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  • 10 Dec 2013
  • First Look

First Look: December 10

time and markets. Specifically, we build a model in which two firms that differ in their capabilities enter sequentially into two markets with different potentials for profit. The model is solved using game... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 11

fundamentals: the book-to-market ratio and expected ROE. We find that the model is easily applied to a large cross section of firms and that firm-level discount rates vary over time and are highly persistent. The View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Aug 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Retail Execs Underplay Current Performance to Investors--but Why?

unreported numbers said. It’s startling to find that managers are not even neutral; they’re somewhat negative.” RESEARCHERS CREATE FORECASTING MODEL To test their ideas, the researchers studied 50 big-box... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Financial Services
  • 12 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

Cost-Benefit Analysis in Environmental Policy Abstract We conducted an analysis that explores the merits of a low-carbon development strategy for Liberia. This chapter describes both our cost-benefit analysis initiative and a plausible policy process for Liberia. We... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Dec 2015
  • First Look

December 1, 2015

2015 Modern China Studies Free at Last, Now What: The Soviet and Chinese Attempts to Offer a Roadmap for the Post-Colonial World By: Friedman, Jeremy Abstract—This article seeks to understand the motivations behind the People's Republic of China's attempt to present an... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 6, 2007

  Working PapersThe Rise of Business Forecasting Agencies in the United States Author:Walter A. Friedman Abstract This paper analyzes the rise of business and economic forecasting agencies in the United... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 15 Aug 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Black Swans and Big Trends Can Ruin Anyone's Internet Prediction

how we thought about online opportunities one year after the dot-com bubble burst. In retrospect, many of my thoughts about the internet’s future evolution missed the mark. If you think history repeats itself, then these forecasting... View Details
Keywords: by Thomas R. Eisenmann; Technology
  • 13 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 13

Interest Rates Author:Luis M. Viceira Publication:International Journal of Forecasting (forthcoming) Abstract This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Feb 2015
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Scholars and Students Unpack the Digital Business Revolution

hedge fund, an Amazon employee focused on retail data, and a forecaster at General Electric," says HBS David Sarnoff Professor of Business Administration Marco Iansiti, who serves as faculty chair of the initiative and head of the... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Education; Technology
  • 15 Nov 2011
  • First Look

First Look: November 15

essential to develop the self-awareness, compassion, emotional intelligence, and authenticity required to be inspired human beings and inspiring leaders. Book: http://www.bkconnection.com/ProdDetails.asp?ID=9781609940072&PG=1&Type=AUTH&PCS=BKP Business... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 26, 2007

include positioning strategies, choosing the proper channel, potential partnerships, manufacturing issues, market analysis, and PR management. Purchase this case: http://www.hbsp.harvard.edu/b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=507016 Demand and Supply View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 12 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 12, 2007

firms. They also affect trading signal classifications, back-testing inferences, track records of individual analysts, and models of analysts' career outcomes in the three years following the changes. Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 19 Feb 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Inexperienced Investors and Market Bubbles

results show that inexperienced fund managers as defined by age (under thirty-five) exhibited trend-chasing behavior that produced over-investment in tech stocks. "Our results fit well with adaptive expectations models of... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services
  • 07 Sep 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Sept. 7

activity on a massive scale-devising strategies that provide employment for the billions now outside the system, inventing business models that make better use of scarce resources, and creating institutional arrangements for coordinating... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 Apr 2009
  • First Look

First Look: April 14, 2009

Competition Between Differentiated Products with Demand for More Than One Variety Author: Andrei Hagiu Abstract We analyze the existence of pure strategy symmetric price equilibria in a generalized version of Salop's (1979) circular model... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 27 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 27, 2018

its members in several prolonged, tightly clustered sessions, or (2) path-clearing by helping a team address a persistent deficit via briefer, intermittent sessions throughout a project's life. We present a model theorizing these... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 18

analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors and which are considered most important. We use survey data from 967 analysts ranking 837 companies to judge how their forecasts... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Mar 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, March 20, 2018

initiatives more closely to specific objectives: preventing misconduct, detecting it, or aligning policies with laws and regulations. Then, using careful model design and some creativity, firms can develop better metrics to measure what’s... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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