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      • Faculty Publications  (288)

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      • October 2007
      • Article

      Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market

      By: Lauren Cohen, Karl B. Diether and Christopher J. Malloy
      Using proprietary data on stock loan fees and quantities from a large institutional investor, we examine the link between the shorting market and stock prices. Employing a unique identification strategy, we isolate shifts in the supply and demand for shorting. We find... View Details
      Keywords: Analytics and Data Science; Stocks; Financing and Loans; Price; Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Markets; Information
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      Cohen, Lauren, Karl B. Diether, and Christopher J. Malloy. "Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market." Journal of Finance 62, no. 5 (October 2007): 2061–2096. (Winner of Smith Breeden Prize for the Best Paper Published in the Journal of Finance in Asset Pricing (Distinguished Paper) 2007.)
      • October 2007
      • Article

      The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market

      By: Anita Elberse and Bharat N. Anand
      One of the most visible and publicized trends in the movie industry is the escalation in movie advertising expenditures over time. Yet, the returns to movie advertising are poorly understood. The main reason is that disentangling the causal effect of advertising on... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Revenue; Quality; Mathematical Methods; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita, and Bharat N. Anand. "The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market." Information Economics and Policy 19, nos. 3-4 (October 2007): 319–343. (Special Issue on Economics of the Media.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Testing Limits to Policy Reversal: Evidence from Indian Privatizations

      By: Siddhartha G. Dastidar, Raymond Fisman and Tarun Khanna
      We examine the effect of regime change on privatization using the 2004 election surprise in India. The pro-reform BJP was unexpectedly defeated by a less reformist coalition. Stock prices of government-controlled companies that had been slated for definite... View Details
      Keywords: Political Elections; Privatization; State Ownership; Policy; India
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      Dastidar, Siddhartha G., Raymond Fisman, and Tarun Khanna. "Testing Limits to Policy Reversal: Evidence from Indian Privatizations." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13427, September 2007.
      • August 2007 (Revised June 2020)
      • Case

      Trouble with a Bubble

      By: Tom Nicholas
      Examines technology, firm performance, and the stock market during the 1929 Great Crash and the Great Depression of the 1930s. The 1920s was an extraordinary period of technological progress marked by a strong run-up in stock market prices. Firms invested heavily in... View Details
      Keywords: Bubble; Stock Market; Great Depression; Irving Fisher; Information Technology; Organizational Change and Adaptation; History; Financial Markets; Performance; Labor and Management Relations; Equity; Financial Crisis; Innovation and Invention; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom. "Trouble with a Bubble." Harvard Business School Case 808-067, August 2007. (Revised June 2020.)
      • May 2007
      • Article

      Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance

      By: Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval and Jeremy Stein
      We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy of equity-financed growth will prefer a stock-for-stock merger to... View Details
      Keywords: Behavior; Investment; Policy; Corporate Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy Stein. "Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance." Journal of Financial Economics 84, no. 2 (May 2007): 266–298.
      • March 2007 (Revised March 2008)
      • Case

      The Nikkei 225 Reconstitution

      By: Robin Greenwood
      Taka Haneda, a proprietary trader at the Tokyo office of Goldman Sachs, has just learned that the Nikkei 225 will undergo a significant redefinition over the coming week. He faces several billion dollars of customer orders, as well as the opportunity to commit the... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Financial Services Industry; Tokyo
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      Greenwood, Robin. "The Nikkei 225 Reconstitution." Harvard Business School Case 207-109, March 2007. (Revised March 2008.)
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Investment Return; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Volatility; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Spring 2007): 129–151.
      • November 2006
      • Case

      Selling Biovail Short

      By: Malcolm P. Baker, Chris Lombardi and Aldo Sesia
      Hedge fund SAC Capital and analysts from Gradient Analytics and Banc of America face charges of stock price manipulation from Biovail, a Canadian pharmaceutical company. Gradient and BofA produced negative reports on Biovail's earnings quality. At the same time, SAC... View Details
      Keywords: Stock Shares; Investment Banking; Asset Pricing; Financial Strategy; Crime and Corruption; Pharmaceutical Industry; Financial Services Industry; Canada
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      Baker, Malcolm P., Chris Lombardi, and Aldo Sesia. "Selling Biovail Short." Harvard Business School Case 207-071, November 2006.
      • July 2006 (Revised March 2008)
      • Case

      Changan Automobile Co., Ltd.

      By: Dennis Campbell and Donglin Xia
      Chairman Yin Jiaxu must communicate that the company's extraordinary reported performance in 2002 reflects Changan's unique strategy within the competitive dynamics of China's automobile industry. Changan's 2002 annual report demonstrated an extraordinary level of... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Reporting; Ethics; Corporate Disclosure; Media; Business and Shareholder Relations; Auto Industry; China
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      Campbell, Dennis, and Donglin Xia. "Changan Automobile Co., Ltd." Harvard Business School Case 107-006, July 2006. (Revised March 2008.)
      • April 2006 (Revised October 2006)
      • Case

      Best Buy Co., Inc.: Customer-Centricity

      By: Rajiv Lal, Carin-Isabel Knoop and Irina Tarsis
      With FY2005 sales of $27.3 billion, Richfield, Minn.-based Best Buy Co., Inc. was the leading retailer of consumer electronics, home-office products, and related services in North America. Its operations included the distinct store formats Best Buy, Future Shop in... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Focus and Relationships; Service Operations; Business Earnings; Financial Crisis; Failure; Business Model; Leadership; Segmentation; Value Creation; Electronics Industry; United States; Canada; Mongolia
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      Lal, Rajiv, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Irina Tarsis. "Best Buy Co., Inc.: Customer-Centricity." Harvard Business School Case 506-055, April 2006. (Revised October 2006.)
      • April 2006 (Revised November 2006)
      • Case

      Livedoor

      By: Robin Greenwood and Michael Schor
      The president of Fuji Television must decide how to respond to a competing bid for the shares of Nippon Broadcasting Systems (NBS). Livedoor, the other bidder, is a highly valued Internet company that has been accused of financial wizardry to keep its stock price high. View Details
      Keywords: Stock Shares; Internet and the Web; Ethics; Television Entertainment; Behavioral Finance; Corporate Finance; Media and Broadcasting Industry; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Michael Schor. "Livedoor." Harvard Business School Case 206-138, April 2006. (Revised November 2006.)
      • February 2006 (Revised June 2007)
      • Case

      Brazos Partners and Cheddar's Inc.

      By: G. Felda Hardymon, Josh Lerner and Ann Leamon
      Randall Fojtasek, a partner at Brazos Private Equity Partners, must decide whether to invest more money in Cheddar's restaurant chain, which the firm invested in 10 months earlier. The incremental investment would fund a real estate subsidiary that would own the... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation Deal; Price; Partners and Partnerships; Management; Investment; Leadership; Business Subsidiaries; Stocks
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      Hardymon, G. Felda, Josh Lerner, and Ann Leamon. "Brazos Partners and Cheddar's Inc." Harvard Business School Case 806-069, February 2006. (Revised June 2007.)
      • January 2006 (Revised February 2006)
      • Case

      Deutsche Borse and the European Markets

      By: Dwight B. Crane and Monika Stachowiak
      In December 2004, Deutsche Borse proposed an offer for the London Stock Exchange. Some shareholders opposed the acquisition, leading to the offer's withdrawal and replacement of management, including the CEO and board members. Written from the viewpoint of Deutsche... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Strategy; Governing and Advisory Boards; Capital Structure; Stocks; Valuation; Corporate Governance; Price; Change Management; Commercialization; Financial Services Industry; Europe
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      Crane, Dwight B., and Monika Stachowiak. "Deutsche Borse and the European Markets." Harvard Business School Case 206-082, January 2006. (Revised February 2006.)
      • August 2005 (Revised April 2014)
      • Teaching Note

      Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
      What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
      Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; Financial Services Industry; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
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      Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 206-012, August 2005. (Revised April 2014.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Float Manipulation and Stock Prices

      By: Robin Greenwood
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Float Manipulation and Stock Prices." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-079, June 2005.
      • April 2005 (Revised May 2005)
      • Case

      Executive Compensation at General Electric (A)

      By: V.G. Narayanan and Michele Jurgens
      Faced with falling share prices and the critical eye of the media focused on Jack Welch's retirement plan, newly appointed CEO Jeff Immelt had the challenge of reassessing GE as a leader of corporate integrity and good governance. Presents the changes Immelt initiated... View Details
      Keywords: Executive Compensation; Employee Stock Ownership Plan; Governing and Advisory Boards; Media; Governance; Corporate Accountability
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      Narayanan, V.G., and Michele Jurgens. "Executive Compensation at General Electric (A)." Harvard Business School Case 105-072, April 2005. (Revised May 2005.)
      • April 2005 (Revised October 2006)
      • Case

      David Berman

      By: Ananth Raman, Vishal Gaur and Saravanan Kesavan
      Examines the decision of a hedge fund manager who is considering investing in a retail stock. The protagonist is concerned about the retailer's inventory level. Explores the relationship between the retailer's inventory and future earnings--and, hence, the relationship... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Stocks; Price; Supply Chain Management; Investment
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      Raman, Ananth, Vishal Gaur, and Saravanan Kesavan. "David Berman." Harvard Business School Case 605-081, April 2005. (Revised October 2006.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns

      By: Robin Greenwood
      Aggregate investment in cash and liquid assets as a share of total corporate investment is negatively related to subsequent U.S. stock market returns between 1947 and 2003. The share of cash in total investment is a more stable predictor of returns than scaled price... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Financial Liquidity; Cash; Investment Return; Corporate Finance
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-014, April 2005.
      • 2005
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance

      By: Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval and Jeremy Stein
      We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy of equity-financed growth will prefer a stock-for-stock merger to... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Behavior; Stocks; Mergers and Acquisitions; Policy; Investment; Financial Institutions; Equity; Corporate Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy Stein. "Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
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