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    • All HBS Web  (10,346)
      • Faculty Publications  (3,096)

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      • 2005
      • Book

      Judgment in Managerial Decision Making

      By: Max Bazerman
      Keywords: Judgments; Management; Decision Making
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      Bazerman, Max. Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 6th ed. John Wiley & Sons, 2005. (Also published in Polish, Russian, and Japanese. Ch. 2 has been reprinted in Psychological Dimensions of Organizational Behavior and summarized in the Harvard Management Update. Ch. 7 has been reprinted in Power and Negotiation in Organizations.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Towards a Competitive Arousal Model of Decision Making: A Study of Auction Fever in Live and Internet Auctions

      By: Gillian Ku, Deepak Malhotra and J. Keith Murnighan
      Keywords: Competition; Decision Making; Auctions; Online Technology
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      Ku, Gillian, Deepak Malhotra, and J. Keith Murnighan. "Towards a Competitive Arousal Model of Decision Making: A Study of Auction Fever in Live and Internet Auctions." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 96, no. 2 (March 2005): 89–103.
      • February 2005 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Jorge Tarzijan and Jordan Mitchell
      Celulosa Arauco is a major Chilean producer of market pulp and wood products. Owning over 1.2 million hectares of forest in Chile, Argentina, and Uruguay, the company's key advantage is the ideal growing conditions in which the company's forests are located. As of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Competitive Advantage; Diversification; Expansion; Vertical Integration; Forest Products Industry; Chile
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Jorge Tarzijan, and Jordan Mitchell. "Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?" Harvard Business School Case 705-474, February 2005. (Revised March 2009.)
      • February 2005 (Revised November 2016)
      • Background Note

      Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product

      By: Elie Ofek
      Provides tools and methodologies that allow forecasting demand for innovative new products. Highlights the Bass model—the theory behind it and ways to determine its parameters. Provides a detailed example of how to use the Bass model to forecast demand for satellite... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Innovation and Invention; Marketing; Demand and Consumers; Mathematical Methods; Competition
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      Ofek, Elie. "Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product." Harvard Business School Background Note 505-062, February 2005. (Revised November 2016.)
      • February 2005
      • Case

      Bayside Motion Group (A)

      By: H. Kent Bowen and Bradley R. Staats
      After purchasing a business and successfully growing it for 18 years, the sole owner is presented with an attractive acquisition offer from a Fortune 500 company. The company's future is bright, but is now the right time to sell? Can he create more value by waiting?... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Decisions; Entrepreneurship; Cash Flow; Private Equity; Financing and Loans; Growth Management; Success; Private Ownership
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      Bowen, H. Kent, and Bradley R. Staats. "Bayside Motion Group (A)." Harvard Business School Case 605-040, February 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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      Baker, Malcolm, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10685, February 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • 2005
      • Book

      Negotiation, Decision Making, and Conflict Management

      By: M. H. Bazerman
      Keywords: Negotiation; Decision Making; Conflict and Resolution; Management
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      Bazerman, M. H., ed. Negotiation, Decision Making, and Conflict Management. 3 vols. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2005.
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Case

      Private Capital and Public Policy: Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings business. Provides background on the history of credit ratings agencies, the meaning of credit ratings, the expansion of the sovereign ratings business over recent decades, and the market for credit ratings. Also,... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; History; Policy; Business and Government Relations; International Finance; Country; Globalized Economies and Regions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Capital Markets; Debates; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Private Capital and Public Policy: Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings." Harvard Business School Case 705-026, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Background Note

      Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Credit; Bonds; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Services Industry
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • January 2005 (Revised August 2006)
      • Case

      Lean Forward Media

      By: Teresa M. Amabile and Victoria Winston
      Jeff Norton and Michelle Crames, the co-founders of Lean Forward Media, face several options for producing the world's first interactive DVD film for children. Their vision is to build a company whose products simultaneously entertain children, engage them actively in... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Early Childhood Education; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Management Practices and Processes; Risk Management; Partners and Partnerships; Opportunities; Creativity
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      Amabile, Teresa M., and Victoria Winston. "Lean Forward Media." Harvard Business School Case 805-063, January 2005. (Revised August 2006.)
      • January 2005 (Revised December 2006)
      • Background Note

      Midway's Entry into Milwaukee: An Interactive Game

      By: Dennis A. Yao
      Provides background and instructions to the Airline Pricing Game courseware (9-705-802), an interactive simulation of a new entry by a lower cost airline. The courseware allows students to make round-by-round competitive pricing decisions and react to changing market... View Details
      Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Wisconsin
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      Yao, Dennis A. "Midway's Entry into Milwaukee: An Interactive Game." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-470, January 2005. (Revised December 2006.)
      • January 2005
      • Tutorial

      Buying Time

      By: Robert S. Kaplan
      Managers must frequently make decisions involving trade-offs between cash flows to be paid or received at different points in time. Accountants, in turn, must describe transactions that involve the payment and/or receipt of cash far in the future. This interactive... View Details
      Keywords: Cash Flow; Value; Interest Rates; Financial Statements
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      "Buying Time." Harvard Business School Tutorial 104-708, January 2005.
      • Article

      Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets

      By: George Chacko and Luis M. Viceira
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment; Markets
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      Chacko, George, and Luis M. Viceira. "Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets." Review of Financial Studies 18, no. 4 (Winter 2005).
      • 2005
      • Article

      Early Decisions: A Regulatory Framework

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
      We describe a regulatory framework that helps consumers who have difficulty sticking to their own long-run plans. Early Decision regulations help long-run preferences prevail by allowing consumers to partially commit to their long-run goals, making it harder for a... View Details
      Keywords: Hyperbolic Discounting; Self-control; Commitment; Consumer Behavior; Taxation; Attitudes
      Citation
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "Early Decisions: A Regulatory Framework." Swedish Economic Policy Review 12, no. 2 (2005): 41–60.
      • Article

      Organizational Beliefs and Managerial Vision

      By: Eric J. Van den Steen
      Can managers have an impact on their firm that goes beyond their direct actions and decisions? This article shows that a manager with strong beliefs about the right course of action will attract, through sorting in the labor market, employees with similar beliefs. This... View Details
      Keywords: Organizations; Goals and Objectives; Decisions; Labor; Markets; Employees; Motivation and Incentives; Recruitment; Risk and Uncertainty; Values and Beliefs
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      Van den Steen, Eric J. "Organizational Beliefs and Managerial Vision." Journal of Law, Economics & Organization 21, no. 1 (April 2005): 256–283. (Reprinted in The Economics of Organisation and Bureaucracy, Peter M. Jackson (ed.), Edward Elgar (Cheltenham, UK), 2013.)
      • December 2004 (Revised October 2005)
      • Case

      Hasbro Games -- POX (A)

      By: David B. Godes and Elie Ofek
      Hasbro's newest toy is so unique it requires a unique launch strategy. Comparing traditional media (TV, print) with a non-traditional viral campaign, Matt Collins must weigh the risks and benefits of doing things the way they've always been done or blazing a new path... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Cost vs Benefits; Marketing Strategy; Advertising Campaigns; Product Launch; Innovation and Invention; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
      Citation
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      Godes, David B., and Elie Ofek. "Hasbro Games -- POX (A)." Harvard Business School Case 505-046, December 2004. (Revised October 2005.)
      • December 2004 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Pacific Salmon Company, Inc.

      By: Nabil N. El-Hage, Kenneth A. Froot and Christopher Edward James Payton
      RRR, a $1 billion private equity fund, is trying to decide how much to bid for Pacific Salmon Inc. and how to finance the acquisition. View Details
      Keywords: Food; Bids; Private Equity; Decision Making; Financing and Loans; Bids and Bidding; Acquisition; Corporate Finance; Financial Services Industry
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      El-Hage, Nabil N., Kenneth A. Froot, and Christopher Edward James Payton. "Pacific Salmon Company, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 205-031, December 2004. (Revised May 2006.)
      • December 2004 (Revised March 2006)
      • Background Note

      Decision Trees

      By: Robin Greenwood and Lucy White
      This case introduces decision analysis. Using a simple example, it illustrates the use of probability trees and decision trees as tools for solving business problems. View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Lucy White. "Decision Trees." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-060, December 2004. (Revised March 2006.)
      • December 2004 (Revised February 2005)
      • Case

      Exporting Spanish Olive Oil to the U.S. Market

      By: Ray A. Goldberg, Hal Hogan and Miguel Angel Llano Irusta
      Spain is the largest olive oil producer, yet it sells much of its product to Italy, where it is repackaged as Italian olive oil. The decision maker in the case wants to develop Spain as the olive oil leader not just in production but in quality and value added. He... View Details
      Keywords: Plant-Based Agribusiness; Trade; Goods and Commodities; Demand and Consumers; Supply and Industry; Brands and Branding; Decisions; Customization and Personalization; Product Design; Product Development; Marketing Strategy; Product Marketing; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; Spain; United States; Italy
      Citation
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      Goldberg, Ray A., Hal Hogan, and Miguel Angel Llano Irusta. "Exporting Spanish Olive Oil to the U.S. Market." Harvard Business School Case 905-408, December 2004. (Revised February 2005.)
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