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  • 2012
  • Working Paper

Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the... View Details
Keywords: Price; Credit; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Bonds; Market Design; Cost of Capital; Mathematical Methods; System Shocks
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  • 09 Jan 2007
  • First Look

First Look: January 9, 2007

Paper No. 9680.) Abstract Patent pools are an important but little-studied economic institution. In this paper, we first make a set of predictions about the licensing terms associated with patent pools. The theoretical framework View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 28 Jan 2002
  • Research & Ideas

Read All About It! Newspapers Lose Web War

business. However, despite these perceived limitations, the newspaper industry largely recognized the threat that digital media posed to the traditional printed newspaper business. In fact, many industry analysts were predicting a... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Entertainment & Recreation; Information; Publishing
  • July – August 2011
  • Article

What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?

By: Boris Groysberg, Paul Healy, Nitin Nohria and George Serafeim
A firm's competitive environment, its strategic choices, and its internal capabilities are considered important determinants of its future performance. Yet there is little evidence on whether analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors... View Details
Keywords: Competition; Forecasting and Prediction; Industry Growth; Judgments; Performance; Valuation; Price; Quality; Innovation and Invention; Organizational Culture; Competency and Skills; Surveys
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  • April 2002
  • Teaching Note

Anagene, Inc. TN

By: Robert S. Kaplan
Teaching Note for (9-102-030). View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Public Ownership; Sales; Production; Forecasting and Prediction; Volume; Governing and Advisory Boards; Cost Accounting; Business or Company Management; Financial Reporting; Strategy; Performance Capacity; Biotechnology Industry
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  • 25 Jul 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas: July 25, 2017

cast may deviate dramatically from pure QV predictions because of the complex and refined nature of equilibrium play. Most plausibly, voting behavior and outcomes would be determined predominately by social and psychological forces, would... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 19 Jul 2016
  • First Look

July 19, 2016

might be appropriate to redesign (“refactor”) a system, to reduce what has been called “architectural debt.” Unfortunately, we lack robust data by which to evaluate the relationship between architectural design choices and system maintenance costs, and hence to View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Aug 2014
  • First Look

First Look: August 5

between the firm and an outside investor. A common assumption in the signaling game literature is that beliefs among the participants in the game are refined using the Intuitive Criterion refinement. Our experimental results provide evidence that the View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 May 2010
  • First Look

First Look: May 4

organs faces widespread disapproval. We survey a representative sample of Americans to assess disapproval for several forms of kidney markets and to understand why individuals disapprove by identifying factors that predict disapproval,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 17 Sep 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Many Small-Business Employees May Be Close to Losing Health Insurance

at risk of cancelling health insurance coverage within two months, the researchers found. Almost one in five, 18.9 percent, predicted they’d be able to keep paying premiums for no more than two months. Another 13.2 percent were unsure how... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Health
  • 30 Sep 2019
  • Book

Book Excerpt: Why a Volume on Race, Work, and Leadership

superiority or inferiority of a given race (Gannon, 2016; Goodman, 2003; Kolbert, 2017), the color line persists as an enduring social issue in the United States. Over 150 years post-emancipation, the wealth gap between blacks and Americans of other racial backgrounds... View Details
  • 02 May 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: May 2, 2017

predictably difficult situations need to understand that human judgment is still one of the most important tools. Company leaders need to offer better employee training on all these points. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 12 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 12

a district-industry predicts a greater share of subsequent entrepreneurs will be female. Moreover, higher female ownership of local businesses in related industries (e.g., those sharing similar labor needs, industries related via... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • March 2011 (Revised February 2014)
  • Case

Cree, Inc.: Which Bright Future?

By: David J. Collis, Mary Furey and Matthew Shaffer
After its founding in the late 1980s, Cree Inc. quickly grew into a major player in the emerging LED market. By 2007, technological improvements in LEDs had made them suitable for TV, computer, and mobile "backlighting"; and concerns over global warning led to calls to... View Details
Keywords: Cree; LEDs; Lighting Market; Clean Tech; Energy Policy; Semiconductors; North Carolina; Business Growth and Maturation; Forecasting and Prediction; Innovation and Management; Decision Choices and Conditions; Market Entry and Exit; Competitive Strategy; Corporate Strategy; Technology Adoption; Electronics Industry; Green Technology Industry; Manufacturing Industry; United States; North Carolina; Raleigh
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  • 25 Apr 2000
  • Research & Ideas

Adjusting the Fit for Government

press governments to allow space for business to work and innovate. The tenet of predictability is vital, said Wagle. "If people are going to invest in very bad conditions, they have to know the rules of the game," he charged.... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 23 Jul 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Forgiving Medical Debt Won't Make Everyone Happier

in a survey conducted of 45 experts before the study, including academics, nonprofit staffers, and government or private sector employees. These experts predicted a median 7 percentage point reduction in depression tied to the debt.... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Health
  • September 2024 (Revised October 2024)
  • Case

River Remedy: Navigating Mississippi’s Medical Marijuana Market

By: Robin Greenwood, Richard S. Ruback and Robert Ialenti
MBA student William Chism, the founder of a fully integrated medical marijuana company based in Mississippi, must respond to a significant disruption in the fledgling industry. In late 2023, Rapid Analytics, one of two active licensed testing facilities, has its... View Details
Keywords: Plant-Based Agribusiness; Business Growth and Maturation; Forecasting and Prediction; Microeconomics; Local Range; Government Legislation; Demand and Consumers; Supply and Industry; Competitive Strategy; Governance Controls; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Consumer Products Industry; Mississippi
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  • 23 May 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Ideas and Research: May 23, 2017

arbitrariness of the set. Drawing on Gestalt psychology, we develop a conceptual account that predicts what will—and will not—act as a pseudo-set and defines the psychological process through which these pseudo-sets affect behavior,... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 23 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 23

measures of national political instability—Alesina and Perotti's (1996) well-known index of instability, a subsequent index derived from Banks' (2005) work, and two indices of managerial perceptions of nation-by-nation political instability—persistently View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Jan 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 26

-1,000 otherwise" over "0 with certainty." Studies 3, 4, and 5 address the apparent discrepancy between these results and the evidence for loss aversion documented in previous research. The results reveal that only under very specific conditions does the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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