Forecast Evaluation - Publications - Faculty & Research

14 Aug 2007
First Look

First Look: August 14, 2007

and practice of modern contingent claims analysis (CCA). The paper provides a new framework for adapting the CCA model to the sovereign balance sheet in a way that can help forecast credit spreads and View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

19 Jul 2016
First Look

July 19, 2016

might be appropriate to redesign (“refactor”) a system, to reduce what has been called “architectural debt.” Unfortunately, we lack robust data by which to evaluate the relationship between architectural design choices and system... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

31 Mar 2009
First Look

First Look: March 31, 2009

opportunity to bid for debt and equity claims on Plascar Industria e Comercio Ltda., the Brazilian subsidiary of the bankrupt global auto components company Collins & Aikman Corp. In evaluating this opportunity, students must analyze... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

14 Nov 2017
First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=53507 forthcoming Journal of Financial Economics Bubbles for Fama By: Greenwood, Robin, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You Abstract—We evaluate Eugene Fama's claim that stock... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

01 Sep 2015
First Look

First Look -- September 1, 2015

research in finance and economics. We propose two tests to evaluate how well measures of financial constraints actually capture constraints. We find that firms typically classified as constrained do not in fact behave as if they were... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

23 Jun 2009
First Look

First Look: June 23

attention to the returns of firms that do not issue at all, suggesting that issuance is partly an attempt to cater to broad time-varying patterns in characteristics mispricing. Our approach helps forecast returns to portfolios based on... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

15 Dec 2009
First Look

First Look: Dec. 15, 2009

diminished focus on losses and heightened focus on gains when policies are evaluated in bundled form. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-147.pdf PublicationsAssessing the Cost and Benefits of Brokers: A Preliminary... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

01 Mar 2007
News

The Winning Season

pretty businesslike in your judgments,” he says, noting that even a backup player generally earns an annual salary of $1 to $2 million. “The financial skills I learned at HBS have been extremely useful in that sense. You need to be able to View Details

Keywords: Julia Hanna; Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries; Arts, Entertainment

Web

Print View - Course Catalog

future employers and investors about the experience Want to join a startup and are looking for tools to evaluate companies and founding teams they are considering working with Intend to invest in startups or serve as startup advisors and... View Details

14 Dec 2011
Research & Ideas

The New Measures for Improving Nonprofit Performance

worked in our favor was that we had developed multiyear financial forecast models. We were dealing with bank workout teams, which is very rugged. But because we had that information, we stunned them. They didn't expect that coming from a... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna

20 Aug 2007
Research & Ideas

HBS Cases: Using Investor Relations Proactively

itself had access to the full internal information. Q: What does the BP case show managers elsewhere about evaluating different types of external information and possibly having that information influence the firm's operational and... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Energy; Utilities

17 Mar 2009
First Look

First Look: March 17, 2009

that issuance is partly an attempt to arbitrage mispriced characteristics. Our approach helps forecast returns to portfolios based on book-to-market, size, price, distress, payout policy, profitability, and industry. Our results provide a... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

13 Sep 2011
First Look

First Look: September 13

with less efficient governments. The findings suggest that country-level factors have an economically significant impact on the rate of corporate profitability mean reversion. The study has implications for forecasting profitability and... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

08 May 2007
First Look

First Look: May 8, 2007

economic motives behind individual concerns for privacy. Recent theories of privacy demands in commercial contexts have assumed an economically aware and sophisticated consumer, capable of evaluating the indirect consequences of... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

15 Jan 2013
First Look

First Look: January 15

improved forecast accuracy, the value of their research about the spun-off subsidiaries is more limited. For both diversified firms and their spun-off subsidiaries, analysts' research is more valuable when information asymmetry between... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

Web

Bibliography - Option Pricing in Theory & Practice: The Nobel Prize Research of Robert C. Merton - Exhibits - Historical Collections

University of Chicago Press, 1987. Merton, Robert C. , and R. D. Henriksson. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." In Journal of... View Details

September 2023 (Revised September 2024)
Technical Note

Measuring and Managing Social Impact

By: Brian Trelstad, Gerald Chertavian and Susan Pinckney

A brief overview of how to measure social impact at nonprofits, social organizations, and impact investments. View Details

Keywords: Analysis; Change; Transformation; Decision Making; Cost vs Benefits; Decision Choices and Conditions; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Public Sector; Entrepreneurship; Social Entrepreneurship; Fairness; Entrepreneurial Finance; Governance; Governing and Advisory Boards; Policy; Innovation and Management; Knowledge Acquisition; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Goals and Objectives; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Management Practices and Processes; Resource Allocation; Measurement and Metrics; Standards; Strength and Weakness; Mission and Purpose; Success; Performance; Performance Evaluation; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Strategic Planning; Programs; Risk and Uncertainty; Social Enterprise; Non-Governmental Organizations; Social Issues; United States

Citation

Educators

Purchase

14 Mar 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research, March 14

their innovation performance. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51467 Bubbles for Fama By: Greenwood, Robin, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You Abstract—We evaluate Eugene Fama's claim that stock prices do... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

September 2021 (Revised November 2022)
Case

Community Solutions

By: Brian Trelstad and Tom Quinn

Community Solutions was an anti-homelessness nonprofit founded in 2011 after protagonist Rosanne Haggerty grew frustrated with the limited impact of traditional housing and outreach strategies. It set an ambitious goal, reached in some partner communities, of ending... View Details