the performance of this committee's recommendations and find that on average its selections generated abnormal returns of 2.7%... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Markets; Investment; Investment Return; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Performance Expectations; Groups and Teams; Research; Value Creation
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  • June 1991 (Revised December 1997)
  • Case

Takeover of the Norton Co., The

By: Thomas R. Piper
After a decade of mediocre performance, the Norton Co. enters 1990 with the prospect of increased sales in the next few years. Yet Norton is pursuing slow growth industries, and a lower than expected earnings announcement at the beginning of 1990 has depressed earnings... View Details
Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Conglomerates; Goals and Objectives; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Revenue; Bids and Bidding; Business Processes; Ownership Stake
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  • 2012
  • Working Paper

Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the... View Details
Keywords: Price; Credit; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Bonds; Market Design; Cost of Capital; Mathematical Methods; System Shocks
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  • 15 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 15

effect on the investment of firms. High taxes will favor investment by firms that can finance internally. Using an international panel with many changes in payout taxes, we show that this prediction holds well. Payout taxes have a large... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 13, 2010

fixed-pie perceptions by suggesting that disputants may prefer proposals that are perceived to be equally attractive to both parties (i.e., balanced) rather than one-sided, because balanced agreements are seen as more likely to be successfully implemented. We test our... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne