Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

18 Feb 2015
First Look

First Look: February 18

By: Feldman, Emilie R., and Cynthia A. Montgomery Abstract—Agency theory predicts that incentives will align agents' interests with those of principals. However, the resource-based view suggests that to be effective, the incentive to... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

08 Mar 2004
Research & Ideas

Secret to Success: Go for “Just Enough”

he had to refine that prediction downward to every eighteen months or so, his words received celebrity status and came to be called Moore's Law. Drawing on Moore's Law, technological innovation and billionaire wealth took on an obsessive... View Details

Keywords: by Laura Nash & Howard Stevenson

29 Jan 2013
First Look

First Look: Jan. 29

hypothesis that intermediation reduces punishment runs counter to predictions coming from a model in which solely unfair actions are punished. Experiments are also presented that show a phenomenon about the attribution of responsibility... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

13 May 2014
First Look

First Look: May 13

results in terms of how much franchisors and franchisees believe that their relations will last or will be intensified in the future. We leverage on relational-contracts theory to develop our predictions and interpret our findings.... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

25 Sep 2012
First Look

First Look: September 25

experiment, individuals with a strong moral identity were less likely to act in self-interest, yet individuals with a weak moral identity were more likely to act in self-interest, when subjectively experiencing power. Finally, we predict... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

06 Dec 2011
First Look

First Look: Dec. 6

people start believing they will always go down. Success breeds success, and failure or loss breeds loss. The article argues for a broader explanation of behavior beyond economic instrumentality. It is time to turn again to psychology, sociology, and anthropology to... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

16 Nov 2010
First Look

First Look: November 16, 2010

Publication:Journal of Public Economics (forthcoming) Abstract It is often difficult for donors to predict the value of charitable giving because they know little about the persons who receive their help. This concern is particularly... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

23 Aug 2004
Research & Ideas

New Challenges for Long-Term Investors

long-term economic growth and inflation. The Fed can affect long-term rates only to the extent that it can influence those expectations. Long-term conservative investors should not probably be in the business of speculating on the direction of long-term rates, which... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen

06 Feb 2018
First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas: February 6, 2018

contracts are structured as a repeated tournament with no carryover of performance across periods, we predict and find that workers subject to implicit rewards (penalties) exhibit performance reactions that counterbalance those of workers... View Details

17 May 2016
First Look

May 17, 2016

in press Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Flying into a Rage: Physical and Situational Inequality on Airplanes Predict Air Rage By: DeCelles, K.A., and Michael I. Norton Abstract—We posit... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

27 Jan 2015
First Look

First Look: January 27

Publications January 2015 American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings Do Strict Capital Requirements Raise the Cost of Capital? Bank Regulation, Capital Structure, and the Low Risk Anomaly By: Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler Abstract—Traditional capital... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

11 Feb 2013
Research & Ideas

Neuroeconomics: Eyes, Brain, Business

that we can predict what they're going to do in the future. How your brain does that is what's interesting to me—when it works well, when it fails, and how it can influence the decisions we make." To determine the point at which humans... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel

23 Oct 2012
First Look

First Look: October 23

model, poor people give little because they expect donations to come mainly from richer individuals. In others, donations by poor individuals constitute a large fraction of donations, and this raises the incentive for poor people to donate. The model View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

15 Sep 2008
Research & Ideas

The Coming Transformation of Social Enterprise

nation's social enterprise organizations. Today, the United States has more than 1.4 million non-profit organizations, and they account for 5 percent of GDP. Annual contributions have grown faster than the economy for years, and experts View Details

Keywords: by Roger Thompson

31 Oct 2004
Research & Ideas

Bypass Marketing: Are Docs Influenced?

advertising "informs" or "persuades" consumers is the subject of a long and ongoing stream of debate and research. The distinction matters since it can be shown that these two views give rise to quite different View Details

Keywords: by Manda Salls

09 Apr 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, April 9, 2019

critiques of our work with empirical data and conceptual arguments. We agree with Wilson and Stolarz-Fantino that researchers seeking to understand a policy’s influence on consumers should test predictions about which strategies firms... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

May 2022
Supplement

Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside

By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Fares Khrais

Maestro pizza opened its first store in 2013 after its founder, Khalid Al Omran, recognized an opportunity in Saudi Arabia to offer high quality pizza at affordable prices. The business grew rapidly and under the radar at first, but soon enough caught the attention of... View Details

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28 Aug 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, August 28, 2018

the world's most dominant retailers. Could Brandless change the way consumers bought the essential items that filled their pantries and medicine cabinets? Industry pundits had long predicted both the death of brands and the death of brick... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

07 Feb 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research: February 7

Advancement and Human-Capital Development By: Chattopadhyay, Shinjinee, and Prithwiraj Choudhury Abstract—We develop and test predictions on how early-career challenges arising from the workplace context affect short- and long-term career... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

23 Aug 2016
First Look

August 23, 2016

measures have strong out-of-sample predictive performance and are stable over time. Our measures of the Big Five personality traits are associated with financing choices, investment choices, and firm operating performance. Download... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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First Look: February 18

Secret to Success: Go for “Just Enough”

First Look: Jan. 29

First Look: May 13

First Look: September 25

First Look: Dec. 6

First Look: November 16, 2010

New Challenges for Long-Term Investors

First Look at New Research and Ideas: February 6, 2018

May 17, 2016

First Look: January 27

Neuroeconomics: Eyes, Brain, Business

First Look: October 23

The Coming Transformation of Social Enterprise

Bypass Marketing: Are Docs Influenced?

New Research and Ideas, April 9, 2019

Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside

New Research and Ideas, August 28, 2018

First Look at New Research: February 7

August 23, 2016

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