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Publications
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- 2025
- Working Paper
Public Displays of Alignment: Firm Speech in Autocratic Regimes
By: Joris Mueller, Jaya Y. Wen and Cheryl Wu
Political speech by firms is increasingly common around the world. This paper
examines the government as an important, yet understudied, audience for
such speech, focusing on how Chinese firms rhetorically align with the state.
We introduce novel, general, and... View Details
- February 2025
- Case
Lebanon: Splintering Cedar
- February 13, 2025
- Article
Research: The Costs of Circumventing Tariffs
By: Jaya Y. Wen, Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky and Sung-Ju Wu
When tariffs are levied against a specific country, that country might attempt to circumvent the tariff by rerouting products through a third country to avoid the higher taxes. Research in the aftermath of the 2018 U.S.-China trade war examined this phenomenon, finding... View Details
- 2024
- Working Paper
Fiscal Shortfalls, Financialization, and the Private Sector
By: Jaya Y. Wen, Haichao Fan, Guanchun Liu and Huanhuan Wang
- 2024
- Working Paper
The Consequences of Export Controls in Target Countries
By: Xueyue Liu, Yu Liu and Jaya Y. Wen
Export controls are a common instrument of national security, but their economic consequences
are not well understood. This paper evaluates how these controls affect firm performance
and adaptation in targeted countries. We use variation in a 2007 US policy,... View Details
- May 2024
- Article
Refugees Are Hosted in Highly Vulnerable Communities
By: C. Austin Davis, Paula Lopez-Peña, A. Mushfiq Mobarak and Jaya Y. Wen
Low- and middle-income nations host 76 percent of the world's refugees. This study uses original data to explore within-country spatial variability in refugee-hosting responsibilities. We find that hosting responsibilities for the displaced Rohingya people in... View Details
- 2025
- Working Paper
Exports in Disguise? Trade Rerouting During the U.S.-China Trade War
By: Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, Jaya Wen and Sung-Ju Wu
This paper introduces a new measure of tariff evasion through rerouting and applies it to the
2018 U.S.–China trade war, focusing on Vietnam as a transit country. We use transaction-level trade data and define rerouting as the flow of a granular eight-digit Harmonized... View Details
- 2024
- Article
Technological Adoption and Taxation: The Case of China's Golden Tax Reform
By: Haichao Fan, Yu Liu, Nancy Qian and Jaya Y. Wen
This paper investigates the effect of Phase 2 of the Golden Tax Project on VAT in China. The reform introduced computer-generated invoices and electronic transaction linking. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we show that the reform increased VAT by reducing... View Details
- 2023
- Working Paper
Causes and Consequences of State Violence against Civilians: The Rohingya of Myanmar
By: C. Austin Davis, Paula Lopez-Pena, A. Mushfiq Mobarak and Jaya Wen
The Rohingya crisis is a severe, ongoing conflict involving large-scale violence and forced displacement, yet its causes are contested and its consequences lack systematic documentation. We marshal a variety of existing and original data to shed light on its drivers,... View Details
- March 2023 (Revised February 2024)
- Case
Thailand: Red Shirts, Yellow Shirts, and a Green Revolution
By: Jaya Wen
- February 2023
- Teaching Note
Bangladesh: Into the Maelstrom
In the fall of 2018, Rohima Begum considered her options as the small island, or “char,” on which her family’s house rested slowly but inescapably eroded into the mighty Brahmaputra River in northern Bangladesh. Should she move to another island or into the city on the... View Details
- 2023
- Working Paper
State Employment as a Strategy of Autocratic Control in China
By: Jaya Y. Wen
This paper presents evidence that autocrats use state-owned firms to strategically pacify social unrest via employment provision, a role that may contribute to their favorable treatment and persistence across settings. I use variation in a regional conflict between... View Details
- May 2022 (Revised May 2022)
- Teaching Note
The Crisis with Two Names: The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis - The IMF Crisis (아이엠에프 위기)
By: Jaya Y. Wen
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 722-041. View Details
- February 2022 (Revised January 2024)
- Case
The Crisis with Two Names: The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis - The IMF Crisis (아이엠에프 위기)
By: Jaya Y. Wen
- 2020
- Working Paper
The Dynamic Effects of Computerized VAT Invoices on Chinese Manufacturing Firms
By: Jaya Y. Wen, Haichao Fan, Yu Liu and Nancy Qian
- 2018
- Working Paper
Trust and Democracy: Leader Turnover during Economic Crises
By: Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian and Jaya Y. Wen
We study the relationship between interpersonal trust and political stability in democratic countries. Using a six-decade-long annual country-level panel dataset, we find that recessions are more likely to cause political turnover in countries with lower levels of... View Details
- Article
Financial Education and the Debt Behavior of the Young
By: Jaya Y. Wen, Meta Brown, Wilbert van der Klaauw, Basit Zafar and John Grigsby