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All HBS Web
(2,815)
- News (445)
- Research (2,158)
- Events (39)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (1,376)
Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(2,815)
- News (445)
- Research (2,158)
- Events (39)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (1,376)
- 2016
- Chapter
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Chap. 10 in Handbook of Fixed-Income Securities, edited by Pietro Veronesi, 191–209. Wiley Handbooks in Financial Engineering and Econometrics. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2016.
- December 2023
- Supplement
Accounting for Loan Losses at JPMorgan Chase: Predicting Credit Costs
By: Jonas Heese and Jung Koo Kang
- Article
Interpretable Decision Sets: A Joint Framework for Description and Prediction
By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Stephen H. Bach and Jure Leskovec
Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Stephen H. Bach, and Jure Leskovec. "Interpretable Decision Sets: A Joint Framework for Description and Prediction." Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 22nd (2016).
- 2004
- Book
Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change
By: C. M. Christensen, Scott D. Anthony and Erik A Roth
Christensen, C. M., Scott D. Anthony, and Erik A Roth. Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2004.
- May 2006
- Article
Detection Defection: Measuring and Understanding the Predictive Accuracy of Customer Churn Models
By: Scott Neslin, Sunil Gupta, Wagner Kamakura, Junxiang Lu and Charlotte Mason
Neslin, Scott, Sunil Gupta, Wagner Kamakura, Junxiang Lu, and Charlotte Mason. "Detection Defection: Measuring and Understanding the Predictive Accuracy of Customer Churn Models." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 43, no. 2 (May 2006): 204–211.
- June 7, 1990
- Article
New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500
By: André Perold, Kenneth A. Froot and James F. Gammill Jr.
- December 2021
- Article
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that...
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Keywords:
Crowdfunding;
Experience;
Prediction;
Timeline;
Complexity;
Entrepreneurship;
Learning;
Experience and Expertise;
Forecasting and Prediction
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Art. 1. Strategic Management Journal 42, no. 13 (December 2021): 2357–2388. (Lead article.)
- Article
The Selective Labels Problem: Evaluating Algorithmic Predictions in the Presence of Unobservables
By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jon Kleinberg, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan
Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Jon Kleinberg, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainathan. "The Selective Labels Problem: Evaluating Algorithmic Predictions in the Presence of Unobservables." Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 23rd (2017).
- June 2019
- Supplement
Improving Worker Safety in the Era of Machine Learning: Practicum in Predictive Analytics
By: Michael W. Toffel and Dan Levy
- August 1999
- Article
Positive Illusions and Biases of Prediction in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions
By: D. A. Moore, T. R. Kurtzberg, C. R. Fox and M. H. Bazerman
Moore, D. A., T. R. Kurtzberg, C. R. Fox, and M. H. Bazerman. "Positive Illusions and Biases of Prediction in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 79, no. 2 (August 1999): 95–114.
- 1995
- Chapter
Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability
By: S. B. White, M. H. Bazerman and M. A. Neale
White, S. B., M. H. Bazerman, and M. A. Neale. "Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability." In Research on Negotiation in Organizations, edited by R. J. Bies, R. Lewicki, and B. Sheppard. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1995.
- May 2012
- Article
Adding Bricks to Clicks: Predicting the Patterns of Cross-Channel Elasticities over Time
By: Jill Avery, Thomas J. Steenburgh, John Deighton and Mary Caravella
The authors propose a conceptual framework to explain whether and when the introduction of a new retail store channel helps or hurts sales in existing direct channels. A conceptual framework separates short- and long-term effects by analyzing the capabilities of a...
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Keywords:
Marketing;
Channels;
Channels Of Distribution;
Distribution;
Retailing;
Channel Management;
Channel Migration;
Multichannel Retailing;
Framework;
Customers;
Marketing Channels;
Sales;
Internet and the Web;
Demand and Consumers;
Competency and Skills;
Distribution Channels;
E-commerce;
Retail Industry;
United States
Avery, Jill, Thomas J. Steenburgh, John Deighton, and Mary Caravella. "Adding Bricks to Clicks: Predicting the Patterns of Cross-Channel Elasticities over Time." Journal of Marketing 76, no. 3 (May 2012): 96–111.
- 01 Mar 2013
- Working Paper Summaries
Hurry Up and Wait: Differential Impacts of Congestion, Bottleneck Pressure, and Predictability on Patient Length of Stay
- 2013
- Article
Nations' Income Inequality Predicts Ambivalence in Stereotype Content: How Societies Mind the Gap
By: Federica Durante, S. T. Fiske, Nicolas Kervyn and Amy J.C. Cuddy
Income inequality undermines societies: the more inequality, the more health problems, social tensions, and the lower social mobility, trust, and life expectancy. Given people's tendency to legitimate existing social arrangements, the Stereotype Content Model (SCM)...
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Keywords:
Stereotypes;
Cross-cultural/cross-border;
Inequality;
Prejudice and Bias;
Equality and Inequality;
Income;
Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues;
Power and Influence
Durante, Federica, S. T. Fiske, Nicolas Kervyn, and Amy J.C. Cuddy. "Nations' Income Inequality Predicts Ambivalence in Stereotype Content: How Societies Mind the Gap." British Journal of Social Psychology 52, no. 4 (December 2013): 726–746.
- January 2021
- Article
How Personality and Policy Predict Pandemic Behavior: Understanding Sheltering-in-Place in 55 Countries at the Onset of COVID-19
By: Friedrich M. Götz, Andrés Gvirtz, Adam D. Galinsky and Jon M. Jachimowicz
The spread of COVID-19 within any given country or community at the onset of the pandemic depended in part on the sheltering-in-place rate of its citizens. The pandemic led us to revisit one of psychology’s most fundamental and most basic questions in a high-stakes...
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Keywords:
COVID;
COVID-19;
Pandemic;
Shelter-in-place;
Personality;
Government;
Interactionism;
Health Pandemics;
Behavior;
Personal Characteristics;
Policy;
Governance Compliance
Götz, Friedrich M., Andrés Gvirtz, Adam D. Galinsky, and Jon M. Jachimowicz. "How Personality and Policy Predict Pandemic Behavior: Understanding Sheltering-in-Place in 55 Countries at the Onset of COVID-19." American Psychologist 76, no. 1 (January 2021): 39–49.
- 09 Dec 2015
- Research Event
How Do You Predict Demand and Set Prices For Products Never Sold Before?
explained that the world of business analytics includes descriptive analytics (analyzing what has happened), predictive analytics (analyzing data to figure out what will probably happen), and prescriptive analytics (using data to decide...
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