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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (3,297)
    • News  (517)
    • Research  (2,505)
    • Events  (43)
    • Multimedia  (18)
  • Faculty Publications  (1,611)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (3,297)
    • News  (517)
    • Research  (2,505)
    • Events  (43)
    • Multimedia  (18)
  • Faculty Publications  (1,611)
← Page 10 of 3,297 Results →
  • Article

Mining Big Data to Extract Patterns and Predict Real-Life Outcomes

By: Michal Kosinki, Yilun Wang, Himabindu Lakkaraju and Jure Leskovec
Citation
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Kosinki, Michal, Yilun Wang, Himabindu Lakkaraju, and Jure Leskovec. "Mining Big Data to Extract Patterns and Predict Real-Life Outcomes." Psychological Methods 21, no. 4 (December 2016): 493–506.
  • October 2008
  • Article

The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management Earnings Forecasts

The 1990s were characterized by substantial increases in the performance of and investor reliance on financial analysts. Because managers possess superior private information and issue forecasts to align investors' expectations with their own, we predict that... View Details

Keywords: Information; Performance Expectations; Earnings Management; Financial Reporting; Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
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Baginski, Stephen P., John M. Hassell, and Michael D. Kimbrough. "The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management Earnings Forecasts." Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 31, no. 3 (October 2008): 311–330.
  • 1972
  • Chapter

Optimal Utilization of Market Forecasts and the Evaluation of Portfolio Performance

By: Michael Jensen
Keywords: Investment Portfolio; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation
Citation
SSRN
Related
Jensen, Michael. "Optimal Utilization of Market Forecasts and the Evaluation of Portfolio Performance." In Mathematical Methods in Finance, edited by G. P. Szego and Karl Shell. North-Holland Publishing Company, 1972.
  • May 1981
  • Supplement

Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (B)

By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Apparel and Accessories Industry
Citation
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Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 181-123, May 1981.
  • 11 Dec 2015
  • News

Analytics in Online Flash Sales: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization

  • 1999
  • Working Paper

Positive Illusions and Forecasting Errors in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions

By: Don A. Moore, Terri Kurtzberg, Craig R. Fox and Max Bazerman
Citation
Related
Moore, Don A., Terri Kurtzberg, Craig R. Fox, and Max Bazerman. "Positive Illusions and Forecasting Errors in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 99-123, May 1999.
  • 01 Jun 2015
  • News

Three Predictions for Boston’s Innovation Scene in 2035

  • May 2018
  • Article

The Amount and Source of Millionaires' Wealth (Moderately) Predicts Their Happiness

By: Grant Edward Donnelly, Tianyi Zheng, Emily Haisley and Michael I. Norton
Two samples of more than 4,000 millionaires reveal two primary findings. First, only at high levels of wealth—in excess of $8 million (Study 1) and $10 million (Study 2)—are wealthier millionaires happier than millionaires with lower levels of wealth, though these... View Details
Keywords: Income; Well-being; Happiness; Wealth; Money; Attitudes; Situation or Environment
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Donnelly, Grant Edward, Tianyi Zheng, Emily Haisley, and Michael I. Norton. "The Amount and Source of Millionaires' Wealth (Moderately) Predicts Their Happiness." Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 44, no. 5 (May 2018): 684–699.
  • fall 2007
  • Article

Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts

By: Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman and Marshall L. Fisher
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Judgments; Forecasting and Prediction
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Gaur, Vishal, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman, and Marshall L. Fisher. "Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 9, no. 4 (fall 2007).
  • 01 Feb 2002
  • News

Europe Business Conference Forecasts the Future

a New Yorker. In the business world, Hannezo predicted that synergies will continue to develop between Europe and the United States, thanks to a shared system of values and a... View Details
  • 09 Feb 2007
  • Working Paper Summaries

Do Corporate Social Responsibility Ratings Predict Corporate Social Performance?

Keywords: by Aaron K. Chatterji, David I. Levine & Michael W. Toffel
  • 2023
  • Chapter

Analyzing Human Decisions and Machine Predictions in Bail Decision Making

By: Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan
BOOK ABSTRACT: Oriented toward the introductory student, The Inequality Reader is the essential textbook for today's undergraduate courses. The editors have assembled the most important classic and contemporary readings about how poverty and inequality are... View Details
Keywords: Equality and Inequality
Citation
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Kleinberg, Jon, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainathan. "Analyzing Human Decisions and Machine Predictions in Bail Decision Making." In The Inequality Reader: Contemporary and Foundational Readings in Race, Class, and Gender. 3rd edition, edited by David B. Grusky and Szonja Szelényi. Routledge, forthcoming.
  • 15 Aug 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Black Swans and Big Trends Can Ruin Anyone's Internet Prediction

how we thought about online opportunities one year after the dot-com bubble burst. In retrospect, many of my thoughts about the internet’s future evolution missed the mark. If you think history repeats itself, then these forecasting... View Details
Keywords: by Thomas R. Eisenmann; Technology
  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Supplement

Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (B)

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
Supplements the (A) case. In this case, Wehunt and Morse are concerned about the logistic regression model overfitting to the training data, so they explore two methods for reducing the sensitivity of the model to the data by regularizing the coefficients of the... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Customers; Household; Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
Purchase
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Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 119-026, August 2018. (Revised September 2018.)
  • June 2014
  • Case

Financial Policy at Apple, 2013 (A)

By: Mihir A. Desai and Elizabeth A. Meyer
By the end of 2013, Apple had $137 billion dollars in cash and marketable securities. This case explores how companies can generate such large amounts of cash and how and if they should distribute it to shareholders, especially in the face of shareholder pressure. In... View Details
Keywords: Apple; Steve Jobs; Forecast; Forecasting; Forecasting And Prediction; Shareholder Activism; Share Repurchase; Dividends; Financial Ratios; Preferred Shares; Cash Distribution; Corporate Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Management; Financial Strategy; Technology Industry; Consumer Products Industry; United States; Republic of Ireland
Citation
Educators
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Desai, Mihir A., and Elizabeth A. Meyer. "Financial Policy at Apple, 2013 (A)." Harvard Business School Case 214-085, June 2014.
  • 15 Apr 2019
  • News

How Companies Should Prepare Their Forecasts

  • Article

Interpretable Decision Sets: A Joint Framework for Description and Prediction

By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Stephen H. Bach and Jure Leskovec
Citation
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Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Stephen H. Bach, and Jure Leskovec. "Interpretable Decision Sets: A Joint Framework for Description and Prediction." Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 22nd (2016).
  • 31 Oct 2017
  • News

Predictions for the Future of Small Business Lending and Fintech

  • 2007
  • Working Paper

Warren Persons, the Harvard Economic Service, and the Problems of Forecasting

By: Walter A. Friedman
Citation
Related
Friedman, Walter A. "Warren Persons, the Harvard Economic Service, and the Problems of Forecasting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-044, January 2007.
  • Article

The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Phillip E. Pfeifer
When several individuals are asked to forecast an uncertain quantity, they often face implicit or explicit incentives to be the most accurate. Despite the desire to elicit honest forecasts, such competition induces forecasters to report strategically and nontruthfully.... View Details
Keywords: Forecast; Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, and Phillip E. Pfeifer. "The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds." Operations Research 61, no. 6 (November–December 2013): 1383–1398. (*Finalist in the Decision Analysis Society Publication Award, 2015.)
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