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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(2,883)
- News (476)
- Research (2,211)
- Events (43)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (1,423)
- 25 Sep 2007
- First Look
First Look: September 25, 2007
of the "long tail" principle argue that lower transaction and search costs will lead to a shift away from hit content and cause more fragmentation in consumers' choices. This perspective is in sharp contrast with the more established theory of superstars,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- May 2011
- Article
Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents
This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Acquisition; Risk Management; Prejudice and Bias
Van den Steen, Eric J. "Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents." Management Science 57, no. 5 (May 2011): 884–896.
- 2006
- Working Paper
Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning
To date, little research has been done on managing the organizational and political dimensions of generating and improving forecasts in corporate settings. We examine the implementation of a supply chain planning process at a consumer electronics company, concentrating... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Business or Company Management; Supply Chain Management; Forecasting and Prediction; Planning; Electronics Industry
Oliva, Rogelio, and Noel Watson. "Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-024, October 2006. (Revised March 2007, January 2008.)
- 16 Oct 2012
- First Look
First Look: October 16
other, are open-source software communities, in which the participants are much more loosely coupled by comparison. The mirroring hypothesis predicts that these different organizational forms will produce products with distinctly... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 15 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Find Your Pragmatic Path through Radical Uncertainty
willing to bear to reopen the economy. No one can predict with any certainty how shopping patterns and consumer tastes will change. No one can be sure when people will feel safe enough to travel so that the hotels, airlines, restaurants,... View Details
- 16 Jun 2015
- First Look
First Look: June 16, 2015
Abstract—Under fairly general assumptions, expected stock returns are a linear combination of two firm fundamentals-book-to-market ratio and return on equity. This parsimonious relation is pervasive, producing expected return proxies (ERP) that View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 27 Dec 2015
- Research & Ideas
The Most Popular Stories and Research Papers of 2015
Strategy, Especially in a Job Interview (25,829) While humblebragging runs rampant on Twitter, it's a lousy self-promotion tactic that usually backfires according to recent research by Ovul Sezer, Francesca Gino, and Michael Norton. How to View Details
- 22 Nov 2011
- First Look
First Look: November 22
entrepreneurship relative to male entrepreneurship. We find evidence of agglomeration economies in both sectors, where higher female ownership among incumbent businesses within a district-industry predicts that a greater share of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 01 Dec 2017
- News
Case Study: The Doctor Deficit
illustration by Pablo Amargo illustration by Pablo Amargo There is a doctor shortage in the United States, according to the Association of American Medical Colleges, which predicts that the deficit could increase to more than 90,000... View Details
Keywords: April White
- April 2005
- Article
The Geography of Equity Analysis
By: Christopher J. Malloy
I provide evidence that geographically proximate analysts are more accurate than other analysts. Stock returns immediately surrounding forecast revisions suggest that local analysts impact prices more than other analysts. These effects are strongest for firms located... View Details
Keywords: Geographic Location; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Performance; Equity; Information; Prejudice and Bias; Agency Theory
Malloy, Christopher J. "The Geography of Equity Analysis." Journal of Finance 60, no. 2 (April 2005): 719–755. (Nominated for Smith Breeden Prize. Best Paper For the best finance research paper published in the Journal of Finance presented by Smith Breeden Associates, Inc.)
- June 2000 (Revised March 2002)
- Teaching Note
Iridium LLC TN
By: Benjamin C. Esty
Teaching Note for (9-200-039). View Details
- April 1998
- Case
Jim Sharpe: Extrusion Technology, Inc. (C)
By: H. Kent Bowen and Barbara Feinberg
Jim Sharpe, president of Extrusion Technology, describes the first five years at the aluminum extrusion company he purchased. He begins with day one as he introduced himself to the employees in 1987 and assured them of the company's continuity. Over the next two years,... View Details
Keywords: Acquisition; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost Management; Profit; Innovation Strategy; Marketing Strategy; Problems and Challenges; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Mining Industry
Bowen, H. Kent, and Barbara Feinberg. "Jim Sharpe: Extrusion Technology, Inc. (C)." Harvard Business School Case 698-096, April 1998.
- 05 May 2009
- First Look
First Look: May 5, 2009
foreign countries, the model predicts growth in the number of source-country firms engaging in foreign direct investment, growth in the size of affiliates that are active in reforming countries both before and after the tariff reduction,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 10 Aug 2021
- Blog Post
Meet the Health & Wellness Club
hard look at their health and the habits that contribute to it, whether through at-home workouts, herbal remedies, clean products within our homes, or emotional grounding through meditation and self-care techniques. As it stands right now, the global wellness industry... View Details
- 01 Apr 2000
- News
Strike Up the Broad(band)
telephone-television-Internet system." Given the success of the Internet, which the authors liken to "a kind of broadband on training wheels," they predict that as broadband technology evolves during the coming years, its power to... View Details
- 01 Sep 2010
- News
Start-Ups Make Their Pitch
for desired specimens in real time. Chicago: Cinekin (Constance Freedman, MBA ’06, chief strategy officer) uses people’s movie preferences to predict the compatibility of couples. London: Qtara (Steve Berry, MBA ’79, chairman) is... View Details
- October 2024
- Teaching Plan
Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble
By: Lou Shipley and Stacy Straaberg
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional... View Details
Keywords: Acquisition; Business Growth and Maturation; Communication Strategy; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Cycles; Technological Innovation; Sports; Growth and Development Strategy; Resource Allocation; Marketing; Sales; Business Strategy; Expansion; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; United States; North Carolina
- January 1980 (Revised April 1994)
- Case
New Balance Athletic Shoes
By: Kim B. Clark
Faced with growth exceeding 100% per year, James Davis, president of New Balance, must decide how to meet the need for additional capacity. Several factors contribute to a climate of extreme uncertainty. Several options are considered, ranging from a second shift to... View Details
Keywords: Factories, Labs, and Plants; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Information; Growth Management; Organizational Design; Performance Capacity; Risk and Uncertainty; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Republic of Ireland
Clark, Kim B. "New Balance Athletic Shoes." Harvard Business School Case 680-110, January 1980. (Revised April 1994.)
- September 1995 (Revised April 1999)
- Case
Exporting American Culture
By: Joseph L. Badaracco Jr. and Jerry Useem
A large entertainment company, extensively criticized for producing violent, offensive, and anti-social material, is considering whether to sell its material to a semi-illegal operation that is beaming satellite TV into Turkey. The opportunity raises many questions... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Media; Business and Community Relations; Opportunities; Social Issues; Media and Broadcasting Industry
Badaracco, Joseph L., Jr., and Jerry Useem. "Exporting American Culture." Harvard Business School Case 396-055, September 1995. (Revised April 1999.)
- 01 Dec 2007
- News
Learning to Lead
model that will predict how its competitors will react to changes in pricing. “I felt completely clueless,” he recalls in the case. The dynamics of the project team are equally demanding. Keller, who launched and ran a company in Cambodia... View Details