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  • 22 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 22, 2007

resulting currency position tends to rise in value when equity markets fall. This strategy works well for investment horizons of one month to one year. In the past 15 years the risk-minimizing demand for the dollar appears to have... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 05 Dec 2012
  • What Do You Think?

Should Managers Bother Listening to Predictions?

identify fairly reliable predictions from the guesses." Others identified people as the weak point in the process. Adam Hartung commented that " everyone should be evaluating trends and making forecasts they use to guide... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • July 2002
  • Case

Introducing ... The XFL!

By: Susan M. Fournier, Stephen A. Greyser and Seth Schulman
When the XFL professional football league debuted on February 3, 2001, it generated a Nielsen rating of 10.1, higher than any nationally televised program in a Saturday evening time slot. The next week, ratings plummeted, and by week nine the XFL game earned the title... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Positioning; Consumer Behavior; Product Development; Culture; Commercialization
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  • 28 Sep 2010
  • First Look

First Look: September 28, 2010

"lean," capacity-constrained firms. As demand varies, the industry switches between symmetric and asymmetric phases, generating predictions for firm size and costs across the business cycle. Surprisingly, increasing available... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 26, 2007

include positioning strategies, choosing the proper channel, potential partnerships, manufacturing issues, market analysis, and PR management. Purchase this case: http://www.hbsp.harvard.edu/b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=507016 View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

within their private networks, who then transmit the information to arm’s length analysts outside the network. Specifically, we show that firms with more connected analysts have more accurate consensus forecasts and lower View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

Abstract We examine the effect of mandatory International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adoption on firms' information environment. We find that after mandatory IFRS adoption, consensus forecast errors decrease for firms that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jun 2002
  • Research & Ideas

How to Look at Globalization Now

model also suggests, and theoretical modeling confirms, that many of the dynamics that often accompany globalization can in fact increase the viability of locally standardized strategies over time. Specifically, dgrowth, the broadening of View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 09 May 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Moving From Bean Counter to Game Changer

and consumer lending. The researchers chose to study risk-management experts because their role has risen in importance with demands for improved corporate governance and the need for better forecasting and... View Details
Keywords: by Kim Girard; Banking
  • July – August 2008
  • Article

When Virtue Is a Vice

By: Anat Keinan and Ran Kivetz
Choosing duty over pleasure today can cause regret down the road—whereas regret over the reverse is fleeting. Marketers of luxury products and services should consider prompting customers to predict their future feelings about choices made now. View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Moral Sensibility; Marketing Strategy; Consumer Behavior; Emotions; Luxury
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  • June 2000 (Revised March 2002)
  • Teaching Note

Iridium LLC TN

By: Benjamin C. Esty
Teaching Note for (9-200-039). View Details
Keywords: Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Information Technology; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Strategy; Performance; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Demand and Consumers; Communications Industry
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  • 27 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 27, 2007

from NBER Working Paper No. 6011, April 1997, Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 98-024, 1997) Abstract We model the equilibrium price and quantity of risk transfer between firms and financial intermediaries. Value-maximizing firms have downward sloping View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 20 Mar 2020
  • Research & Ideas

How Small Businesses Can Survive the Coronavirus Outbreak

businesses often have less than 20 days’ worth. While forecasts vary, many public health experts don’t expect the coronavirus outbreak to subside for at least eight weeks, assuming that social distancing and other mitigation efforts can... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Service; Food & Beverage
  • 09 Mar 2016
  • Lessons from the Classroom

In This Classroom, Beer Can Improve Your Grade

Casadesus-Masanell says. The new version of Strategic Brew is easier to play. The number of regions breweries operated in dropped from three to one. Customer market segments—like premium or craft—were pared down from seven to five. The model for View Details
Keywords: by Roberta Holland; Education; Food & Beverage
  • 15 Aug 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Black Swans and Big Trends Can Ruin Anyone's Internet Prediction

how we thought about online opportunities one year after the dot-com bubble burst. In retrospect, many of my thoughts about the internet’s future evolution missed the mark. If you think history repeats itself, then these forecasting... View Details
Keywords: by Thomas R. Eisenmann; Technology
  • June 2009
  • Article

Highbrow Films Gather Dust: Time-inconsistent Preferences and Online DVD Rentals

By: Katherine L. Milkman, Todd Rogers and Max H. Bazerman
We report on a field study demonstrating systematic differences between the preferences people anticipate they will have over a series of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Film Entertainment; Demand and Consumers; Renting or Rental; Power and Influence; Prejudice and Bias; Online Technology; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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  • 20 Aug 2013
  • First Look

First Look: August 20

too volatile given the mean reversion in earnings. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high secondhand ship prices and heightened industry investment in fleet capacity but forecast low future returns. We propose... View Details
Keywords: Anna Secino
  • 27 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 27

where the firm chooses capacities in two technologies in stage one, demand uncertainty resolves between stages (as does emissions price uncertainty under cap-and-trade), and then the firm chooses production quantities. As such, we bridge... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 10 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 10

trading volume, and more dispersion in analyst forecasts following the calls. Further, the capital market's response to linguistic complexity is limited to firms for which there is greater demand for... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 18

analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors and which are considered most important. We use survey data from 967 analysts ranking 837 companies to judge how their forecasts... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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