Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

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Making Difficult Decisions: The General Manager’s Role (MDD) - Course Catalog

with a particular emphasis on contexts characterized by high uncertainty and high stakes. We examine cognitive, interpersonal, and organizational factors that undermine effective decision making and introduce techniques for diagnosing and overcoming View Details

28 May 2019
News

Broken Link

rural versus urban and suburban, that didn’t really predict anything.” (Rural schools did have slower speeds, but they also had fewer students to slow the network down.) After securing nearly $30 million in funding, the group’s work... View Details

Keywords: Nicole Torres; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information

01 Mar 2018
News

Money (Actually) Can Buy Happiness

Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans (image by John Ritter) People aren’t very good at predicting what will make them happy, say Professor Michael Norton and Assistant Professor Ashley Whillans, who both study... View Details

Keywords: April White

01 Dec 2013
News

14 for '14

independence as powerful and rich city-states." —Juan Enriquez (MBA 1986), managing director, Excel Venture Management What do you think? Make your predictions in the comments in the "Post a Comment" box below. View Details

Keywords: Arts, Entertainment; Finance; Government; Information; Retail Trade

17 Jan 2012
First Look

First Look: January 17

http://www.people.hbs.edu/mbaker/cv/papers/bcfsurvey2v20.pdf Comovement and Predictability Relationships Between Bonds and the Cross-Section of Stocks Authors:Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler Publication:Review of Asset Pricing Studies... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

01 May 2007
First Look

First Look: May 1, 2007

property rights in developing countries on the level and composition of industrial development. We develop a North-South product cycle model in which Northern innovation, Southern imitation, and FDI are all endogenous. Our model predicts... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

15 Mar 2011
First Look

First Look: March 15

effect on the investment of firms. High taxes will favor investment by firms that can finance internally. Using an international panel with many changes in payout taxes, we show that this prediction holds well. Payout taxes have a large... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

13 Oct 2010
First Look

First Look: October 13, 2010

fixed-pie perceptions by suggesting that disputants may prefer proposals that are perceived to be equally attractive to both parties (i.e., balanced) rather than one-sided, because balanced agreements are seen as more likely to be successfully implemented. We test our... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

14 Sep 2010
First Look

First Look: September 14, 2010

extensive theoretical literature generates ambiguous predictions concerning the effects of intellectual property rights (IPR) reform on industrial development. The impact depends on whether multinational enterprises (MNEs) expand... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

06 Apr 2010
First Look

First Look: April 6

liberalization and since broad-based corporate governance reforms were implemented, goes expressly against the prediction of prior schools of thought about business groups. We argue that the conventional wisdom about tunneling and... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

19 Dec 2024
News

The Musts of 2024

Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Hi, this is Dan Morrell, host of Skydeck. I love these end-of-the-year lists where you can get recommendations from smart people about things that are worth your time and money. It always sets me up really... View Details

01 Mar 2005
News

Venture Capital’s Comeback

Massachusetts. During the bubble, the most valued skill was the presumed ability to predict what hot concept could go public fast. Now the pendulum has swung back to valuing entrepreneurial skills first and foremost. There’s also a... View Details

Keywords: Roger Thompson; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance

11 Oct 2024
Research & Ideas

How AI Could Ease the Refugee Crisis and Bring New Talent to Businesses

algorithms dramatically outperformed existing assignment methods—improving on the status quo by up to 50 percent with respect to predicted employment—while the other successfully placed refugees in a balanced way across available host... View Details

Keywords: by Ben Rand; Technology; Information Technology

21 May 2019
News

Confronting the Future of Climate Change in the Midwest

availability in the Midwest and beyond. A shift in food production and water predictability On a regional level, an increase of warmer weather and the availability of fresh water from the Great Lakes has some debating the benefits, David... View Details

Keywords: Agriculture

November 2008
Journal Article

Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations

By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Yang Gui

Since 1949 Lehman Brothers has used an investment committee to select the top ten recommendations made by its analysts each year. We examine the performance of this committee's recommendations and find that on average its selections generated abnormal returns of 2.7%... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Markets; Investment; Investment Return; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Performance Expectations; Groups and Teams; Research; Value Creation

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Digital Operations - Course Catalog

technologies to synchronize workflows, systems, and data across internal and external partners. Assess how automation, AI, and data analytics transform operations by enabling predictive decision-making, intelligent automation, and... View Details

June 2010
Teaching Note

The Southeast Bank of Texas in the Financial Crisis (TN)

By: Robert C. Pozen and Benjamin Greff Schneider

Teaching Note for 310141. View Details

Keywords: Banks and Banking; Financial Crisis; Decision Choices and Conditions; Financial Liquidity; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Banking Industry; Texas

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July 2010 (Revised September 2011)
Background Note

Hiring Successful Professionals: One Process--Multiple Goals

By: Heidi K. Gardner

The best hiring practices help professional firms attract successful employees, equip newcomers with critical support networks, increase the firm's diversity, and enhance its reputation. This Note delineates how leading firms manage these multiple objectives throughout... View Details

Keywords: Integration; Goals and Objectives; Selection and Staffing; Talent and Talent Management; Management Practices and Processes; Forecasting and Prediction; Employees; Diversity Characteristics; Service Industry

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February 2003 (Revised October 2003)
Case

Cable Data Systems

By: Paul W. Marshall and Todd H Thedinga

Describes the operating challenges of Cable Data Systems (CDS), a minority-owned cable installation company with a dual mission of maximizing profits and providing employment opportunities to minorities in urban markets. Following the merger of two cable installation... View Details