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      • Faculty Publications  (305)

      Exchange Rate RiskRemove Exchange Rate Risk →

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      • March 2005 (Revised March 2006)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Competitive Exposures

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How can a multinational firm analyze and manage currency risks that arise from competitive exposures? General Motors has a substantial competitive exposure to the Japanese yen. Although the risks GM faces from the depreciating yen are widely acknowledged, the company's... View Details
      Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Competition; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; International Finance; Financial Management; Investment Funds; Risk and Uncertainty; Auto Industry
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Competitive Exposures." Harvard Business School Case 205-096, March 2005. (Revised March 2006.)
      • March 2005 (Revised July 2007)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      In 1991, Chile adopted a framework of capital controls focused on reducing the massive flows of foreign investment coming into the country as international interest rates remained low. Capital inflows threatened the Central Bank's ability to manage the exchange rate... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Capital; Governance Controls; Business and Government Relations; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-031, March 2005. (Revised July 2007.)
      • March 2005 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Transactional and Translational Exposures

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How should a multinational firm manage foreign exchange exposures? Examines transactional and translational exposures and alternative responses to these exposures by analyzing two specific hedging decisions by General Motors. Describes General Motors' corporate hedging... View Details
      Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Expansion; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Financial Management; Investment Funds; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Auto Industry
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors: Transactional and Translational Exposures." Harvard Business School Case 205-095, March 2005. (Revised January 2006.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Management Style; Segmentation; Debt Securities; Banking Industry
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Background Note

      Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Credit; Bonds; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Services Industry
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • October 2004 (Revised February 2007)
      • Background Note

      Foreign Exchange Markets and Transactions

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Christina Pham, Kathleen Luchs and Yanjun Wang
      Provides information on the foreign exchange market and exchange rate movements. Describes the different types of foreign exchange transactions, including spot transactions, forwards, swaps, futures, and options. Includes worked examples to help students understand the... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate
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      Desai, Mihir A., Christina Pham, Kathleen Luchs, and Yanjun Wang. "Foreign Exchange Markets and Transactions." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-016, October 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
      • September 2004 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Bohemian Crowns: Ceskoslovenska Obchodni Banka (A)

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal, Vincent Dessain and Monika Stachowiak
      Tells the story of the Czech transition from a centrally planned to a free market economy, describing the first economic reforms, the fixed-exchange rate regime, and the voucher privatization. Also explains why, in the middle of the 1990s, the Czech Republic... View Details
      Keywords: History; Currency Exchange Rate; Credit; Government Administration; Decisions; Economic Systems; Expansion; Mergers and Acquisitions; Developing Countries and Economies; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry; Czech Republic
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., Vincent Dessain, and Monika Stachowiak. "Bohemian Crowns: Ceskoslovenska Obchodni Banka (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-007, September 2004. (Revised May 2006.)
      • September 2004 (Revised February 2007)
      • Case

      Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Vincent Dessain and Anders Sjoman
      The American Institute for Foreign Studies (AIFS) organizes study abroad programs and cultural exchanges for American students. The firm's revenues are mainly in U.S. dollars, but most of its costs are in eurodollars and British pounds. The company's controllers review... View Details
      Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Investment Funds; Financial Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Revenue; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Currency; Currency Exchange Rate; Education Industry; North and Central America
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      Desai, Mihir A., Vincent Dessain, and Anders Sjoman. "Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS." Harvard Business School Case 205-026, September 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
      • May 2004 (Revised June 2005)
      • Background Note

      Exchange Rate Regimes

      By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      There are many options for a country in the management of monetary policy. At the most basic level is the decision of whether to adopt a fixed or a floating exchange rate. Introduces the economics behind exchange rates and the debate between fixed vs. floating regimes. View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Policy; Macroeconomics; Country
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      Di Tella, Rafael M., and Ingrid Vogel. "Exchange Rate Regimes." Harvard Business School Background Note 704-038, May 2004. (Revised June 2005.)
      • March 2004 (Revised October 2013)
      • Case

      Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
      What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
      Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; Financial Services Industry; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
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      Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Case 204-141, March 2004. (Revised October 2013.)
      • March 2004 (Revised May 2005)
      • Case

      Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      How should a multinational firm manage foreign exchange exposures? Examines transactional, translational, and competitive exposures. Describes General Motors' corporate hedging policies, its risk management structure, and how accounting rules impact hedging decisions.... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Currency Exchange Rate; Investment; Financial Markets; Manufacturing Industry; Auto Industry; Argentina; Japan; Canada; United States
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Foreign Exchange Hedging Strategies at General Motors." Harvard Business School Case 204-024, March 2004. (Revised May 2005.)
      • November 2003 (Revised March 2006)
      • Case

      Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Alexandra de Royere
      What price should Dow Chemical bid for PBB, a petrochemical complex that is being privatized by the Argentine government? To answer this question, students are forced to consider the role of country risk, the underlying currency exposure of the business, and how to... View Details
      Keywords: Bids and Bidding; Privatization; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Cash Flow; Emerging Markets; Valuation; Business and Government Relations; Multinational Firms and Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Energy Industry; Argentina
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Alexandra de Royere. "Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina." Harvard Business School Case 204-021, November 2003. (Revised March 2006.)
      • November 2003 (Revised March 2004)
      • Case

      Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho
      The Brazilian oil company, Petrobras, is evaluating the acquisition of an Argentine oil company, the Perez Companc Group (Pecom). The acquisition would increase Petrobras' oil reserves and expand its interests outside Brazil, a significant step for the largest company... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Non-Renewable Energy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Corporate Governance; Risk Management; Emerging Markets; State Ownership; Performance Evaluation; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Energy Industry; Argentina; Brazil
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho. "Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom." Harvard Business School Case 204-043, November 2003. (Revised March 2004.)
      • October 2003 (Revised January 2004)
      • Case

      The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)

      By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      At the end of 2001, Argentina's economy and society both appeared on the verge of collapse. Furious about controls imposed on the convertibility of their bank deposits into cash (the "corralito") and huge proposed government spending cuts amidst high unemployment and... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Banks and Banking; Problems and Challenges; Decision Choices and Conditions; Currency Exchange Rate; Economy; Government Administration; Crime and Corruption; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael M., and Ingrid Vogel. "The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)." Harvard Business School Case 704-004, October 2003. (Revised January 2004.)
      • January 2003 (Revised March 2003)
      • Case

      Southwest Airlines 2002: An Industry Under Siege

      By: James L. Heskett
      The company's management is faced with long-term questions regarding the rate and manner of growth in the wake of the 9/11 attacks and general industry malaise. View Details
      Keywords: Cost; Product; Risk and Uncertainty; Growth and Development; Air Transportation Industry
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      Heskett, James L. "Southwest Airlines 2002: An Industry Under Siege." Harvard Business School Case 803-133, January 2003. (Revised March 2003.)
      • January 2003
      • Case

      Exchange Rate Policy at the Monetary Authority of Singapore

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Mark Veblen
      The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is responsible for the country's monetary policy, and its decisions are intended to support the country's overall strategy for sustainable economic growth with price stability. MAS has been very successful in managing exchange... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Policy; Money; Singapore
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Mark Veblen. "Exchange Rate Policy at the Monetary Authority of Singapore." Harvard Business School Case 204-037, January 2003.
      • December 2002 (Revised June 2003)
      • Case

      Rabobank Group: Leadership Role in Global Agribusiness

      By: Ray A. Goldberg and Hal Hogan
      The largest global agribusiness bank has lost its triple A rating and is rethinking its global strategy as the leading global food and agribusiness bank. How does it position itself in the vertical value-added global food system? View Details
      Keywords: Agribusiness; Globalization; Finance; Risk Management; Global Strategy; Value Creation; Banking Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry
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      Goldberg, Ray A., and Hal Hogan. "Rabobank Group: Leadership Role in Global Agribusiness." Harvard Business School Case 903-421, December 2002. (Revised June 2003.)
      • Article

      On the Political Economy of Temporary Stabilization Programs

      By: Laura Alfaro
      This paper provides a political economy explanation for temporary exchange-rate-based stabilization programs by focusing on the distributional effects of real exchange-rate appreciation. I propose an economy in which agents are endowed with either tradable or... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Economy; Balance and Stability; Programs; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash; Value; Distribution
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      Alfaro, Laura. "On the Political Economy of Temporary Stabilization Programs." Economics & Politics 14, no. 2 (July 2002): 133–161.
      • April 2002
      • Article

      The Determination of Unemployment Benefits

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert J. MacCulloch
      While much empirical research exists on labor market consequences of unemployment benefits, there is remarkably little evidence on the forces determining benefits. We present a simple model where workers desire insurance against unemployment risk and benefits increase... View Details
      Keywords: Unemployment; Compensation and Benefits
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert J. MacCulloch. "The Determination of Unemployment Benefits." Journal of Labor Economics 20, no. 2 (April 2002): 404–34.
      • December 2001 (Revised February 2004)
      • Case

      Argentina's Convertibility Plan

      By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      Describes the political and economic development in Argentina from 1989 to 1995, with a focus on the role of the currency board. Culminates in Argentine policy makers (Menem in particular) contemplating how to respond to the tequila crisis in the middle of 1995.... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Government and Politics; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Developing Countries and Economies; Financial Crisis; Crisis Management; Policy; Currency; Macroeconomics; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael M., and Ingrid Vogel. "Argentina's Convertibility Plan." Harvard Business School Case 702-002, December 2001. (Revised February 2004.)
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