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  • 01 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 1

returns of 0.86, whereas the popular factor-based expected return models have either an insignificant or a significantly negative association with future returns. In supplemental analyses, we show that these View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 17 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 17, 2007

of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting with Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 11 Apr 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 11

forthcoming Journal of Accounting & Economics Career Concerns of Banking Analysts By: Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu Abstract—We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their View Details
  • 23 Jan 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 23, 2018

features a regime-switching short-rate model. We evaluate the out-of-sample performance of our model in terms of forecasting ability and coverage properties and find that it improves on the standard Diebold... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: December 20

The Wall Street Journal. We find no evidence that compensation is related to earnings forecast accuracy. But consistent with prior studies, we find analyst turnover to be related to forecast accuracy,... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 09 Mar 2010
  • First Look

First Look: March 9

of Central America does more than just advance our understanding of the national and global consequences of the Panama Canal and the imperialist motives and influences of the United States. In an age where everyone is looking for new View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Dec 2013
  • First Look

First Look: December 10

time and markets. Specifically, we build a model in which two firms that differ in their capabilities enter sequentially into two markets with different potentials for profit. The model is solved using game... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Feb 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Inexperienced Investors and Market Bubbles

results show that inexperienced fund managers as defined by age (under thirty-five) exhibited trend-chasing behavior that produced over-investment in tech stocks. "Our results fit well with adaptive expectations models of... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services
  • 07 Sep 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Sept. 7

activity on a massive scale-devising strategies that provide employment for the billions now outside the system, inventing business models that make better use of scarce resources, and creating institutional arrangements for coordinating... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Mar 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, March 20, 2018

initiatives more closely to specific objectives: preventing misconduct, detecting it, or aligning policies with laws and regulations. Then, using careful model design and some creativity, firms can develop better metrics to measure what’s... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Mar 2018
  • What Do You Think?

Two Decades Later, is the 'New Economy' Finally Here?

Companies in the tech sector now (unlike during the “bubble”) produce (or conserve) goods and services that people want. They have real business models that realize revenue and profit as well as growth. "The New Economy proved to be... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 28 Oct 2014
  • First Look

First Look: October 28

associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but we forecast low future returns. We propose and estimate a behavioral model of industry cycles that can account for... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 08 Sep 2015
  • First Look

September 8, 2015

that exists at the top of organizational hierarchies. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=49601 forthcoming Management Science Financing Risk and Innovation By: Nanda, Ramana, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf Abstract—We provide a View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 27 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 27

imprisonment increased around 1980, a period that coincides with the "Reagan revolution" in economic matters. We build an economic model where beliefs about economic opportunities and beliefs about punishment are correlated. We... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 08 Feb 2016
  • Research & Ideas

The Civic Benefits of Google Street View and Yelp

expanding their own data-gathering and crunching capabilities through advancements like sensor networks and sophisticated modeling software. What if cities could make use of all that data to better give residents what they need—for... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Consumer Products
  • 02 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 2

gross margin for retailers using historical data. We show that sales forecasts from this model are more accurate than consensus forecasts from equity analysts. Further, the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 18 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 18

processes for sorting and recycling waste materials that are still employed today. Yet it proved difficult to combine making profits and achieving social value in accordance with the "shared value" model of today. As providers... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jun 2002
  • Research & Ideas

How to Look at Globalization Now

theoretical model that looks beyond its idiosyncratic elements. Looking at prices alone is insufficient to look at the relative viability of globally standardized vs. locally customized products.— Pankaj Ghemawat The case concerns STAR... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 16 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 16, 2018

Grushka-Cockayne Abstract—We introduce an exponential smoothing model that a manager can use to forecast the demand of a new product or service. The model has five features... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

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