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- 2024
- Working Paper
Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of U.S. Elections
By: Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons and Jesse M. Shapiro
Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections... View Details
- July 2024 (Revised July 2024)
- Case
Compass Ethics: Governing Through Ethical Principles at WeCorp Industries
By: Elisabeth Kempf and Jesse M. Shapiro
Andrew Hill is Chief Information Officer at WeCorp, a UK-based defense technology startup specializing in drone technology. WeCorp faces decisions about international licensing and AI integration in its drones. In partnership with Compass Ethics, Hill aims to establish... View Details
- 2024
- Working Paper
What Is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence
By: Luis Armona, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica and Jesse M. Shapiro
We study newsworthiness in theory and practice. We focus on situations in which a news outlet observes the realization of a state of the world and must decide whether to report the realization to a consumer who pays an opportunity cost to consume the report. The... View Details
- March 2024
- Supplement
Shanty Real Estate: Sample Classroom Results
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro and Nathan Sun
- March 22, 2024
- Article
It’s Time to Give Up on Ending Social Media’s Misinformation Problem
By: Scott Duke Kominers and Jesse Shapiro
- 2024
- Working Paper
Content Moderation with Opaque Policies
By: Scott Duke Kominers and Jesse M. Shapiro
A sender sends a signal about a state to a receiver who takes an action that determines a payoff. A moderator can block some or all of the sender's signal before it reaches the receiver. When the moderator's policy is transparent to the receiver, the moderator can... View Details
- February 2024
- Article
Pricing Power in Advertising Markets: Theory and Evidence
By: Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, Frank Yang and Ali Yurukoglu
Existing theories of media competition imply that advertisers will pay a lower price in equilibrium to reach consumers who multi-home across competing outlets. We generalize, extend, and test this prediction. We find that television outlets whose viewers watch more... View Details
- January 2024 (Revised May 2024)
- Supplement
BigBank: Confidential Information Educator Supplement
By: Michael Luca and Jesse M. Shapiro
- January 2024
- Exercise
BigBank: Confidential Information for Borrower 1
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro, Cristopher Rosas and Nathan Sun
- January 2024
- Exercise
BigBank: Confidential Information for Borrower 2
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro, Cristopher Rosas and Nathan Sun
- January 2024
- Exercise
BigBank: Confidential Information for Lender
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro, Cristopher Rosas and Nathan Sun
- 2024
- Working Paper
Bootstrap Diagnostics for Irregular Estimators
By: Isaiah Andrews and Jesse M. Shapiro
Empirical researchers frequently rely on normal approximations in order to summarize and communicate uncertainty about their findings to their scientific audience. When such approximations are unreliable, they can lead the audience to make misguided decisions. We... View Details
- 2023
- Working Paper
Causal Interpretation of Structural IV Estimands
By: Isaiah Andrews, Nano Barahona, Matthew Gentzkow, Ashesh Rambachan and Jesse M. Shapiro
We study the causal interpretation of instrumental variables (IV) estimands of nonlinear, multivariate structural models with respect to rich forms of model misspecification. We focus on guaranteeing that the researcher's estimator is sharp zero consistent, meaning... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods
- June 2023
- Exercise
Experimenting with Algorithm Resume Screening
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro, Adrian Obleton, Evelyn Ramirez and Nathan Sun
- May 2023 (Revised June 2023)
- Teaching Note
Independent Governance of Meta’s Social Spaces: The Oversight Board
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 823-111. View Details
- March 2023 (Revised April 2023)
- Case
Independent Governance of Meta’s Social Spaces: The Oversight Board
Julie Owono is a member of the Oversight Board, an outside entity with the authority to make binding decisions on tricky moderation questions for Meta's companies. She considers the Board's impact, and its future. View Details
- February 2023 (Revised March 2024)
- Supplement
Shanty Real Estate: Teaching Note Supplement
By: Michael Luca and Jesse M. Shapiro
Shanty is a simulation in which students inhabit the role of either a traditional home buyer or an iBuyer, both bidding on the same condo. The traditional home buyer has access to a “comp sheet” of similar properties that have recently sold, and has done a walkthrough.... View Details
- January 2023 (Revised January 2024)
- Teaching Note
Shanty Real Estate: Teaching Note
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro and Nathan Sun
Teaching note to Prof. Luca and Prof. Shapiro's Shanty Real Estate Case. View Details
- October 2022
- Exercise
Shanty Real Estate: Confidential Information for Homebuyer 1
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro and Nathan Sun
Shanty is a simulation in which students inhabit the role of either a traditional home buyer or an iBuyer, both bidding on the same condo. The traditional home buyer has access to a “comp sheet” of similar properties that have recently sold, and has done a walkthrough.... View Details
- October 2022
- Exercise
Shanty Real Estate: Confidential Information for Homebuyer 2
By: Michael Luca, Jesse M. Shapiro and Nathan Sun
Shanty is a simulation in which students inhabit the role of either a traditional home buyer or an iBuyer, both bidding on the same condo. The traditional home buyer has access to a “comp sheet” of similar properties that have recently sold, and has done a walkthrough.... View Details