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  • Teaching Interest

Marketing Models Doctoral Seminar

This course is a doctoral level course on Quantitative Marketing. We will cover methodological as well as substantive topics this semester. Methodological topics include: Choice models, Entry and Exit models, Dynamic structural models, Bayesian estimation methods... View Details

  • July 1998 (Revised August 1998)
  • Case

Optimark: Launching a Virtual Securities Market

Bill Lupien's OptiMark Technologies, Inc., plans to launch a super-computer system in September, 1998 that he believes will release previously withheld liquidity to the securities market. While today's market matches those trades based on price and size, Lupien's... View Details
Keywords: Information Technology; Financial Markets; Product Launch; Financial Services Industry; United States
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  • August 2020
  • Article

Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy

By: Carolin E. Pflueger, Emil Siriwardane and Adi Sunderam
We propose a novel measure of risk perceptions: the price of volatile stocks (PVS), defined as the book-to-market ratio of low-volatility stocks minus the book-to-market ratio of high-volatility stocks. PVS is high when perceived risk directly measured from surveys and... View Details
Keywords: Risk-centric Business Cycles; Cross-section Of Equities; Real Risk-free Rate; Real Investment; Financial Markets; Risk and Uncertainty; Perception; Investment
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  • 22 Aug 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Reading the Financial Crisis Warning Signs: Credit Markets and the 'Red-Zone'

market bubbles and frothy credit markets—and how those are different from equity market froth. Layne: How so? Greenwood: Frothy stock markets... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Banking
  • October 2007
  • Article

The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market

By: Anita Elberse and Bharat N. Anand
One of the most visible and publicized trends in the movie industry is the escalation in movie advertising expenditures over time. Yet, the returns to movie advertising are poorly understood. The main reason is that disentangling the causal effect of advertising on... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Revenue; Quality; Mathematical Methods; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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  • Research Summary

Time Varying Expected Returns, Stochastic Dividend Yields, and Default Probabilities: Linking the Credit Risk and Equity Literature (with George Chacko and Jens Hilscher)

In standard structural bond pricing models, the firm defaults once the market value of assets has fallen below a threshold. Expected returns, or at least dividend yields, are assumed to be constant, which implies that any asset value movement is permanent and has the... View Details
  • 21 Jul 2008
  • Research & Ideas

Solving the Marketing Resources Allocation Puzzle

U.S. companies spent a staggering $285 billion on advertising in 2006, according to Advertising Age. That's a lot of dollars and expectations being handed to advertising managers to generate returns. But do View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 May 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Improving Market Research in a Recession

most firms are reducing spending on the market research that would help manage that uncertainty. In the United States, spending on market research has dipped for four consecutive quarters, and chief View Details
Keywords: by John Quelch
  • 2002
  • Other Unpublished Work

Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator

By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity—such as lower bid–ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover—predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational... View Details
Keywords: Price; Financial Liquidity; Trade; Valuation; Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Equity; Stock Shares; Investment Return
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  • March 2008
  • Article

Market Reactions to Export Subsidies

By: M. A. Desai and James R. Hines Jr.
This paper analyzes the economic impact of export subsidies by investigating stock price reactions to a critical event in 1997. On November 18, 1997, the European Union announced its intention to file a complaint before the World Trade Organization (WTO), arguing that... View Details
Keywords: Economic Systems; Trade; Development Economics; Financial Markets; Profit; Taxation; Volume; Value Creation; Market Design; Business Subsidiaries; Utilities Industry; Financial Services Industry; Europe; North and Central America
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  • March – April 2009
  • Article

Market Research and Innovation Strategy in a Duopoly

By: Dominique Lauga and Elie Ofek
We model a duopoly in which ex-ante identical firms must decide where to direct their innovation efforts. The firms face market uncertainty about consumers' preferences for innovation on two product attributes and technology uncertainty about the success of their R&D... View Details
Keywords: Profit; Innovation and Management; Demand and Consumers; Duopoly and Oligopoly; Research and Development; Competitive Strategy
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  • 30 Jul 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Repugnant Markets and How They Get That Way

understand better and engage more with the phenomenon of ‘repugnant transactions,' which, I will argue, often serves as an important constraint on markets and market design." The U.S. View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • September 1992
  • Case

Star Cablevision Group (A): Harvesting in a Bull Market

By: William A. Sahlman
First case in a series of six cases that follow the experience of a cable television company as it adjusts to the rapid rise and precipitous decline of the stock market in the late 1980s. In this case Don Jones, the company's founder and owner, sees the rise in public... View Details
Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Financial Markets; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Restructuring; Corporate Strategy; SWOT Analysis; Wealth; Business Cycles; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
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  • 29 Oct 2007
  • HBS Case

Marketing Maria: Managing the Athlete Endorsement

sports industry accounted for around $50 billion in revenues in the United States in 2007, up from just under $35 billion in 2001. On a global scale, total revenues are expected to be nearly $100 billion this year, compared with $70... View Details
Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Sports
  • 18 Jul 2005
  • Research & Ideas

Identify Emerging Market Opportunities

Companies are increasingly looking to emerging markets like China as a vital source of growth. The problem is these companies often lack an effective strategy for identifying which countries to do business with. In a June Harvard Business... View Details
Keywords: by Tarun Khanna, Krishna G. Palepu & Jayant Sinha
  • October 1981 (Revised June 1982)
  • Case

Concept Devices, Inc.: International Market Entry

Concept is a highly touted startup venture in distributed data processing computers. The company has only made one sale to date, but has an order backlog for its unique product and expects an almost vertical growth curve. The company has been courted seriously by... View Details
Keywords: Global Strategy; Business Startups; Computer Industry; France; United Kingdom
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  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Primary Capital Market Transactions and Index Funds

By: Marco Sammon and Chris Murray
We document the effects of mechanical buying by CRSP-index-tracking funds on post-IPO returns and IPO deal structure. Leveraging a difference-in-differences-style design built on a 2017 CRSP rule change, we find that expected index fund demand leads fast track IPOs to... View Details
Keywords: Investment Funds; Initial Public Offering; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Financial Markets
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  • 23 Apr 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Market Research Meets the “People Factor”

Knowledge about a market is no cinch to acquire, of course. And though information may have been painstakingly collected, analyzed, and presented by market researchers, it faces an even greater hurdle when... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Who Clears the Market When Passive Investors Trade?

By: Marco Sammon and John J. Shim
We find that firms are the primary sellers of shares when index funds are net buyers, providing shares at a nearly one-for-one rate. Rather than provide liquidity, most demand-side institutions trade in the same direction as index funds, especially over long horizons.... View Details
Keywords: Investment Funds; Institutional Investing; Price; Investment Portfolio; Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments
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  • Research Summary

The Role of Financial and Information Intermediaries in the Capital Markets

Hutton's research investigates the role of financial analysts and short sellers in the pricing of equity securities. Recently, Hutton examines (with Patricia Dechow and Richard Sloan) the role of sell-side analysts' earnings forecasts in the pricing of common equity... View Details

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