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  • 05 Jul 2017
  • What Do You Think?

Can Innovation Save Us From Ourselves?

tolerable level?” Ramji commented, “(I) think it is human vanity with some highly optimistic predictions ” Other comments took on an even darker tone. MichaelA wrote, “Homo Deus brings round the basis on which Humanism was first... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Technology
  • 12 Apr 2011
  • First Look

First Look: April 12

acquisitions. We find that the use of stock and related transaction predicts better long-run performance. Our results suggest that the acquirers of private venture capital-backed companies do not suffer any adverse selection problem and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Nov 2014
  • Op-Ed

A Challenge to the New Congress: Pass Housing Finance Reform

(whatever its title) will also charge an unsubsidized fee to cover the catastrophic risk it assumes. What impact will these fees have? Understandably, with the best economic models, we will be unable to predict with certainty the impact,... View Details
Keywords: by Nicolas Retsinas & Rob Couch; Construction; Real Estate
  • 05 Nov 2024
  • Research & Ideas

AI Can Help Leaders Communicate, But Can't Make Employees Listen

for AI acceptance: messages simply labeled as coming from AI were rated as less helpful than those that actually came from a chatbot. “My prediction is that every single employee one day will have their own communication bot, just like... View Details
Keywords: by Ben Rand; Information Technology; Technology
  • 10 Oct 2007
  • First Look

First Look: First Look: October 10

purchases the same customers make when shopping without a coupon. The standard permanent income or lifecycle theory of consumption predicts that grocery spending will be unaffected by the use of a $10-off coupon, while a simple mental... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Sep 2002
  • Research & Ideas

The Role of Government When All Else Fails

extremely powerful—function of government. Now, you also asked about the future. One thing I've learned is that historians very often get themselves into trouble when they start trying to predict the future. So I'm not going to try to do... View Details
Keywords: by Laura Linard
  • 07 Aug 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, August 8, 2018

based on a large panel dataset of countries between 1950 and 2014. We instrument actual trade with predicted trade constructed by estimating a time-varying gravity equation similar to Feyrer (2009). We find that economic integration has a... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jun 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, June 13

sensitivity to ambiguity also predicted a greater frequency of arrests. Together, these data suggest that alterations in cost-benefit decision-making under conditions of ambiguity may promote antisocial behavior. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Sep 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Is There Help for the Big Ticket Buyer?

consumer's expected welfare. One way to think of this is to ask whether a better-informed consumer would move in the directions suggested by prescriptive models. Generally, I predict that as a consumer received more information, they... View Details
Keywords: by Max H. Bazerman
  • 31 Aug 2020
  • Research & Ideas

State and Local Governments Peer Into the Pandemic Abyss

local governments can be used to predict the number of public workers that governments laid off during the early months of COVID-19’s spread, with higher sales tax dependence leading to more layoffs. “State and local governments deriving... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
  • 10 Jun 2008
  • First Look

First Look: June 10, 2008

managers will use the discretion given by such estimates to convey private information on future cash flows, while agency theory predicts managers will use the discretion opportunistically. We test these alternative hypotheses using a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Nov 2003
  • Research & Ideas

A Fast Start on Your New Job

finishing a book that I am coauthoring with my colleague Max Bazerman called Predictable Surprises, which will be published by Harvard Business School Press next year. It's about all the problems that people know are festering in their... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • March 1980 (Revised February 1987)
  • Case

Sweco, Inc. (A)

By: Michael E. Porter and George S. Yip
Describes Sweco's decision about whether to enter the mud-processing equipment industry (used in oil well drilling). This is an internal entry decision, and the case describes Sweco's existing businesses as well as the mud-processing industry and competitors. The case... View Details
Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost; Analytics and Data Science; Market Entry and Exit; Competition
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  • Portrait Project

Arnaud Karsenti

desktop is up and running. Welcome to the life of a global entrepreneur. What are you going to do today? The best way to predict the future is to create it. When I look towards my future, I see a life of constant creation: the creation of... View Details
  • January 2022
  • Technical Note

Introduction to Capital Structure Analytics

By: Samuel Antill and Ted Berk
This technical note provides an overview of key analytical approaches that are useful in assessing the appropriateness of a firm’s capital structure and funding plan. This note introduces basic quantitative tools and metrics that are commonly used as inputs to this... View Details
Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Business Plan; Forecasting and Prediction; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Capital Structure; Cash Flow; Financial Liquidity; Financial Management; Financing and Loans
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  • 13 Jan 2009
  • First Look

First Look: January 13, 2009

customers over a period of four months. We predict and find that should DVDs (e.g., documentaries) are held significantly longer than want DVDs (e.g., action films) within-customer. Similarly, we also View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • February 2024
  • Case

ReSpo.Vision: The Kickstart of an AI Sports Revolution

By: Paul A. Gompers, Elena Corsi and Nikolina Jonsson
This case study explores the growth journey of Polish computer vision sports start-up ReSpo.Vision in an emerging entrepreneurial ecosystem. By providing 3D data and analysis to soccer clubs, ReSpo.Vision achieved significant milestones with a €1 million seed round, an... View Details
Keywords: Business Startups; Business Plan; Experience and Expertise; Talent and Talent Management; Decisions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; AI and Machine Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Applications and Software; Business Strategy; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; Poland; Europe
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  • October 2001 (Revised March 2002)
  • Background Note

Implicit Predictors of Consumer Behavior

By: Gerald Zaltman, Nancy Puccinelli, Kathryn A. Braun and Fred W Mast PHD
An important distinction is drawn in psychology between explicit and implicit knowledge. Explicit knowledge refers to consciously held beliefs about an individual or object that often draws on the remembering of experiences in the past. In contrast, implicit knowledge... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Values and Beliefs; Knowledge Sharing; Consumer Behavior; Opportunities; Cognition and Thinking
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  • April 1991 (Revised October 1993)
  • Case

Cat Fight in the Pet Food Industry (A)

By: David J. Collis
Describes the pet food industry in the mid-eighties prior to the breakout of a major competitive battle as manufacturers fight for share. Illustrates how when there are benefits to play in multiple markets, competitors will take action in one market to preserve their... View Details
Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Markets; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Ownership Stake; Competition; Corporate Strategy; Food and Beverage Industry
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  • Profile

Paul Lenehan

Atlas Ventures, "a VC firm concentrating on early-stage life-science startups. I've always had a passion for technology; Atlas was my first exposure to its business side. I found that I enjoyed evaluating businesses that were a long way from being profitable. It... View Details