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- Research Summary
Output and asset price fluctuations
What are the sources of business cycles? How are these shocks propagated in the economy? Why are their effects so persistent? How can we explain asset price fluctuations? How are shocks transmitted internationally?To study these questions, I have developed a series... View Details
- 2022
- Working Paper
Heterogeneous Investors and Stock Market Fluctuations
By: Odhrain McCarthy and Sebastian Hillenbrand
We introduce a heterogeneous agent model which features extrapolative beliefs and time-varying risk aversion. The model leads to an empirical framework which we estimate with stock prices, survey data and risk aversion measures. We find that extrapolative beliefs and... View Details
McCarthy, Odhrain, and Sebastian Hillenbrand. "Heterogeneous Investors and Stock Market Fluctuations." Working Paper, January 2022.
- 24 Oct 2020
- News
The Fluctuating Quality of ISS Recommendations
- 19 Nov 2021
- News
When Your Authority Fluctuates Throughout the Day
- April 1989 (Revised September 1989)
- Case
CIBA-GEIGY AG: Impact of Inflation and Currency Fluctuations
By: Hugo Uyterhoeven
The chairman of the second-largest Swiss multinational company is preparing for a board discussion on the impact of a constantly strengthening Swiss franc. The case raises strategic issues in terms of international competitiveness, financial reporting issues of how to... View Details
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Currency; Financial Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Problems and Challenges; Risk and Uncertainty; Competitive Strategy; Switzerland
Uyterhoeven, Hugo. "CIBA-GEIGY AG: Impact of Inflation and Currency Fluctuations." Harvard Business School Case 389-176, April 1989. (Revised September 1989.)
- 02 Jul 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
- Article
How Market Power Affects Dynamic Pricing: Evidence from Inventory Fluctuations at Car Dealerships
By: Ayelet Israeli, Fiona Scott-Morton, Jorge Silva-Risso and Florian Zettelmeyer
This paper investigates empirically the effect of market power on dynamic pricing in the presence of inventories. Our setting is the auto retail industry; we analyze how automotive dealerships adjust prices to inventory levels under varying degrees of market power. We... View Details
Keywords: Dynamic Pricing; Market Power; Pricing; Price Discrimination; Inventory Production; Marketing; Price; Competitive Strategy; Auto Industry; Retail Industry
Israeli, Ayelet, Fiona Scott-Morton, Jorge Silva-Risso, and Florian Zettelmeyer. "How Market Power Affects Dynamic Pricing: Evidence from Inventory Fluctuations at Car Dealerships." Management Science 68, no. 2 (February 2022): 895–916.
- 2009
- Working Paper
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
By: Diego A. Comin, Mark Gertler and Ana Maria Santacreu
We develop a model in which innovations in an economy's growth potential are an important driving force of the business cycle. The framework shares the emphasis of the recent "new shock" literature on revisions of beliefs about the future as a source of fluctuations,... View Details
Keywords: Business Cycles; Economic Growth; Asset Pricing; Technological Innovation; Mathematical Methods; System Shocks; Technology Adoption
Comin, Diego A., Mark Gertler, and Ana Maria Santacreu. "Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-134, May 2009. (Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Political Economy.)
- 2012
- Other Unpublished Work
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
By: Diego A. Comin, Mark Gertler and Ana Maria Santacreu
- 2015
- Working Paper
Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration
By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William Kerr
The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences there is a specific pattern... View Details
Keywords: Economic Fluctuations; Geographic Collocation; Input-output Linkages; Propagation; Shocks; Networks; Fluctuation; System Shocks; Macroeconomics
Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-006, July 2015.
- 2016
- Chapter
Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration
By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William R. Kerr
The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences, there is a specific pattern... View Details
Keywords: Economic Fluctuations; Geographic Collocation; Input-output Linkages; Propagation; Shocks; Networks; Fluctuation; System Shocks; Macroeconomics
Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William R. Kerr. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration." In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Vol. 30, edited by Martin Eichenbaum and Jonathan Parker, 273–335. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 2016.
- 2008
- Dictionary Entry
Total Factor Productivity
By: Diego Comin
Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is the portion of output not explained by the amount of inputs used in production. The following definition describes the measurement and importance of TFP for growth, fluctuations and development as well as likely future directions of... View Details
Keywords: Business Cycles; Economic Growth; Measurement and Metrics; Production; Performance Productivity; Research
Comin, Diego. "Total Factor Productivity." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. 2nd ed. Edited by Steven Derlauf and Larry Blume. Hampshire, U.K.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.
- August 2004
- Article
Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We document a close link between fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends and catering incentives. First, we use the methodology of Fama and French (J. Finan. Econ. (2001)) to identify a total of four distinct trends in the propensity to pay dividends... View Details
Keywords: Dividends; Payout Policy; Catering; Dividend Premium; Investor Sentiment; Investment Return; Motivation and Incentives; Trends; Stocks; Financial Services Industry
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives." Journal of Financial Economics 73, no. 2 (August 2004): 271–288.
- May 1994 (Revised March 2008)
- Case
Barilla SpA (A)
Barilla SpA, an Italian manufacturer that sells to its retailers largely through third-party distributors, experienced widely fluctuating demand patterns from its distributors during the late 1980s. This case describes a proposal to address the problem by implementing... View Details
Keywords: Order Taking and Fulfillment; Logistics; Supply Chain; Technology; Food and Beverage Industry; Manufacturing Industry; Italy
Hammond, Janice H. "Barilla SpA (A)." Harvard Business School Case 694-046, May 1994. (Revised March 2008.)
- February 2023
- Article
Nonprofits in Good Times and Bad Times
By: Christine L. Exley, Nils H. Lehr and Stephen J. Terry
Need fluctuates over the business cycle. We conduct a survey revealing a desire for nonprofit activities to countercyclically expand during downturns. We then demonstrate, using comprehensive U.S. nonprofit data drawn from millions of tax returns, that the public's... View Details
Exley, Christine L., Nils H. Lehr, and Stephen J. Terry. "Nonprofits in Good Times and Bad Times." Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics 1, no. 1 (February 2023): 42–79.
- 29 Sep 2010
- Working Paper Summaries
Medium Term Business Cycles in Developing Countries
- 25 Aug 2018
- News
Are Superstar Firms and Amazon Effects Reshaping the Economy?
- Research Summary
Overview
I am currently working on a series of projects that focus on three questions: (1) how currency fluctuations affect different types of firms across countries; (2) how various macroeconomic policies affect manufacturing growth in developing countries; (3) the... View Details
Sebastian Hillenbrand
Sebastian Hillenbrand is an Assistant Professor in the Finance Unit at Harvard Business School. He teaches the Finance I course in the MBA required curriculum.
Sebastian’s research interests are in behavioral and... View Details
- 22 Mar 2007
- News