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  • All HBS Web  (6,037)
    • People  (11)
    • News  (915)
    • Research  (4,182)
    • Events  (26)
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  • 2007
  • Working Paper

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Central Banking; Risk Management
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Gray, Dale F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13607, November 2007.
  • June 1999 (Revised May 2017)
  • Teaching Note

Guidant Corporation: Shaping Culture Through Systems

By: Robert Simons and Antonio Dávila
Teaching Note for (9-198-076). View Details
Keywords: Strategy And Execution; Management Control Systems; Risk And Uncertainty; Service Industry; Financial Services Industry
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Simons, Robert, and Antonio Dávila. "Guidant Corporation: Shaping Culture Through Systems." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 199-056, June 1999. (Revised May 2017.)
  • 2017
  • Working Paper

The Need for Speed: Effects of Uncertainty Reduction in Patenting

By: Mike Horia Teodorescu
Patents are essential in commerce to establish property rights for ideas and to give equal protection to firms that develop new technologies. Young firms especially depend on the protection of intellectual property to bring a product from concept to market. However,... View Details
Keywords: Startups; Natural Language Processing; Machine Learning; Patents; Business Startups; Risk and Uncertainty; Outcome or Result; Green Technology Industry
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Teodorescu, Mike Horia. "The Need for Speed: Effects of Uncertainty Reduction in Patenting." Working Paper, September 2017. (Job Market Paper.)
  • 2007
  • Book

Perspectives on Risk and Regulation: The FDA at 100

By: Arthur A. Daemmrich and Joanna Radin
Perspectives on Risk and Regulation: The FDA at 100 brings together the viewpoints of Food and Drug Administration officials and industry leaders on the future of regulating food, drugs, medical devices, and dietary supplements. In a period of rapid scientific... View Details
Keywords: Private Sector; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Policy; Health Care and Treatment; Business and Government Relations; Risk and Uncertainty; Cooperation
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Daemmrich, Arthur A., and Joanna Radin, eds. Perspectives on Risk and Regulation: The FDA at 100. Chemical Heritage Foundation, 2007. (Fulltext.)
  • 02 Apr 2020
  • Working Paper Summaries

Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty

Keywords: by J. Peter Scoblic
  • July 1975
  • Article

An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty

By: Robert C. Merton
Keywords: Theory; Growth and Development; Risk and Uncertainty
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Merton, Robert C. "An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty." Review of Economic Studies 42, no. 3 (July 1975): 375–393. (Chapter 17 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
  • 1998
  • Book

Islamic Law and Finance: Religion, Risk and Return

By: Frank Vogel and Samuel Hayes
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Vogel, Frank, and Samuel Hayes. Islamic Law and Finance: Religion, Risk and Return. Kluwer Law International, 1998.
  • 2008
  • Working Paper

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Central Banking; Risk Management
Citation
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Related
Gray, Dale F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-015, August 2008. (Revised.)
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Finance Without Exotic Risk

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer
We address the joint hypothesis problem in cross-sectional asset pricing by using measured analyst expectations of earnings growth. We construct a firm-level measure of Expectations Based Returns (EBRs) that uses analyst forecast errors and revisions and shuts down any... View Details
Keywords: Investment Return; Financial Markets; Behavioral Finance; Risk and Uncertainty
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Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, and Andrei Shleifer. "Finance Without Exotic Risk." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33004, September 2024.
  • Research Summary

Time-Varying Volatility Risk Premia

This paper provides evidence for the existence of time-varying volatility risk premia.  In doing so, it examines the evolution of the implied volatility bias in the S&P 100 from 1986-2006. Additionally, the paper proves three new results regarding the limiting... View Details
  • Fourth Quarter 2007
  • Article

Contingent Claims Approach to Measuring and Managing Sovereign Credit Risk

By: Dale . F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
This paper proposes a new approach to measure, analyze, and manage sovereign risk based on the theory and practice of modern contingent claims analysis (CCA). The paper provides a new framework for adapting the CCA model to the sovereign balance sheet in a way that can... View Details
Keywords: Credit; Investment; Sovereign Finance; Risk Management; Emerging Markets; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Valuation
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Gray, Dale . F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "Contingent Claims Approach to Measuring and Managing Sovereign Credit Risk." Special Issue on Credit Analysis. Journal of Investment Management 5, no. 4 (Fourth Quarter 2007): 5–28.
  • fall 2002
  • Article

Distortion and Risk in Optimal Incentive Contracts

By: George P. Baker
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Motivation and Incentives; Contracts
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Baker, George P. "Distortion and Risk in Optimal Incentive Contracts." Journal of Human Resources 37, no. 4 (fall 2002).
  • 20 Mar 2018
  • Working Paper Summaries

Countering Political Risk in Colonial India: German Multinationals and the Challenge of Internment (1914–1947)

Keywords: by Christina Lubinski, Valeria Giacomin, and Klara Schnitzer
  • 1995
  • Book

Risk Management

By: D. E. Bell and A. Schleifer Jr.
Citation
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Bell, D. E., and A. Schleifer Jr. Risk Management. Cambridge, MA: Course Technology Inc. (CTI), 1995.
  • 2004
  • Working Paper

Contract Rights and Risk Aversion: Foreign Banks and the Mexican Economy, 1997-2004

By: Stephen Haber and Aldo Musacchio
In 1997 Mexico allowed foreign banks unrestricted entry to the market. What impact did foreign mergers and acquisitions have on Mexico's banks? We find that all banks in Mexico have become increasingly risk averse, and that foreign banks are even more so. Foreign banks... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Contracts; Market Entry and Exit; Globalization; Microeconomics; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry; Mexico
Citation
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Haber, Stephen, and Aldo Musacchio. "Contract Rights and Risk Aversion: Foreign Banks and the Mexican Economy, 1997-2004." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-025, October 2004. (Revised February 2008, previously titled "Foreign Banks and the Mexican Economy, 1997-2004.")
  • Research Summary

Contract Rights and Risk Aversion: Foreign Banks and the Mexican Economy, 1997-2004

In 1997 Mexicos banking laws were reformed, allowing foreign banks, for the first time since the nineteenth century, to purchase controlling interests in the countrys largest banks. Foreign banks controlled 16 percent of Mexican bank assets in March 1997. By June... View Details

  • May 1985
  • Article

Financial Risk and the Burdens of Contracts

By: Dutch Leonard and Richard Zeckhauser
Keywords: Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Contracts
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Leonard, Dutch, and Richard Zeckhauser. "Financial Risk and the Burdens of Contracts." American Economic Review 75, no. 2 (May 1985).
  • 2013
  • Case

Travelers Insurance: Focusing on Climate Change and Natural Catastrophe Risk

By: Andrew J. Hoffman
The dilemma Evan Blue faces stems from a report by sustainability advocacy group Ceres that calls on companies to take climate change into consideration in their risk models and develop response strategies. The fictional vice president of Traveler's Insurance is tasked... View Details
Keywords: Climate Change; Business Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Insurance Industry
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Hoffman, Andrew J. "Travelers Insurance: Focusing on Climate Change and Natural Catastrophe Risk." William Davidson Institute Case 1-429-347, 2013.
  • February 2013
  • Supplement

Boston University: Managing Reputation and Risk (B)

By: Dutch Leonard, James Honan and Kerry Herman
Citation
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Leonard, Dutch, James Honan, and Kerry Herman. "Boston University: Managing Reputation and Risk (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 313-099, February 2013.
  • February 2013
  • Case

Boston University: Managing Reputation and Risk (A)

By: Dutch Leonard, James Honan and Kerry Herman
Citation
Educators
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Leonard, Dutch, James Honan, and Kerry Herman. "Boston University: Managing Reputation and Risk (A)." Harvard Business School Case 313-087, February 2013.
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