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  • April 2012
  • Article

Bouncing Out of the Banking System: An Empirical Analysis of Involuntary Bank Account Closures

By: Dennis Campbell, F. Asis Martinez-Jerez and Peter Tufano
Using a new database, we document the factors that relate to the extent of involuntary consumer bank account closure resulting from excessive overdraft activity. Consumers who have accounts involuntarily closed for overdraft activity may have limited or no access to... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Customers; Social Issues; Outcome or Result; Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Banks and Banking; Policy; Personal Characteristics; Credit; Employment; United States
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  • September 2011
  • Supplement

TopCoder (B)

By: Karim R. Lakhani, Eric Lonstein and Stephanie Pokrywa
Metrology plays a key role in the manufacture of mechanical components. Traditionally it is used extensively in a pre-process stage where a manufacturer does process planning, design, and ramp-up, and in post-process off-line inspection to establish proof of quality.... View Details
Keywords: Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Change Management; Production; Machinery and Machining; Planning; Quality; Competition; Diversification; Technology Adoption; Measurement and Metrics; Product Design; Manufacturing Industry
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  • 05 Mar 2018
  • Working Paper Summaries

Nowcasting Gentrification: Using Yelp Data to Quantify Neighborhood Change

Keywords: by Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca
  • 2010
  • Working Paper

Valuation When Cash Flow Forecasts Are Biased

By: Richard S. Ruback
This paper focuses adaptations to the discount cash flow (DCF) method when valuing forecasted cash flows that are biased measures of expected cash flows. I imagine a simple setting where the expected cash flows equal the forecasted cash flows plus an omitted downside.... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Cost of Capital; Performance Expectations; Prejudice and Bias; Valuation
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  • March 2005
  • Case

Henkel Iberica (A)

By: Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez, V.G. Narayanan and Lisa Brem
In 2002, Esteban Garriga, customer service director at Henkel Iberica, questions whether Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) would help manage retail promotions and limit their impact on the stock-outs and obsolete inventory. Describes the... View Details
Keywords: Business Subsidiaries; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Distribution Channels; Strategic Planning; Commercialization; Valuation; Rail Industry; Germany; Spain
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  • October 1993 (Revised February 1995)
  • Case

Dendrite International

By: Frank V. Cespedes and Marie Bell
Dendrite International is a $23 million (1992 revenues) supplier of sales automation software to pharmaceuticals companies in Europe, Japan, and the United States. The firm's strategy has depended on being a full-service supplier to multinational firms. Impending... View Details
Keywords: Accounting Audits; Cost vs Benefits; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Sales; Competitive Advantage; Information Technology Industry; Japan; Europe; United States
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  • 24 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 24

Monetary Economics Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm-Level Evidence By: Ivashina, Victoria, and Bo Becker Abstract—Theory predicts that there is a close link between bank credit supply and the evolution of the business cycle. Yet... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: January 10

bonds varies predictably over time. We also find strong evidence that the spread between the nominal and the real bond risk premium, or the breakeven inflation risk premium, also varies over time. We argue that the time variation in real... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 May 2011
  • First Look

First Look: May 3

principles within each course module, and a synopsis of each case, along with the lessons the case is meant to convey. Purchase this note:http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/911069-PDF-ENG Predictive Biosciences Thomas Eisenmann,... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 1

firm-level expected returns and expected profitability are time-varying but highly persistent; 2) forecasts of holding period returns strongly predict the cross section of future returns up to three years ahead. We document a highly... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 17 May 2011
  • First Look

First Look: May 17

founders. To motivate the empirical analysis we develop a simple theory of costly bargaining, where founders trade off the simplicity of accepting an equal split, with the costs of negotiating a differentiated allocation of founder equity. We test the View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Sep 2008
  • First Look

First Look: September 16, 2008

behavior. We examine the role of experience over time in the emergence of the Gambler's Fallacy in binary prediction tasks. Theories of the Gambler's Fallacy and models of binary prediction suggest that... View Details
  • 04 Sep 2019
  • Research & Ideas

'I Know Why You Voted for Trump' and Other Motivation Misperceptions

She hopes the results make business leaders think twice about how they size up their customers and rely on previous purchases to predict the products they want. “For instance, imagine you see a person buy a plain black backpack,” she... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 29 Apr 2015
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Use Personal Experience to Pick Winning Stocks

make it move the way you want," says Malloy. Team members Nami Singhal, Trish Higgins, and Yura Mikhalev (all MBA 2013) used a case that Singhal had studied about Argentina's volatile political system as background information to View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 05 Mar 2014
  • What Do You Think?

When Will the Next Dot.com Bubble Burst?

Internet (mobile) businesses and users (have) already evaluated the benefits (and) analysts' valuations can be more predictable " Shankar N. Mandapaka added: "The earlier dot.com bubble was due to lack of proper valuation... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Publishing; Retail
  • 25 Mar 2014
  • Research & Ideas

China’s Economic System has Difficult Road Overcoming its Political System

One need only look as far as the bookshelf to see the optimism attached to China's ascension as a world economic and political power. Titles like The Dragon Awakes; The Rise of China; and When China Rules the World predict an inevitable,... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
  • 02 May 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Casino Payoff: Hands-Off Management Works Best

good customers up to a value of 40 percent of what the customer is expected to spend, the "theoretical win." (Casinos, as you might expect, are experts at predicting what their favored customers will spend during a visit). If a casino... View Details
Keywords: by Dennis Fisher; Entertainment & Recreation
  • 10 Mar 2011
  • What Do You Think?

To What Degree Does the Job Make the Person?

jobs that changes body chemistry. Presumably, the effect varies with individuals. If this research continues to produce such insights, is it more than a short step to conclude that we can give people tests that predict the degree to which... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 01 Dec 2008
  • Lessons from the Classroom

How Many U.S. Jobs Are ‘Offshorable’?

predictions of the future. "We wanted students to understand that, as future business leaders, they are likely to face an unprecedented array of options concerning what they can do where," Rivkin says. "The idea that you might offshore... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna
  • 10 Jul 2000
  • Research & Ideas

The State of the Markets

Predicting that 24-hour trading will become a reality in the next two to three years, Cochrane suggested three ways to deal with it: Home-market adaptation. "If a company is based in, say, Germany, the home exchange will adapt to... View Details
Keywords: by James E. Aisner