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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,078)
      • Faculty Publications  (257)

      Likelihood Of DefaultRemove Likelihood Of Default →

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      • May 2008
      • Article

      Regulation and Bonding: The Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Flow of International Listings

      By: Suraj Srinivasan and Joseph Piotroski
      In this paper, we examine the economic impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) by analyzing foreign listing behavior onto U.S. and U.K. stock exchanges before and after the enactment of the Act in 2002. Using a sample of all listing events onto U.S. and U.K. exchanges... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Stocks; Government Legislation; Market Transactions; Motivation and Incentives; United Kingdom; United States
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, and Joseph Piotroski. "Regulation and Bonding: The Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Flow of International Listings." Journal of Accounting Research 46, no. 2 (May 2008).
      • June 2008
      • Article

      How Are Preferences Revealed?

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
      Revealed preferences are tastes that rationalize an economic agent's observed actions. Normative preferences represent the agent's actual interests. It sometimes makes sense to assume that revealed preferences are identical to normative preferences. But there are many... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Attitudes; Microeconomics
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "How Are Preferences Revealed?" Journal of Public Economics 92, nos. 8-9 (June 2008): 1787–1794.
      • January 2008
      • Article

      Innovation Killers: How Financial Tools Destroy Your Capacity to Do New Things

      By: Clayton M. Christensen, Stephen P. Kaufman and Willy C. Shih
      Most companies aren't half as innovative as their senior executives want them to be (or as their marketing claims suggest they are). What's stifling innovation? There are plenty of usual suspects, but the authors finger three financial tools as key accomplices.... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Innovation and Management; Growth and Development Strategy; Business and Shareholder Relations; Prejudice and Bias; Value Creation
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      Christensen, Clayton M., Stephen P. Kaufman, and Willy C. Shih. "Innovation Killers: How Financial Tools Destroy Your Capacity to Do New Things." Special Issue on HBS Centennial. Harvard Business Review 86, no. 1 (January 2008).
      • January 2008
      • Article

      Nonemployment Stigma as Rational Herding: A Field Experiment

      By: Felix Oberholzer-Gee
      Long spells of unemployment are known to reduce the likelihood of re-employment, but it is difficult to discern the reasons for this observation. Using an experimental method that controls for search intensity and possible discouragement of job applicants, I document... View Details
      Keywords: Job Search; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Employment; Cognition and Thinking; Perception; Creativity; Human Needs; Job Interviews; Selection and Staffing; Recruitment; Managerial Roles; Judgments; Employment Industry
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      Oberholzer-Gee, Felix. "Nonemployment Stigma as Rational Herding: A Field Experiment." Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 65, no. 1 (January 2008): 30–40.
      • 2008
      • Chapter

      The Importance of Default Options for Retirement Saving Outcomes: Evidence from the United States

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
      This paper summarizes the empirical evidence on how defaults impact retirement savings outcomes. After outlining the salient features of the various sources of retirement income in the U.S., the paper presents the empirical evidence on how defaults impact retirement... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Financial Condition; Retirement; Investment Funds; Microeconomics; Outcome or Result; Government and Politics; Financial Institutions; Macroeconomics; United States
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "The Importance of Default Options for Retirement Saving Outcomes: Evidence from the United States." In Lessons from Pension Reform in the Americas, edited by Stephen J. Kay and Tapen Sinha, 59–87. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008.
      • 2008
      • Working Paper

      Workplace Peers and Entrepreneurship

      By: Ramana Nanda and Jesper B. Sorensen
      We examine whether the likelihood of entrepreneurial activity is related to the prior career experiences of an individual's co-workers, using a unique matched employer-employee panel dataset. We argue that coworkers can increase the likelihood that an individual... View Details
      Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Entrepreneurship; Personal Development and Career; Power and Influence
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      Nanda, Ramana, and Jesper B. Sorensen. "Workplace Peers and Entrepreneurship." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-051, January 2008. (revised January 2009, March 2010.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Incompatible Assumptions: Barriers to Producing Multidisciplinary Knowledge in Communities of Scholarship

      By: Corinne Bendersky and Kathleen L. McGinn
      Co-locating knowledge workers from different disciplines may be a necessary but insufficient step to generating multidisciplinary knowledge. We explore the role of assumptions underlying knowledge creation within the field of organizational studies, and investigate how... View Details
      Keywords: Knowledge Management; Knowledge Sharing; Business Processes; Groups and Teams
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      Bendersky, Corinne, and Kathleen L. McGinn. "Incompatible Assumptions: Barriers to Producing Multidisciplinary Knowledge in Communities of Scholarship." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-044, December 2007.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      The Impact of Component Modularity on Design Evolution: Evidence from the Software Industry

      By: Alan MacCormack, John Rusnak and Carliss Y. Baldwin

      Much academic work asserts a relationship between the design of a complex system and the manner in which this system evolves over time. In particular, designs which are modular in nature are argued to be more "evolvable," in that these designs facilitate making... View Details

      Keywords: Product Design; Adaptation; Software; Information Technology Industry
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      MacCormack, Alan, John Rusnak, and Carliss Y. Baldwin. "The Impact of Component Modularity on Design Evolution: Evidence from the Software Industry." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-038, December 2007.
      • September 2007
      • Case

      Tetra Pak Argentina

      By: Tarun Khanna, Krishna G. Palepu and Gustavo A. Herrero
      Deals with the hands-on management of a difficult situation facing the subsidiary of a multinational corporation (Tetra Pak) in a developing country (Argentina). The situation arises from a major economic, social, and institutional breakdown that jeopardizes the... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Financial Crisis; Currency Exchange Rate; Sovereign Finance; Multinational Firms and Management; Crisis Management; Business and Government Relations; Argentina
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      Khanna, Tarun, Krishna G. Palepu, and Gustavo A. Herrero. "Tetra Pak Argentina." Harvard Business School Case 708-402, September 2007.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      The Impact of Shareholder Activism on Financial Reporting and Compensation: The Case of Employee Stock Options Expensing

      By: Fabrizio Ferri and Tatiana Sandino
      In this paper we examine the economic consequences of over 150 shareholder proposals to expense employee stock options (ESO) submitted during the proxy seasons of 2003 and 2004–the first case where the SEC has allowed an accounting matter to be subject to an advisory... View Details
      Keywords: Executive Compensation; Financial Reporting; Employee Stock Ownership Plan; Corporate Governance; Investment Activism; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Ferri, Fabrizio, and Tatiana Sandino. "The Impact of Shareholder Activism on Financial Reporting and Compensation: The Case of Employee Stock Options Expensing." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-022, September 2007.
      • November 2006 (Revised May 2007)
      • Background Note

      International Capital Markets and Sovereign Debt: Crisis Avoidance and Resolution

      By: Laura Alfaro and Ingrid Vogel
      Successive economic crises of the 1990s and early 2000s intensified focus on reform of the "international financial architecture." Because many of these crises involved defaults on sovereign bonds, an important component of the discussion revolved around the... View Details
      Keywords: Capital; Markets; Sovereign Finance; Conflict and Resolution; Financial Crisis
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Ingrid Vogel. "International Capital Markets and Sovereign Debt: Crisis Avoidance and Resolution." Harvard Business School Background Note 707-018, November 2006. (Revised May 2007.)
      • 2006
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Does Competition Increase Patent Litigation? Empirical Evidence of Strategic Patenting in the Telecom Equipment Industry

      By: Juan Alcacer and Rachelle C. Sampson
      Anecdotal evidence suggests that patent litigation has increased in the last 20 years as firms in knowledge intensive industries use patents more frequently to protect their knowledge stocks and managers focus on extracting new revenue streams from existing patent... View Details
      Keywords: Patents; Competition; Lawsuits and Litigation
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      Alcacer, Juan, and Rachelle C. Sampson. "Does Competition Increase Patent Litigation? Empirical Evidence of Strategic Patenting in the Telecom Equipment Industry." 2006. (Presented at Academy of Management Annual Meeting in Honolulu, HI, August 2005.)
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default

      By: Samuel G. Hanson and Til Schuermann
      In this paper we conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD) using several analytical approaches as well as parametric and nonparametric bootstrap methods. We do so for two different PD estimation... View Details
      Keywords: Credit Risk; Bootstrap; Mathematical Methods; Credit; Risk Management
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      Hanson, Samuel G., and Til Schuermann. "Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default." Journal of Banking & Finance 30, no. 8 (August 2006).
      • Article

      Policy Implications of Weak Patent Rights

      By: James J. Anton, Hillary Greene and Dennis Yao
      Patents vary substantially in the degree of protection provided against unauthorized imitation. In this chapter we explore a range of work addressing the economic and policy implications of "weak" patents—patents that have a significant probability of being overturned... View Details
      Keywords: Patents; Motivation and Incentives; Entrepreneurship; Competition; Policy; Innovation and Invention; Rights; Monopoly; Business Startups
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      Anton, James J., Hillary Greene, and Dennis Yao. "Policy Implications of Weak Patent Rights." Innovation Policy and the Economy 6 (2006): 1–26. (Harvard users click here for full text.)
      • August 2005 (Revised December 2006)
      • Case

      Procter & Gamble: Electronic Data Capture and Clinical Trial Management

      By: Robert S. Huckman and Mark J. Cotteleer
      Considers whether the management of Procter & Gamble (P&G) Pharmaceuticals should adopt Web-based electronic data capture (EDC) as the default standard for the management of its clinical drug trials. Provides a detailed description of the existing paper-based process... View Details
      Keywords: Health Testing and Trials; Internet and the Web; Information Technology; Adoption; Business Processes; Industry Structures; Technological Innovation; Service Operations; Pharmaceutical Industry; United States
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      Huckman, Robert S., and Mark J. Cotteleer. "Procter & Gamble: Electronic Data Capture and Clinical Trial Management." Harvard Business School Case 606-033, August 2005. (Revised December 2006.)
      • June 2005 (Revised May 2008)
      • Case

      Yamanote Kaikan

      By: Robin Greenwood, Arthur I Segel and Joshua Katzin
      In 2001, James O'Connell, president of Holyoke Japan, an affiliate of Larson Capital, a distress debt private equity firm, wants to bid on a 90 billion yen loan currently in default by the borrower, Sanjo Enterprises, for a popular wedding and banquet facility with an... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Private Equity; Price; Bids and Bidding; Competition; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin, Arthur I Segel, and Joshua Katzin. "Yamanote Kaikan." Harvard Business School Case 205-084, June 2005. (Revised May 2008.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Management Style; Segmentation; Debt Securities; Banking Industry
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
      • Article

      Consequences of Financial Reporting Failure for Outside Directors: Evidence from Accounting Restatements and Audit Committee Members

      By: Suraj Srinivasan
      I use a sample of 409 companies that restated their earnings from 1997 to 2001 to examine penalties for outside directors, particularly audit committee members, when their companies experience accounting restatements. Penalties from lawsuits and Securities and Exchange... View Details
      Keywords: Outcome or Result; Business Earnings; Financial Statements; Lawsuits and Litigation; Labor; Markets; Financial Reporting; Accounting Audits; Cost; Reputation
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      Srinivasan, Suraj. "Consequences of Financial Reporting Failure for Outside Directors: Evidence from Accounting Restatements and Audit Committee Members." Journal of Accounting Research 43, no. 2 (May 2005): 291–334.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Inflation and Deflation; System Shocks; Developing Countries and Economies; Mathematical Methods
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-053, January 2005. (Revised March 2010. Also NBER Working Paper No. 13131.)
      • September 2004
      • Article

      Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases)

      By: Eric J. Van den Steen
      Rational agents with differing priors tend to be overoptimistic about their chances of success. In particular, an agent who tries to choose the action that is most likely to succeed, is more likely to choose an action of which he overestimated, rather than... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Decision Choices and Conditions; Performance Expectations; Outcome or Result; Opportunities; Risk and Uncertainty; Failure; Success; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Personal Characteristics; Values and Beliefs; Ethics
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      Van den Steen, Eric J. "Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases)." American Economic Review 94, no. 4 (September 2004): 1141–1151.
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