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  • 27 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 27

forecasts of holding period returns strongly predict the cross section of future returns up to three years ahead. We document a highly significant predictive pooled regression slope for future quarterly returns of 0.86, whereas the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 29, 2008

social categories (gender, tenure within the firm). In dyad-level models of the probability that pairs of individuals communicate, we find very large effects of formal organization structure and spatial collocation on the rate of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 09 Mar 2010
  • First Look

First Look: March 9

of Central America does more than just advance our understanding of the national and global consequences of the Panama Canal and the imperialist motives and influences of the United States. In an age where everyone is looking for new View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Aug 2017
  • First Look

First Look at Research and Ideas, August 8, 2017

hospitals and established reliability using interrater comparison. Using a factor analysis, we identified three themes of management competencies: management of unit culture, patient flow, and nursing. We constructed patient-level View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

but is difficult when demand history is unavailable such as for new products. One method that can be applied in such cases uses dispersion among forecasting experts as a measure of demand uncertainty. This paper provides a test for this method, and presents a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 03 Feb 2015
  • First Look

First Look: February 3

States. Design: We examined the correlation between the coincident index (a proxy for overall economic conditions) and IVF use at the national level from 2000 to 2011. We then analyzed the relationship at the state level through longitudinal View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 19, 2010

One explanation for these patterns is that U.S. firms are organized in a way that allows them to use new technologies more efficiently. A model of endogenously chosen organizational form and IT is developed to explain these new micro and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Nov 2015
  • First Look

November 3, 2015

November 2015 Quarterly Journal of Economics Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance By: Baicker, Katherine, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Joshua Schwartzstein Abstract—A fundamental implication of standard moral hazard models is overuse of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 18 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 18

processes for sorting and recycling waste materials that are still employed today. Yet it proved difficult to combine making profits and achieving social value in accordance with the "shared value" model of today. As providers... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 May 2013
  • First Look

First Look: May 14

P/E industries, which have a negative valuation change in the year after the investment. 2006 New England Journal of Medicine Leading Clinicians and Clinicians Leading By: Bohmer, Richard M.J. Abstract—More effective models of care... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 28 Aug 2007
  • First Look

First Look: August 28, 2007

analyze the data using nonparametric tests and regression analysis. Findings—The mean number of business segments per firm varies significantly by country. Notably, there is no evidence in our sample that emerging-market companies are... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 2, 2018

Our logistic regression models indicate that (1) realized post-purchase price drops lead to a higher probability of return, and (2) anticipated price drops after purchase lead to a higher probability of... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 15 May 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 15, 2018

inequality. This result is robust to using regression and matching approaches, and to controlling for a host of potential confounders. Contrary to the effects of tax cuts, we find no effects of tax increases on income inequality at the... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 12 Sep 2006
  • First Look

First Look: September 12, 2006

the footprint are outsourced—module boundaries are redrawn and interfaces designed for this purpose. The result is an invested capital advantage, which can be used to drive the returns of competitors below their cost of capital. We explain how this strategy works and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 8, 2016

that UGC on platforms ranging from Yelp to Facebook has a large causal impact on economic and social outcomes ranging from restaurant decisions to voting behavior. These findings often leverage unique data sets and methods ranging from View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Jan 2016
  • First Look

January 26, 2016

Cagé, and William R. Kerr Abstract—We build an endogenous growth model to analyze the relationships between taxation, corruption, and economic growth. Entrepreneurs lie at the center of the model and face... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Nov 2015
  • First Look

November 10, 2015

multivariate time series model to investigate the interaction between paid search and display ads and calibrate the model using data from a large commercial bank that uses online ads to acquire new checking... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 1, 2008

governance mode (make, ally, or buy) and also promotes substitution effects on governance mode choice while impacting exchange performance. We evaluate hypotheses using a novel three-stage switching regression View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 14 Feb 2012
  • First Look

First Look: February 14

(TMTs) by creating psychological conditions of trust and facilitating learning from failures in their teams. Structural equation modeling (SEM) analyses of survey data collected from 77 TMTs indicate that the relationship between CEO... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 24 Jun 2014
  • First Look

First Look: June 24

Following deregulation, resource misallocation declines, and the left-hand tail of the firm size distribution thickens significantly, suggesting increased entry by small firms. However, the dominance and growth of large incumbents remains unchallenged. Quantile View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne