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- News (35)
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- November 2024
- Article
Perceptions About Monetary Policy
By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
We estimate perceptions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions varies substantially over time,... View Details
Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Perceptions About Monetary Policy." Quarterly Journal of Economics 139, no. 4 (November 2024): 2227–2278.
- June 2020
- Article
U.S. Monetary Policy and Emerging Market Credit Cycles
By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
Foreign banks’ lending to firms in emerging market economies (EMEs) is large and denominated predominantly in U.S. dollars. This creates a direct connection between U.S. monetary policy and EME credit cycles. We estimate that over a typical U.S. monetary easing cycle,... View Details
Keywords: Global Business Cycle; Monetary Policy; Reaching For Yield; Money; Policy; Credit; Emerging Markets
Bräuning, Falk, and Victoria Ivashina. "U.S. Monetary Policy and Emerging Market Credit Cycles." Journal of Monetary Economics 112 (June 2020): 57–76.
- December 2020
- Article
Monetary Policy and Global Banking
By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
When central banks adjust interest rates, the opportunity cost of lending in local currency changes, but—in absence of frictions—there is no spillover effect to lending in other currencies. However, when equity capital is limited, global banks must benchmark domestic... View Details
Keywords: Global Banks; Monetary Policy Transmission; Cross-border Lending; Banks and Banking; Financial Markets; Global Range
Bräuning, Falk, and Victoria Ivashina. "Monetary Policy and Global Banking." Journal of Finance 75, no. 6 (December 2020): 3055–3095.
- May 2013
- Supplement
Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
Assuming office in December 2012, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was determined to revive Japan's stagnating economy through an ambitious plan known as 'Abenomics.' Under the guidance of the newly appointed governor of the central bank, Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Japan... View Details
Keywords: Japan; Inflation Targeting; Inflation; Abenomics; Monetary Policy; Stimulus; Quantitative Easing; Government Bonds; Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Japan
Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 713-086, May 2013.
- 2020
- Working Paper
Costly External Financing and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
By: Emily Williams
I provide new evidence that large and small banks have different external financing costs, which generates cross sectional variation in a deposits market pricing power channel of monetary policy transmission. I do so by exploiting a natural experiment using anti-trust... View Details
Keywords: External Financing; Monetary Policy Transmission; Experiment; Banks and Banking; Financing and Loans; Interest Rates
Williams, Emily. "Costly External Financing and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from a Natural Experiment." Working Paper, April 2020.
- 2015
- Mimeo
Market Power in Mortgage Lending and the Transmission of Monetary Policy
By: David S. Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam
We present evidence that high concentration in mortgage lending reduces the sensitivity of mortgage rates and refinancing activity to mortgage-backed security (MBS) yields. We isolate the direct effect of concentration and rule out alternative explanations in two ways.... View Details
Keywords: Mortgage Lending; Market Power; Monetary Policy Transmission; Mortgages; Banking Industry; United States
Scharfstein, David S., and Adi Sunderam. "Market Power in Mortgage Lending and the Transmission of Monetary Policy." April 2015. Mimeo.
- 2019
- Chapter
Monetary Policy—‘Whatever It Takes within Our (New?) Mandate’
By: Huw Pill
This paper discusses whether the UK's monetary policy framework needs to be reviewed in the light of experience during and in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. It concludes that, while the inflation targeting framework has generally proved robust, the Bank... View Details
Pill, Huw. "Monetary Policy—‘Whatever It Takes within Our (New?) Mandate’." Chap. 3 in Renewing our Monetary Vows: Open Letters to the Governor of the Bank of England, edited by Richard Barwell and Jagjit Chadha, 35–52. London: National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), 2019.
- 2022
- Working Paper
Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy Across Races: Evidence from the U.S. Credit Register
By: Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia and Camelia Minoiu
We examine the consequences of monetary policy on racial disparities, focusing on the role of bank lending to firms through collateral and selection channels. Leveraging comprehensive loan-level data from the U.S. credit register (Y-14Q) of the Federal Reserve, we show... View Details
Keywords: Monetary Policy Transmission; Inequity; Credit Registry; Wealth; Collateral Channel; Selection; Racial Disparity; Racial Inequality; Equality and Inequality; Banks and Banking; Credit; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Banking Industry; United States
Alfaro, Laura, Ester Faia, and Camelia Minoiu. "Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy Across Races: Evidence from the U.S. Credit Register." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-068, April 2022.
- 2024
- Working Paper
Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy
By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
We document that the Fed’s perceived monetary policy response to inflation shifted materially over the post-pandemic period. In forward-looking policy rules estimated from surveys of macroeconomic forecasters, the inflation coefficient rose significantly after liftoff... View Details
Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy." Working Paper, September 2024.
- 08 May 2017
- Working Paper Summaries
Monetary Policy and Global Banking
- September 1985
- Background Note
Implementing Monetary Policy
Rukstad, Michael G. "Implementing Monetary Policy." Harvard Business School Background Note 386-062, September 1985.
- March 2015
- Article
Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the... View Details
Hanson, Samuel G., and Jeremy C. Stein. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates." Journal of Financial Economics 115, no. 3 (March 2015): 429–448.
- 08 Aug 2012
- Working Paper Summaries
Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates
Keywords: by Samuel G. Hanson & Jeremy C. Stein
- January 1997 (Revised March 1997)
- Background Note
Note on Money and Monetary Policy
By: David A. Moss and Wyatt C. Wells
Offers a brief overview of economic thinking about the nature of money and about how the central bank can affect the economy through monetary policy. View Details
Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Government Administration; Policy; Central Banking; Money; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Crisis
Moss, David A., and Wyatt C. Wells. "Note on Money and Monetary Policy." Harvard Business School Background Note 797-094, January 1997. (Revised March 1997.)
- 2011
- Chapter
Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures and Monetary Developments
By: Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza, Huw Pill and Lucrezia Reichlin
Giannone, Domenico, Michele Lenza, Huw Pill, and Lucrezia Reichlin. "Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures and Monetary Developments." Chap. 8 in Interest Rates, Prices and Liquidity: Lessons from the Financial Crisis, edited by Jagjit Chadha and Sean Holly, 195–221. Cambridge University Press, 2011.
- 18 Oct 2013
- Working Paper Summaries
Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks
- 2020
- Working Paper
Mortgage Prepayment, Race, and Monetary Policy
By: Kristopher Gerardi, Paul Willen and David Hao Zhang
Over the period 2005 to 2015, Black borrowers paid more than 40 basis points higher mortgage interest rates than Non-Hispanic white borrowers. We show that the main reason is that Non-Hispanic white borrowers are much more likely to exploit periods of falling interest... View Details
Keywords: Mortgages; Consumer Behavior; Race; Ethnicity; Equality and Inequality; Policy; United States
Gerardi, Kristopher, Paul Willen, and David Hao Zhang. "Mortgage Prepayment, Race, and Monetary Policy." Working Paper, September 2020.
- March 2009 (Revised May 2013)
- Supplement
Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (B)
By: Laura Alfaro and Akiko Kanno
Toshihiko Fukui, Governor of the Bank of Japan, faced a complex situation in the fall of 2007. An economic recovery had allowed the central bank to abandon its zero interest rate policy, which had been in place for years, and raise rates to 0.5%. The Bank of Japan was... View Details
Alfaro, Laura, and Akiko Kanno. "Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 709-056, March 2009. (Revised May 2013.)
- January 2008 (Revised April 2009)
- Case
Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (A)
By: Laura Alfaro and Akiko Kanno
Toshihiko Fukui, Governor of the Bank of Japan, faced a complex situation in the fall of 2007. An economic recovery had allowed the central bank to abandon its zero interest rate policy, which had been in place for years, and raise rates to 0.5%. The Bank of Japan was... View Details
Alfaro, Laura, and Akiko Kanno. "Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (A)." Harvard Business School Case 708-017, January 2008. (Revised April 2009.)